Derby County vs Stoke Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Nella Wagah | in Championship Predictions
Derby County will be desperate to get their season going as they welcome Stoke City to Pride Park for their next Championship game. Rooted in the relegation region, Derby will be looking to shock their eighth-placed visitors. With the hosts coming here winless in six straight outings, our prediction favors the visitors.
Derby are coming off another heavy defeat, losing 4-1 away to QPR. That left the Rams on six points and two adrift of safety in 23rd place. They hope to replicate their 2-0 win in this fixture last time out.
That won't be very straightforward, though, as four defeats in Derby’s last six matches must have left a dent in their confidence.
Stoke will head into this game confident not just in their capability but also knowing that Derby are struggling at home. They’ll want to add to the pressure, with their hosts having failed to win any of their last seven home matches.
At the same time, Stoke head into this encounter, eyeing a return to winning ways after their six-game unbeaten run was shattered in a 3-2 defeat at home by Middlesbrough.
There will be positives to pick from losing to a very strong opponent. The Potters have scored at least two goals in each of the last four matches and won five of seven.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Derby County v Stoke Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.90 | 3.35 | 2.36 |
|
|
2.81 | 3.36 | 2.40 |
|
|
2.81 | 3.36 | 2.40 |
|
|
2.81 | 3.36 | 2.40 |
|
|
2.81 | 3.36 | 2.40 |
|
Pre-register for our Member Area: win €500!
What is the prediction for the football match between Derby County and Stoke?
Our prediction for the Derby County vs Stoke match is: Stoke City wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/10/2026 between Derby County and Stoke in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 22.39% for a win of Derby County against Stoke with odds of 2.95 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Derby County vs Stoke is 29.33% with odds of 3.5 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 48.28% chance ⭐ for a win of Stoke vs Derby County with odds of 2.42 at Tonybet.
Derby County vs Stoke Form
Derby County and Stoke's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +1 |
|
23
|
6 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 |
Derby County and Stoke Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2026 - Championship
10 Oct 2026 - Championship
19 Sept 2026 - Championship
12 Sept 2026 - Championship
9 Sept 2026 - Championship
5 Sept 2026 - Championship
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2026 - Championship
12 Sept 2026 - Championship
9 Sept 2026 - Championship
29 Aug 2026 - Championship
22 Aug 2026 - Championship
8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2026 - Championship
19 Sept 2026 - Championship
5 Sept 2026 - Championship
1 Sept 2026 - Championship
15 Aug 2026 - Championship
4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Oct 2026 - Championship
10 Oct 2026 - Championship
19 Sept 2026 - Championship
12 Sept 2026 - Championship
8 Sept 2026 - Championship
5 Sept 2026 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Oct 2026 - Championship
19 Sept 2026 - Championship
5 Sept 2026 - Championship
1 Sept 2026 - Championship
25 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
15 Aug 2026 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2026 - Championship
12 Sept 2026 - Championship
8 Sept 2026 - Championship
29 Aug 2026 - Championship
22 Aug 2026 - Championship
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Derby County vs Stoke Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
6 Apr 2026 - Championship
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
3 May 2025 - Championship
2 Nov 2024 - Championship
30 Dec 2021 - Championship
31 Jan 2020 - Championship
Derby County vs Stoke last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Substitutes
R. O'Donnell
DefenderR. Nyambe
MidfielderL. Travis
F. Bilbija
O. Fraulo
ForwardL. Salvesen
C. Blackett-Taylor
R. Brewster
H. Meister
J. Griffiths
DefenderB. Gibson
L. Bombino
MidfielderJ. Devenny
B. Lawal
B. Pearson
ForwardG. Hirst
R. Bozenik
M. Manhoef
Missing players
J. Widell Zetterstrom
DefenderC. Forsyth
C. Taylor
M. Clarke
D. Murkin
E. Cashin
ForwardP. Agyemang
A. Cresswell
MidfielderS. Ingelsson
B. Lawal
A. Ampah
Most goals and assists
Derby County
Stoke
S. Szmodics
(3 Goals)
E. Galbraith
(3 Goals)
B. Clark
(2 Assists)
E. Bocat
(3 Assists)
Derby County and Stoke Stats in Championship
Derby County - Stoke Key Points
- Derby County are winless in six matches, losing four.
- Derby have only won once in their 11 games this season.
- Stoke City have posted five wins in their last seven matches.
- Stoke are unbeaten in their last three away outings.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Derby County vs Stoke Prediction
On the road, Stoke City are unbeaten in their last three matches, winning twice. With this run they will be confident of registering a rare away win at Pride Park. While they are enjoying a solid run, which has only been interrupted by a title contender, Derby are on a poor streak.
The Rams are struggling to even consistently score more than once. The Potters will love this state they find Derby in and will be sure to add the pressure. Our prediction for Derby County v Stoke City is that Stoke City wins.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Derby County vs. Stoke game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Derby County and Stoke? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Championship! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
