Bahia vs Chapecoense Prediction & Betting Tips - Brasileirão Serie A
Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A
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by Nella Wagah | in Football Predictions
Chapecoense have regrouped, hoping to resume stronger in the Brazilian Serie A when they travel to Bahia. Heading into this round 19 game, the hosts sit three points below the Copa Sudamericana places while Chapecoense are bottom. In six Serie A meetings between these two, Bahia are unbeaten, so this prediction leans toward a home victory.
It is safe to assume that the summer break was timely for these two sides. Bahia had just returned to winning ways, beating Botafogo 2-1 to end an eight-match winless run.
This marks their first Serie A meeting with Chapecoense since 2021, and they will want to pick it up from where they left. Esquadrao de Aco won three of their last six topflight matches against this opponent.
There isn’t much to suggest Chapecoense can stop Bahia in this encounter. When the two sides last met, in Serie B, Chapecoense won back-to-back, but replicating the same in Serie A has proven tough.
It might get even harder coming into this encounter, as the side from Chapeco has only managed one win in the league. That was in January, 4-2 at home against Santos.
Six months without a league win must have left an impact on the visitors’ confidence. In a friendly match during the break, they beat Gremio 2-1 and will be hoping to build on it here.
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Bahia v Chapecoense Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.35 | 6.75 | 17.25 |
|
|
1.44 | 5.26 | 6.83 |
|
|
1.41 | 5.15 | 6.65 |
|
|
1.41 | 5.15 | 6.65 |
|
|
1.38 | 5 | 7.6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bahia and Chapecoense?
Our prediction for the Bahia vs Chapecoense match is: Bahia wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/07/2026 between Bahia and Chapecoense in Brasileirão Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.36% for a win of Bahia against Chapecoense with odds of 1.44 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bahia vs Chapecoense is 22.62% with odds of 23 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.02% chance ⭐ for a win of Chapecoense vs Bahia with odds of 151 at Betway.
Bahia - Chapecoense Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bahia Chapecoense Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bahia wins | 44.36% | 1.44 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.05% | 2.7 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 67.08% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Bahia | 21.25% | 11 at Roobet |
Bahia vs Chapecoense Form
Bahia and Chapecoense's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
43 | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | +8 |
|
20
|
17 | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -23 |
Bahia and Chapecoense Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
30 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
30 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
9 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
22 Apr 2026 - Copa do Brasil
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
3 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
11 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
7 Jun 2026 - Copa Sul-Sudeste
3 Jun 2026 - Copa Sul-Sudeste
31 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
27 May 2026 - Copa Sul-Sudeste
24 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jun 2026 - Copa Sul-Sudeste
27 May 2026 - Copa Sul-Sudeste
17 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
14 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
3 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
29 Apr 2026 - Copa Sul-Sudeste
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Jun 2026 - Copa Sul-Sudeste
31 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
24 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 May 2026 - Copa Sul-Sudeste
10 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
Bahia vs Chapecoense Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Sept 2022 - Brasileirão Série B
14 Jun 2022 - Brasileirão Série B
24 Oct 2021 - Brasileirão Serie A
4 Jul 2021 - Brasileirão Serie A
28 Jul 2019 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 Jul 2018 - Brasileirão Serie A
Bahia against Chapecoense Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
Iuri
DefenderMarcos Victor
Iago
L. Juba
Kanu
MidfielderM. Araujo
Jean Lucas
C. Alexandre
E. Ribeiro
M. Sanabria
K. Furquim
Everaldo
R. Santos
DefenderKauan
Mancha
E. Souza Da Cruz
Bruno Leonardo
MidfielderV. Balieiro
R. Ricoldi
David Antunes
N. Pessoa
Kassio
Missing players
R. Pablo
K. Ramirez
Most goals and assists
Bahia
Chapecoense
L. Juba
(8 Goals)
Marcinho
(5 Goals)
E. Ribeiro
(4 Assists)
G. Augusto
(5 Assists)
Bahia - Chapecoense Key Points
- Chapecoense have won once in Serie A this season.
- Bahia have won six matches more than Chapecoense in Serie A.
- Chapecoense have lost the most games in Serie A (10) so far this season.
- Bahia are unbeaten in six Serie A meetings with Chapecoense, winning three.
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Our Bahia vs Chapecoense Prediction
No team has lost more matches in the league this season than Chapecoense’s 10. The promoted side is clearly struggling to adapt in the topflight upon their return, and dropping back to Serie B looks like a strong possibility.
Back then in the second tier, they beat Bahia in two straight games, but they lack the confidence for the same at the moment. Bahia have been on a better run and will view this as a winnable encounter. Our prediction for Bahia v Chapecoense is that Bahia wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bahia Chapecoense
| Bahia vs Chapecoense | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia wins | 1.41 | 1.44 | +2.1% |
| Draw | 4.9 | 23 | +369.4% |
| Chapecoense wins | 7.8 | 151 | +1,835.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bahia is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 70.9% and is now 69.4% (-1.5%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
