Tip England - Italy
England's hopes of a Triple Crown or Grand Slam ended when they lost to Wales in their last Six Nations game. They are second in the table and only two points behind Wales as they have earned two bonus points in their three games. England can't win the title if Wales win their final two games to complete a Grand Slam but could close to within a point with one game to go. That's because they are likely to win this game against Italy and secure another bonus point. They have won all previous 13 games against Italy and scored three times more points than them. Maro Itoje and wing Jack Nowell are doubtful for this game.
Italy have lost their three games in this year's Six Nations Championship. That makes it 20 consecutive defeats for the Italians in this tournament and it's almost inevitable they'll get to 21 this weekend with another defeat heading their way. Not since 2016 have they beaten one of the leading rugby nations. England can win this game on a -33 handicap.
Key points England - Italy
England have won their previous 13 games against Italy.
England have scored more than three times the points than Italy in those games.
Italy have lost their last 20 games in the Six Nations.
Conclusion England - Italy
England will be looking to not just get a win but score four tries and secure another bonus point. They still need Wales to lose one of their last two Six Nations games but with home matches against Italy and Scotland, England can put the pressure on the Welsh. They have won all their previous games against Italy and can win this on a -33 handicap.
England Italy Prediction published on March 6, 2019