Middlesbrough vs Cardiff Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Middlesbrough
17/10/2026 07:30
Cardiff

Prediction :

 

Middlesbrough to win and BTTS

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Championship Predictions

Middlesbrough’s push for automatic promotion continues this Saturday when they play host to Cardiff City as the Championship enters matchday 11. Heading into this encounter, Middlesbrough are second, while Cardiff are 19th, two points above the red zone. As both sides are struggling to keep clean sheets, our prediction involves both scoring.

Middlesbrough are coming into this encounter on a strong record, having posted two straight wins and a five-match unbeaten run. They are coming off a 3-2 win over Stoke City, their fifth game in six without a clean sheet.

The hosts will not be too worried about that though, as they have an impressive history against Cardiff. In their last five meetings, Boro won four, while the latest ended in a draw.

Cardiff City have managed just one win in their last 10 meetings with Middlesbrough. Chances remain so low for the Bluebirds to halt that as they come into this meeting in shaky form.

The visitors managed a big win last time out as they blanked Watford 5-1. However, the challenge gets tougher as they move from facing a bottom-three side to a top-two opponent.

With an average of 1.6 goals scored in their league engagements, Cardiff will be confident of troubling this host. In their last 10 meetings with Middlesbrough, they actually scored six times.

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Middlesbrough v Cardiff Best Betting Odds

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1.50 4.70 5.00
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1.51 4.75 5.07
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1.51 4.75 5.07
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1.51 4.75 5.07
22bet
1.47 4.70 5.45
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What is the prediction for the football match between Middlesbrough and Cardiff?

Our prediction for the Middlesbrough vs Cardiff match is: Middlesbrough to win and BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/10/2026 between Middlesbrough and Cardiff in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 65.95% for a win of Middlesbrough against Cardiff with odds of 1.55 at Shangrila.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Middlesbrough vs Cardiff is 20.63% with odds of 4.8 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 13.42% chance ⭐ for a win of Cardiff vs Middlesbrough with odds of 5.45 at 22bet.

Middlesbrough vs Cardiff Form

Middlesbrough and Cardiff's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Middlesbrough
21 10 6 3 1 +6
19 Cardiff
10 10 2 4 4 +1

Middlesbrough and Cardiff Last Matches

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough Last matches
L W D D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

13 Oct 2026 - Championship

Stoke
2 :  3
Middlesbrough

10 Oct 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  0
Wolves

19 Sept 2026 - Championship

Birmingham
2 :  2
Middlesbrough

15 Sept 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  2
Millwall

12 Sept 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
4 :  3
Norwich

8 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup

Crystal Palace
3 :  0
Middlesbrough
W W W W D W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

10 Oct 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  0
Wolves

15 Sept 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  2
Millwall

12 Sept 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
4 :  3
Norwich

29 Aug 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
3 :  1
West Brom

15 Aug 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  1
Lincoln City

7 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Middlesbrough
1 :  0
Wrexham
W D W L D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

13 Oct 2026 - Championship

Stoke
2 :  3
Middlesbrough

19 Sept 2026 - Championship

Birmingham
2 :  2
Middlesbrough

8 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup

Crystal Palace
3 :  0
Middlesbrough

5 Sept 2026 - Championship

QPR
0 :  1
Middlesbrough

2 Sept 2026 - Championship

Burnley
1 :  1
Middlesbrough

25 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Doncaster
1 :  3
Middlesbrough
Cardiff
Cardiff Last matches
L D L W L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

13 Oct 2026 - Championship

Cardiff
5 :  1
Watford

10 Oct 2026 - Championship

Blackburn
2 :  1
Cardiff

19 Sept 2026 - Championship

Cardiff
3 :  1
Charlton Athletic

12 Sept 2026 - Championship

Bolton
1 :  0
Cardiff

8 Sept 2026 - Championship

Cardiff
1 :  1
Stoke

5 Sept 2026 - Championship

Portsmouth
2 :  0
Cardiff
D L D D W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

13 Oct 2026 - Championship

Cardiff
5 :  1
Watford

19 Sept 2026 - Championship

Cardiff
3 :  1
Charlton Athletic

8 Sept 2026 - Championship

Cardiff
1 :  1
Stoke

29 Aug 2026 - Championship

Cardiff
2 :  2
Sheffield United

25 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Cardiff
1 :  2
Norwich

17 Aug 2026 - Championship

Cardiff
1 :  1
Wrexham
W D L L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

10 Oct 2026 - Championship

Blackburn
2 :  1
Cardiff

12 Sept 2026 - Championship

Bolton
1 :  0
Cardiff

5 Sept 2026 - Championship

Portsmouth
2 :  0
Cardiff

2 Sept 2026 - Championship

QPR
2 :  1
Cardiff

22 Aug 2026 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  2
Cardiff

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Forest Green Rovers
1 :  5
Cardiff

Middlesbrough vs Cardiff Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Middlesbrough

67 %

Draw

33 %

Cardiff

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
2.33
Goals scored
0.67
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

4 Jan 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  1
Cardiff

31 Aug 2024 - Championship

Cardiff
0 :  2
Middlesbrough

27 Apr 2024 - Championship

Cardiff
1 :  4
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough vs Cardiff Prediction

Middlesbrough vs Cardiff last Lineups

Middlesbrough

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

1
R. Vitek
12
L. Ayling
4
A. Phillips
29
A. Malanda
2
C. Brittain
6
S. Berhalter
10
A. Morris
30
N. Borges
11
A. Cozier-Duberry
16
J. Sarmiento
7
W. Lankshear
8
J. Moylan
16
C. Willock
27
J. Colwill
11
O. Tanner
45
C. Ashford
18
A. Robertson
3
J. Bagan
4
G. Osho
48
D. Lawlor
38
P. Ng
1
N. Trott

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Cardiff

Substitutes

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
Goalkeeper

S. Brynn

Defender

M. Arfsten

S. Byram

Midfielder

R. McGree

C. Barron

M. Peart-Harris

L. Castledine

Forward

K. Joseph

T. Conway

Cardiff
Cardiff
Goalkeeper

H. Tyrer

Defender

R. Kpakio

C. Scanlon

W. Fish

Midfielder

P. Moreno

C. Holt

Forward

C. Robinson

I. Davies

D. Turnbull

Missing players

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
Defender

A. Jones

Cardiff
Cardiff
Defender

C. Chambers

Midfielder

R. Colwill

Forward

Y. Salech

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Middlesbrough
CD Huachipato Cardiff
Top Goalscorer
England W. Lankshear (8 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Rep. of Ireland J. Moylan (5 Goals)
Best assists
Scotland T. Conway (3 Assists)
Best assists
Wales C. Ashford (2 Assists) , 
England O. Tanner (2 Assists) , 
Rep. of Ireland J. Moylan (2 Assists)

Middlesbrough and Cardiff Stats in Championship

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
Cardiff
Cardiff
60%
Wins
20%
10%
Losses
40%
30%
Draws
40%
3.4
Average goals per match
3.1
2
Goals scored per match
1.6
1.4
Goals conceded per match
1.5
30%
Under 2.5 goals
40%
70%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
20%
No goals conceded
0%
80%
BTTS
80%

Middlesbrough - Cardiff Key Points

  1. Cardiff are winless in eight of their 10 league matches.
  2. Both teams scored in four of Cardiff’s last five matches.
  3. Middlesbrough have won six of their 10 league games, four more than Cardiff.
  4. Middlesbrough have managed one clean sheet in their last five games.
  5. Middlesbrough are unbeaten in five meetings with Cardiff, winning four.
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Our Middlesbrough vs Cardiff Prediction

The international break must have rejuvenated Middlesbrough, who have returned with two straight wins. They are in line to claim a seventh win in the league, as they come here on a strong run against Cardiff. While a win here seems possible, what Boro have struggled with is defence.

They’ve only conceded one goal less than Cardiff, who seem headed to a relegation fight. Cardiff will be looking at this match, targeting to frustrate their hosts, and our prediction for Middlesbrough v Cardiff City is for Middlesbrough to win and BTTS.

Prediction :

 

Middlesbrough to win and BTTS

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.