Eliot Spizzirri vs Jannik Sinner Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Australian Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Australian Open Predictions
Defending champion Jannik Sinner has made short work of his two opponents this week. In round three of the outdoor hard court Grand Slam, the second seed faces unseeded Eliot Spizzirri. Time for our match prediction.
Either 15th seed Karen Khachanov or 22nd-seeded Luciano Darderi will be faced in round four.
World number two Jannik Sinner is attempting to win this Grand Slam for the third successive year. This is his first tournament of 2026.
Round one this year saw him drop three games in two sets before opponent Hugo Gaston retired. The Italian only lost seven games in his round two victory over James Duckworth. Three of Sinner's last four completed matches in the Australian Open (retirements excluded) have had under 25.5 games.
Eliot Spizzirri's Grand Slam experience had only been in the US Open before this tournament. He reached round two in New York last year and has gone one better on his debut in the Australian Open.
He's recorded victories over 28th seed Joao Fonseca in four sets and then Yibing Wu. He led two sets to love in that match against Wu but eventually needed to win the fifth set 6-3.
We tip Jannik Sinner to win this match with under 25.5 games played.
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Eliot Spizzirri v Jannik Sinner Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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18 | 1 |
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16 | 1.01 |
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51 | 1 |
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25 | 1 |
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25 | 1 |
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Who will win the Eliot Spizzirri vs Jannik Sinner Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Eliot Spizzirri vs Jannik Sinner match is: Jannik Sinner wins and under 25.5 games.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Eliot Spizzirri vs Jannik Sinner game on 23/01/2026 of the current ATP Australian Open season:
- Eliot Spizzirri has a 19.26% chance to win against Jannik Sinner according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 51.
- Jannik Sinner has a 80.74% probability of winning facing Eliot Spizzirri ⭐ with odds of 1.01 at Betwinner.
Eliot Spizzirri vs Jannik Sinner Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Eliot Spizzirri has a 19.26 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Eliot Spizzirri | 19.26 % |
| Jannik Sinner | 80.74 % |
Eliot Spizzirri vs Jannik Sinner Form
Eliot Spizzirri and Jannik Sinner Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
21 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
19 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
15 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic
13 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic
11 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic
10 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
22 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
16 Nov 2025 - ATP London - Queen's
15 Nov 2025 - ATP London - Queen's
14 Nov 2025 - ATP Finals
12 Nov 2025 - ATP Finals
10 Nov 2025 - ATP Finals
Eliot Spizzirri - Jannik Sinner Key Points
- Two of Sinner's last three wins in this match saw under 25.5 games played (retirements excluded).
- Sinner has won his last 16 matches in the Australian Open.
- Three of Sinner's last five completed matches in Grand Slams have had under 25.5 games played in them.
- Sinner is 69 places ahead of Spizzirri in the live rankings.
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Our Eliot Spizzirri vs Jannik Sinner Prediction
It's been a successful week for unseeded Eliot Spizziri with two hard-fought wins. Now he faces the toughest match of his career as he tries to beat two-time defending champion Jannik Sinner and reach round four in Melbourne.
The world number two isn't entirely happy with his serving at present but has barely broken sweat so far in Melbourne. Another comfortable win looks very likely for Sinner. Our Eliot Spizzirri v Jannik Sinner prediction is Jannik Sinner wins and under 25.5 games.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Eliot Spizzirri vs. Jannik Sinner game!

When you place a bet on the match between Eliot Spizzirri and Jannik Sinner you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Eliot Spizzirri or Jannik Sinner, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.