Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP US Open

ATP - ATP US Open

ATP 48 Canada
Denis Shapovalov
02/09/2026 14:00
ATP 40 France
Luca Van Assche

Prediction :

 

Denis Shapovalov wins

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in ATP US Open Predictions

Two unseeded players face each other in round two of the US Open. Denis Shapovalov is up against Luca van Assche and his opponent has had his best results this year on on the Challenger Tour. Our prediction here is a win for recent Los Cabos finalist Shapovalov.

Round three will see the winner take on either eighth seed Ben Shelton or unseeded Hubert Hurkacz.

Shapovalov was a quarter-finalist in this outdoor hard court Grand Slam six years ago  Last year saw him get to the third round. He has had one previous match against van Assche, beating him on clay at Roland Garros two in 2024.

The Canadian has won nine of his 17 outdoor hard court matches this year. By far his best run came in Los Cabos where he reached the final. Round one here saw him beat Miomir Kecmanovic in four sets.

In the latest rankings, van Assche is 40th, eight places above his opponent. He has a 13-8 record on this surface in 2026 with five Challenger Tour titles won. most recently winning a title in Quebec.

It's been a lot tougher for him on the main tour though with six first round or qualifying losses on outdoor hard courts.

He beat Cameron Norrie in four sets to reach the US Open second round for the first time.

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Denis Shapovalov v Luca Van Assche Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.66 2.14
1xbet
1.63 2.33
Melbet
1.63 2.29
Betwinner
1.62 2.3
22bet
1.62 2.3
Check all Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche odds

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Who will win the Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche match is: Denis Shapovalov wins.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche game on 02/09/2026 of the current ATP US Open season:

  • Denis Shapovalov has a 58.48% chance to win against Luca Van Assche according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 1.7.
  • Luca Van Assche has a 39.32% probability of winning facing Denis Shapovalov ⭐ with odds of 2.33 at 1xbet.

Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Denis Shapovalov has a 58.48 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Denis Shapovalov58.48 %
Luca Van Assche39.32 %

Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Form

Denis Shapovalov and Luca Van Assche Last Matches

Denis Shapovalov Last matches
W L D W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

30 Aug 2026 - ATP US Open

Miomir Kecmanovic
1 :  3
Denis Shapovalov

15 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Rafael Jodar
2 :  1
Denis Shapovalov

13 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Denis Shapovalov
2 :  0
Adrian Mannarino

4 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Zachary Svajda
1 :  1
Denis Shapovalov

1 Aug 2026 - ATP Los Cabos Open

Arthur Gea
2 :  0
Denis Shapovalov

1 Aug 2026 - ATP Los Cabos Open

Cameron Norrie
1 :  2
Denis Shapovalov
Luca Van Assche Last matches
L W W L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

30 Aug 2026 - ATP US Open

Luca Van Assche
3 :  1
Cameron Norrie

25 Aug 2026 - ATP Winston-Salem Open

Luca Van Assche
0 :  2
Aleksandar Kovacevic

14 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Yannick Hanfmann
2 :  0
Luca Van Assche

12 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Luca Van Assche
2 :  1
Dušan Lajović

11 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Luca Van Assche
2 :  0
Gustavo Heide

3 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Luca Van Assche
1 :  2
Titouan Droguet

Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Denis Shapovalov

100 %

Luca Van Assche

0 %

27 May 2024 - ATP French Open

Luca Van Assche
0 :  3
Denis Shapovalov
Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Prediction

Denis Shapovalov - Luca Van Assche Key Points

  1. Shapovalov recently reached the final in Los Cabos.
  2. Shapovalov is a former quarter-finalist in New York.
  3. Van Assche has had most of his success on the Challenger Tour.
  4. Shapovalov won the only previous meeting between these two players.
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Our Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Prediction

Low stakes are probably a good idea for this US Open second round match. Denis Shapovalov has had some good runs in New York in the past and is a recent outdoor hard court finalist. He had a good first round win over Miomir Kecmanovic.

Luca van Assche has had plenty of title wins on the Challenger Tour this year, but it's been a different story at this level with a string of losses in the first round and qualifiers. Our Denis Shapovalov v Luca van Assche prediction is Denis Shapovalov wins.

Prediction :

 

Denis Shapovalov wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.