England - Championship
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Championship Predictions
Derby County and Southampton meet for the first time since 2019, and these two old rivals are promising a blockbuster in Round 9 of the Championship. Only three points separate them on the table, and only one point is keeping The Rams out of the relegation zone. See why we expect end-to-end action in our Derby County vs Southampton match prediction below.
First off, this bet has won in four of their last five meetings, which is already a strong indicator of the mentality they’ll enter this game with. But that’s just one piece of the puzzle. The other part has to do with a consistent trend in their recent games. For The Saints, both teams have scored in their last five games in all competitions and in seven of their eight league games this season.
Even when travelling, both teams have scored in Southampton’s last five away games. This has also been the case for Derby. Both teams have scored in eight of the ten games Derby has played this season. Then at Derby’s home, which is where this game against Southampton takes place, this bet has won in three of their four games this season.
Derby won this bet again in their most recent showing, which was a 1-1 draw against Charlton at home. Southampton also won this bet last time out, and it was also an away game where they won 2-1.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for Derby County v Southampton Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.4 | 3.2 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.6 | 3.2 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.4 | 3.1 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.3 | 3.2 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.55 | 3.25 | 2.1 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Derby County and Southampton?
Our prediction for the Derby County vs Southampton match is: Both Teams To Score - Yes.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/10/2025 between Derby County and Southampton in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 23.9% for a win of Derby County against Southampton with odds of 3.6 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Derby County vs Southampton is 47.2% with odds of 3.26 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 28.9% chance ⭐ for a win of Southampton vs Derby County with odds of 2.15 at Bet365.
Derby County - Southampton Prediction and Best Odds:
| Derby County Southampton Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 47.2% | 3.26 at LSbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.02% | 2.3 at Betfair |
| Both Team To Score | 70.83% | |
| Half-time: Derby County / Full-time: Draw | 20.44% | 15 at Bet365 |
Derby County vs Southampton Form
Derby County and Southampton's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
23 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 1 |
|
17
|
18 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | -3 |
Derby County and Southampton Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Sept 2025 - Championship
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
20 Sept 2025 - Championship
13 Sept 2025 - Championship
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Sept 2025 - Championship
20 Sept 2025 - Championship
22 Aug 2025 - Championship
16 Aug 2025 - Championship
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 May 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
13 Sept 2025 - Championship
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Sept 2025 - Championship
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
23 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup
20 Sept 2025 - Championship
14 Sept 2025 - Championship
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
14 Sept 2025 - Championship
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Sept 2025 - Championship
23 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup
20 Sept 2025 - Championship
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
17 Aug 2025 - Championship
Derby County vs Southampton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
5 Jan 2019 - FA Cup
Derby County against Southampton Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
C. Nelson
S. Langas
O. Beck
MidfielderL. Thompson
ForwardC. Blackett Taylor
Welington
ForwardS. Edozie
Most goals and assists
Derby County
Southampton
C. Morris
(10 Goals)
A. Armstrong
(5 Goals)
J. Ward
(3 Assists)
, 
P. Agyemang
(3 Assists)
R. Stewart
(2 Assists)
Derby County - Southampton Key Points
- Both teams have scored in four of the last five meetings between Derby and Southampton.
- This bet has won in Southampton’s last five games.
- Of Southampton’s eight league games this season, this bet has won in seven games.
- Both teams have scored in Southampton’s last five away games.
- Both teams have scored in eight of Southampton’s last ten away games.
- At home, this bet has won in three of Derby’s four home games this season.
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Our Derby County vs Southampton Prediction
Six years may have gone by, but not much should have changed between The Rams and The Saints in terms of the mentality they’ll be coming into this game with. Both teams, who are hungry for all three points, will be gunning for a win, knowing their history of both sides netting multiple goals.
Both teams have scored in four of their last five meetings, and have also won this bet in almost all of their recent games. Specifically, this bet has won in eight of Derby’s ten games and in seven of Southampton’s eight league games this season. Hence, our Derby County vs Southampton prediction is Both Teams To Score - Yes.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Derby County Southampton
| Derby County vs Southampton | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derby County wins | 3 | 3.4 | +13.3% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.2 | -8.6% |
| Southampton wins | 2.2 | 2.15 | -2.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 8.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 28.6% and is now 31.3% (2.7%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Derby County vs. Southampton game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Derby County and Southampton? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Championship! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
