Bahia vs Chapecoense Prediction & Betting Tips - Brasileirão Serie A

Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A

Bahia
17/07/2026 18:30
Chapecoense

Prediction :

 

Bahia wins

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Football Predictions

Chapecoense have regrouped, hoping to resume stronger in the Brazilian Serie A when they travel to Bahia. Heading into this round 19 game, the hosts sit three points below the Copa Sudamericana places while Chapecoense are bottom. In six Serie A meetings between these two, Bahia are unbeaten, so this prediction leans toward a home victory.

It is safe to assume that the summer break was timely for these two sides. Bahia had just returned to winning ways, beating Botafogo 2-1 to end an eight-match winless run.

This marks their first Serie A meeting with Chapecoense since 2021, and they will want to pick it up from where they left. Esquadrao de Aco won three of their last six topflight matches against this opponent.

There isn’t much to suggest Chapecoense can stop Bahia in this encounter. When the two sides last met, in Serie B, Chapecoense won back-to-back, but replicating the same in Serie A has proven tough.

It might get even harder coming into this encounter, as the side from Chapeco has only managed one win in the league. That was in January, 4-2 at home against Santos.

Six months without a league win must have left an impact on the visitors’ confidence. In a friendly match during the break, they beat Gremio 2-1 and will be hoping to build on it here.

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Bahia v Chapecoense Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.45 4.8 6.2
1xbet
1.45 4.79 6.94
Melbet
1.44 4.72 6.85
Betwinner
1.44 4.72 6.85
22bet
1.44 4.72 6.85
Check all Bahia vs Chapecoense odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Bahia and Chapecoense?

Our prediction for the Bahia vs Chapecoense match is: Bahia wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/07/2026 between Bahia and Chapecoense in Brasileirão Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.17% for a win of Bahia against Chapecoense with odds of 1.47 at Shangrila.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bahia vs Chapecoense is 22.66% with odds of 5 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 33.16% chance ⭐ for a win of Chapecoense vs Bahia with odds of 6.94 at 1xbet.

Bahia vs Chapecoense Form

Bahia and Chapecoense's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
6 Bahia
26 17 7 5 5 +2
20 Chapecoense
9 17 1 6 10 -16

Bahia and Chapecoense Last Matches

Bahia
Bahia Last matches
L D L W W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

12 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Fluminense
2 :  0
Bahia

4 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Bahia
4 :  1
Montevideo City Torque

30 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bahia
2 :  1
Botafogo

25 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Coritiba
3 :  2
Bahia

17 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bahia
1 :  1
Gremio

13 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Remo
2 :  1
Bahia
L D L D W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
100% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

4 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Bahia
4 :  1
Montevideo City Torque

30 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bahia
2 :  1
Botafogo

17 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bahia
1 :  1
Gremio

9 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bahia
1 :  2
Cruzeiro

25 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bahia
2 :  2
Santos

22 Apr 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Bahia
1 :  3
Remo
W L D L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

12 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Fluminense
2 :  0
Bahia

25 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Coritiba
3 :  2
Bahia

13 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Remo
2 :  1
Bahia

3 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  2
Bahia

19 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
2 :  0
Bahia

11 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Mirassol
1 :  2
Bahia
Chapecoense
Chapecoense Last matches
L D L L W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

4 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Gremio
1 :  2
Chapecoense

7 Jun 2026 - Copa Sul-Sudeste

Chapecoense
3 :  0
Avai

3 Jun 2026 - Copa Sul-Sudeste

Avai
3 :  0
Chapecoense

31 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
1 :  0
Chapecoense

27 May 2026 - Copa Sul-Sudeste

Chapecoense
2 :  2
Gremio Novorizontino SP

24 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Cruzeiro
2 :  1
Chapecoense
W L W L D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

7 Jun 2026 - Copa Sul-Sudeste

Chapecoense
3 :  0
Avai

27 May 2026 - Copa Sul-Sudeste

Chapecoense
2 :  2
Gremio Novorizontino SP

17 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Chapecoense
2 :  3
Remo

14 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Chapecoense
2 :  0
Botafogo

3 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Chapecoense
1 :  2
Bragantino

29 Apr 2026 - Copa Sul-Sudeste

Chapecoense
2 :  1
America Mineiro
D W L L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

4 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Gremio
1 :  2
Chapecoense

3 Jun 2026 - Copa Sul-Sudeste

Avai
3 :  0
Chapecoense

31 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
1 :  0
Chapecoense

24 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Cruzeiro
2 :  1
Chapecoense

20 May 2026 - Copa Sul-Sudeste

Gremio Novorizontino SP
0 :  2
Chapecoense

10 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Mirassol
1 :  1
Chapecoense

Bahia vs Chapecoense Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Bahia

33 %

Draw

33 %

Chapecoense

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored
0.83
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

30 Sept 2022 - Brasileirão Série B

Chapecoense
3 :  1
Bahia

14 Jun 2022 - Brasileirão Série B

Bahia
0 :  1
Chapecoense

24 Oct 2021 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bahia
3 :  0
Chapecoense

4 Jul 2021 - Brasileirão Serie A

Chapecoense
0 :  2
Bahia

28 Jul 2019 - Brasileirão Serie A

Chapecoense
0 :  0
Bahia

19 Jul 2018 - Brasileirão Serie A

Chapecoense
1 :  1
Bahia
Bahia vs Chapecoense Prediction

Missing players

Bahia
Bahia
Goalkeeper

Ronaldo

Midfielder

C. Alexandre

Forward

R. Pablo

Chapecoense
Chapecoense
Goalkeeper

R. Santos

Defender

R. Thyere

Kauan

Midfielder

Bruno Matias

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Bahia
CD Huachipato Chapecoense
Top Goalscorer
Brazil L. Juba (7 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Paraguay W. Clar (3 Goals)
Best assists
Brazil E. Ribeiro (4 Assists)
Best assists
Brazil B. Pacheco (3 Assists)

Bahia and Chapecoense Stats in Brasileirão Serie A

Bahia
Bahia
Chapecoense
Chapecoense
41%
Wins
6%
29%
Losses
59%
29%
Draws
35%
2.82
Average goals per match
2.94
1.47
Goals scored per match
1
1.35
Goals conceded per match
1.94
41%
Under 2.5 goals
53%
59%
Over 2.5 goals
47%
24%
No goals conceded
6%
71%
BTTS
65%

Bahia - Chapecoense Key Points

  1. Chapecoense have won once in Serie A this season.
  2. Bahia have won six matches more than Chapecoense in Serie A.
  3. Chapecoense have lost the most games in Serie A (10) so far this season.
  4. Bahia are unbeaten in six Serie A meetings with Chapecoense, winning three.
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Our Bahia vs Chapecoense Prediction

No team has lost more matches in the league this season than Chapecoense’s 10. The promoted side is clearly struggling to adapt in the topflight upon their return, and dropping back to Serie B looks like a strong possibility.

Back then in the second tier, they beat Bahia in two straight games, but they lack the confidence for the same at the moment. Bahia have been on a better run and will view this as a winnable encounter. Our prediction for Bahia v Chapecoense is that Bahia wins.

Prediction :

 

Bahia wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.