Sabah FK vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League

Europe - Champions League

Sabah FK
20/10/2026 12:45
Borussia Dortmund

Prediction :

 

Over 3.5 goals

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Champions League Predictions

Champions League first-timers Sabah Baku will welcome former winners Borussia Dortmund in Azerbaijan as matchday three takes center stage this Tuesday. Both sides are eyeing win number two of the league phase, coming from contrasting outings in the last round.

While Sabah registered their first-ever main draw win in the UCL, Borussia Dortmund were subjected to a first defeat. The hosts overcame Czech giants Slavia Prague 2-0 in the last round and will be targeting a bigger scalp in this matchday. The first meeting between the two sides is also Sabah’s first against a German side.

Meanwhile, Dortmund have beaten Azerbaijani teams four times before. In that period, the Bundesliga side conceded just one goal, while scoring 12 times. That will boost their confidence, going into this outing winless in four away UCL matches. From these teams’ scoring returns our prediction will be for the match to see at least three goals scored.

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Sabah FK v Borussia Dortmund Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
9.00 6.40 1.27
1xbet
10.30 6.48 1.31
Melbet
9.90 6.25 1.26
Betwinner
9.90 6.25 1.26
22bet
9.90 6.25 1.26
Check all Sabah FK vs Borussia Dortmund odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Sabah FK and Borussia Dortmund?

Our prediction for the Sabah FK vs Borussia Dortmund match is: over 3.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/10/2026 between Sabah FK and Borussia Dortmund in Champions League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.71% for a win of Sabah FK against Borussia Dortmund with odds of 10.3 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sabah FK vs Borussia Dortmund is 12.74% with odds of 6.48 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 42.55% chance ⭐ for a win of Borussia Dortmund vs Sabah FK with odds of 1.31 at 1xbet.

Sabah FK vs Borussia Dortmund Form

Sabah FK and Borussia Dortmund's standings in the Champions League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
18 Borussia Dortmund
3 2 1 0 1 0
22 Sabah FK
3 2 1 0 1 -2

Sabah FK and Borussia Dortmund Last Matches

Sabah FK
Sabah FK Last matches
L W W D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

17 Oct 2026 - Topaz Premier League

Gabala
0 :  4
Sabah FK

13 Oct 2026 - Champions League

Sabah FK
2 :  0
Slavia Prague

9 Oct 2026 - Topaz Premier League

Neftchi
0 :  0
Sabah FK

19 Sept 2026 - Topaz Premier League

Sabah FK
3 :  1
Imisli FK

14 Sept 2026 - Topaz Premier League

Safa
0 :  3
Sabah FK

10 Sept 2026 - Champions League

Manchester United
4 :  0
Sabah FK
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
33% BTTS
3.5 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

13 Oct 2026 - Champions League

Sabah FK
2 :  0
Slavia Prague

19 Sept 2026 - Topaz Premier League

Sabah FK
3 :  1
Imisli FK

5 Sept 2026 - Topaz Premier League

Sabah FK
5 :  0
Zira FK

25 Aug 2026 - Champions League

Sabah FK
5 :  2
Hapoel Beer Sheva

15 Aug 2026 - Topaz Premier League

Sabah FK
2 :  0
Kapaz

11 Aug 2026 - Champions League

Sabah FK
4 :  0
AGF Aarhus
L W L W D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

17 Oct 2026 - Topaz Premier League

Gabala
0 :  4
Sabah FK

9 Oct 2026 - Topaz Premier League

Neftchi
0 :  0
Sabah FK

14 Sept 2026 - Topaz Premier League

Safa
0 :  3
Sabah FK

10 Sept 2026 - Champions League

Manchester United
4 :  0
Sabah FK

31 Aug 2026 - Topaz Premier League

Araz Nakhchivan
0 :  1
Sabah FK

19 Aug 2026 - Champions League

Hapoel Beer Sheva
2 :  1
Sabah FK
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund Last matches
W W W D L D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

17 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
0 :  0
Borussia Dortmund

14 Oct 2026 - Champions League

Bodoe/Glimt
1 :  0
Borussia Dortmund

9 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  2
Werder Bremen

19 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
0 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

12 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  0
Paderborn

8 Sept 2026 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  2
Villarreal
D L W W W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

9 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  2
Werder Bremen

12 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  0
Paderborn

8 Sept 2026 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  2
Villarreal

29 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  0
Hamburg

22 Aug 2026 - German Super Cup

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  2
Bayern Munich

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  2
Roma
W W W W L D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

17 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
0 :  0
Borussia Dortmund

14 Oct 2026 - Champions League

Bodoe/Glimt
1 :  0
Borussia Dortmund

19 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
0 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

5 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Hoffenheim
2 :  3
Borussia Dortmund

1 Sept 2026 - DFB Pokal

HEBC Hamburg
0 :  5
Borussia Dortmund

9 Aug 2026 - Emirates Cup

Arsenal
2 :  3
Borussia Dortmund

Sabah FK - Borussia Dortmund: Form Analysis

Sabah Baku have a big game on the horizon, and with it comes a massive opportunity as the 1997 Champions League winners visit. The Azerbaijan side hasn’t lost a game since their 4-0 matchday one defeat to Manchester United.

They managed a 2-0 victory at home against Slavia Prague on matchday two. It means they are well warmed up for this game after they thumped Gabala 4-0 in their last game before switching lanes back to the UCL. In their last five matches, they posted four wins while scoring at least three times in three of their last five games.

Borussia Dortmund are winless in their last three matches, failing to score in two.

German giants Dortmund had a reality check on matchday two as they suffered a 1-0 defeat away to Bodo/Glimt. They have back-to-back away matches in the Champions League and will be keen on avoiding another loss here. Their record on the road in UCL hasn’t been the best, with the former champions winless in the last four.

That will be a big fear they carry to Azerbaijan, especially as they haven’t managed a win in any of their last three matches. The latest in that run was a 0-0 draw with Union Berlin. Among those three was their loss to Bodo/Glimt, the first of two straight games in which they failed to score.

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Sabah FK vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

Missing players

Sabah FK
Sabah FK
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
Midfielder

E. Can

G. Konstantelias

J. Lerma

Sabah FK & Borussia Dortmund Squad Analysis

Sabah Baku are operating with a fully fit squad and will hope this plays out well as they seek their second-ever win at this stage. Rwandese forward Joy-Lance Mickels was among the players rested in the team’s weekend win against Gabala.

The man on 10 goals is expected to be back in the team, though manager Valdas Dambrauskas will be forced to make tough choices. Mickels scored in the win on matchday two, adding to four goals in qualification. As he was benched on the weekend, Aleksey Isayev scored a brace and will be pushing for a start. Dambrauskas can also look at this as a good problem to have.

Dortmund’s Nico Schlotterback is back in contention and could get his first UCL callup.

At Dortmund, the injuries haven’t eased by much. Emre Can, Giannis Konstantelias, and Justin Lerma are still unavailable. Manager Noko Kovac is, however, not worried so much about the absentees but the present ones who are hitting the expected targets.

Serhou Guirassy is a culprit here, having failed to score in the last five matches. Though he only featured for 30 minutes in the loss to Bodo/Glimt, the Guinean hasn’t been at his absolute best in recent times.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Sabah FK
CD Huachipato Borussia Dortmund
Top Goalscorer
Rwanda J. Mickels (1 Goals) , 
Jamaica K. Parris (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Guinea S. Guirassy (2 Goals)
Best assists
Croatia I. Lepinjica (1 Assists) , 
Gabon O. Mbina (1 Assists)
Best assists
Portugal F. Silva (1 Assists)

Sabah FK and Borussia Dortmund Stats in Champions League

Sabah FK
Sabah FK
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
70%
Wins
50%
30%
Losses
50%
0%
Draws
0%
3.1
Average goals per match
3
2
Goals scored per match
1.5
1.1
Goals conceded per match
1.5
40%
Under 2.5 goals
50%
60%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
50%
No goals conceded
0%
40%
BTTS
50%

Sabah FK - Borussia Dortmund Key Points

  1. In six of Dortmund’s last 10 matches 3+ goals were scored.
  2. Dortmund scored three times in half of their last eight games.
  3. Seven of Sabah’s last 10 outings produced three or more goals.
  4. Sabah’s last five home matches had 20 goals scored.
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Our Sabah FK vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

After posting their first win in the main draw of the Champions League, minnows Sabah will be confident coming into this encounter. There won’t be a lot to limit their belief after that win, and playing in front of home support will work well for them.

With rested players expected to start, Sabah will be fearless. They face an experienced Dortmund side, though, and we don’t think the Germans will sit back. This could lead to both sides scoring, but it looks increasingly possible for a high-scoring game. Our prediction for Sabah v Borussia Dortmund is for over 3.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Over 3.5 goals

 
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Sabah FK vs Borussia Dortmund Alternative Predictions

Draw

Odds 6.25

While this will not be an easy game for the Germans, especially as they play away from home, we do not expect the visitors to lose. Sabah will be motivated for this, as they look to make the most of home support.

Dortmund are on four straight winless outings away in the CL, and in this shape, we will not be backing them a lot. Our second bet for this game is for the match to end in a draw.

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Sabah FK vs Borussia Dortmund - FAQs

This match will be aired live on CBC Sport and Ictimai TV in Azerbaijan, while in Germany it will be on DAZN and Amazon Prime. Sportytrader will also have this Champions League game's updates.

The Champions League match between Sabah FK and Borussia Dortmund will take place at the Baku Olympic Stadium on 2026-10-20 at 17:45.
The referee for the Champions League match between Sabah FK and Borussia Dortmund is Javier Alberola Rojas.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.