Southampton vs Bolton Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Thobelani Moyo | in Championship Predictions
Southampton will aim to break into the top three this Saturday when they welcome Bolton Wanderers to St. Mary's Stadium on matchday 11 of the EFL Championship. The hosts have won four of their last five league games, scoring nine goals in those triumphs. Therefore, our prediction is for a home win and over 1.5 goals.
Southampton could end up in the top three with a win over Bolton, depending on results elsewhere. The home side are in seventh place with 16 points and are three behind third-placed West Ham United.
The Saints have demonstrated considerable attacking quality this season, scoring 21 goals in their opening ten league matches. This is the second-best offensive record.
However, goals have been harder to come by in their past two games. They have edged out 1-0 wins over Portsmouth and, most recently, Norwich City on the road. So far, they have won four of their last five league games.
Bolton Wanderers are in 14th place in the table with 13 points. Only three points separate them from the top eight.
It has been an impressive run of form in the Championship with three wins from their last four matches. The Trotters defied the odds in their recent match against Wolves.
In unfamiliar territory, Steven Schumacher's men secured a stunning 3-1 win. They are out to make it three straight wins.
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Southampton v Bolton Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.48 | 4.70 | 5.20 |
|
|
1.45 | 4.80 | 5.81 |
|
|
1.45 | 4.80 | 5.81 |
|
|
1.45 | 4.80 | 5.81 |
|
|
1.43 | 4.70 | 6.22 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Southampton and Bolton?
Our prediction for the Southampton vs Bolton match is: Southampton wins and over 1.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/10/2026 between Southampton and Bolton in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 64.45% for a win of Southampton against Bolton with odds of 1.52 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Southampton vs Bolton is 11.8% with odds of 4.8 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 23.75% chance ⭐ for a win of Bolton vs Southampton with odds of 6.22 at 22bet.
Southampton vs Bolton Form
Southampton and Bolton's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +11 |
|
14
|
13 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -3 |
Southampton and Bolton Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2026 - Championship
11 Oct 2026 - Championship
19 Sept 2026 - Championship
12 Sept 2026 - Championship
8 Sept 2026 - Championship
5 Sept 2026 - Championship
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2026 - Championship
12 Sept 2026 - Championship
8 Sept 2026 - Championship
29 Aug 2026 - Championship
25 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
22 Aug 2026 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2026 - Championship
19 Sept 2026 - Championship
5 Sept 2026 - Championship
1 Sept 2026 - Championship
16 Aug 2026 - Championship
8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Oct 2026 - Championship
10 Oct 2026 - Championship
20 Sept 2026 - Championship
12 Sept 2026 - Championship
8 Sept 2026 - Championship
5 Sept 2026 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2026 - Championship
12 Sept 2026 - Championship
8 Sept 2026 - Championship
29 Aug 2026 - Championship
15 Aug 2026 - Championship
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Oct 2026 - Championship
20 Sept 2026 - Championship
5 Sept 2026 - Championship
1 Sept 2026 - Championship
22 Aug 2026 - Championship
8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
Southampton vs Bolton last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
G. Long
DefenderJ. Bree
N. Wood
Welington
MidfielderC. Jander
T. Fellows
ForwardC. Larin
L. Scienza
D. Mubama
J. Bonham
DefenderB. Davies
MidfielderM. Conway
X. Simons
R. Rodrigues
M. Lott
ForwardJ. Nelson
R. Hardie
S. Dalby
Missing players
C. Jander
L. Stephenson
Most goals and assists
Southampton
Bolton
C. Larin
(7 Goals)
S. Dalby
(4 Goals)
F. Azaz
(5 Assists)
G. Larrazabal
(2 Assists)
Southampton and Bolton Stats in Championship
Southampton - Bolton Key Points
- Southampton have won four of their last five league games.
- Bolton Wanderers have seen 70% of their Championship games this season end with over 1.5 goals.
- Southampton have won their last five home league games. They scored three or more goals in four of those encounters.
- Bolton Wanderers have won just two of their last six away matches across all competitions this season.
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Our Southampton vs Bolton Prediction
Southampton have struggled to win their last ten competitive matches with Bolton. However, their last match was 16 years ago, making it difficult to draw firm conclusions from their previous meetings. The home side are in terrific form with two wins on the bounce, making them likely to win.
Bolton had been on a three-match winless away run before two successive wins over Norwich and Wolves, scoring three or more goals. That attacking resurgence will give them confidence heading into this clash but not enough to win. Our Southampton vs Bolton Wanderers prediction: Southampton wins and over 1.5 goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
