Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinner Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Indian Wells
ATP - ATP Indian Wells
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Indian Wells Predictions
Second seed Jannik Sinner takes on 11th-seeded Daniil Medvedev in the final of the BNP Paribas Open. It’s the first time Sinner has reached the final of this outdoor hard court tournament at Indian Wells. Read our match prediction below.
Sinner is also in his first final of 2026 and has made it to this title decider without losing a set. The semi-finals saw him beat fourth-seed Alexander Zverev in straight sets.. He has a 12-2 record this year with a previous best of a semi-final at the Australian Open.
Daniil Medvedev was runner-up here in both 2023 and 2024, losing on both occasions to Carlos Alcaraz.
A win on Sunday will give Medvedev his third title of the year, all on this surface. Titles have been won in Brisbane and Dubai. He’s made it to this final without losing a set. The last two rounds have seen him beat defending champion Jack Draper and world number one Carlos Alcaraz.
Medvedev trails Sinner 8-7 in previous meetings but won the first six played. Sinner has dominated him since, especially on this surface with six out of seven matches being won. Sinner has only lost one set in their last three matches.
We tip Sinner to win and under 22.5 games.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Daniil Medvedev v Jannik Sinner Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
4 | 1.25 |
|
|
4 | 1.25 |
|
|
4 | 1.25 |
|
|
3.75 | 1.23 |
|
|
3.75 | 1.23 |
|
Who will win the Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinner Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinner match is: Jannik Sinner wins and under 22.5.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinner game on 15/03/2026 of the current ATP Indian Wells season:
- Daniil Medvedev has a 34.98% chance to win against Jannik Sinner according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 4.25.
- Jannik Sinner has a 65.02% probability of winning facing Daniil Medvedev ⭐ with odds of 1.25 at Melbet.
Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinner Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Daniil Medvedev has a 34.98 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Daniil Medvedev | 34.98 % |
| Jannik Sinner | 65.02 % |
Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinner Form
Daniil Medvedev and Jannik Sinner Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
14 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
12 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
11 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
9 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
7 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
27 Feb 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
14 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
12 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
10 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
8 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
6 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
19 Feb 2026 - ATP Qatar Open
Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinner Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
83 %
14 Nov 2024 - ATP Finals
10 Oct 2024 - ATP Shanghai Masters
4 Sept 2024 - ATP US Open
9 Jul 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
29 Mar 2024 - ATP Miami
28 Jan 2024 - ATP Australian Open
Daniil Medvedev - Jannik Sinner Key Points
- Four of Sinner's five matches in this tournament have had under 22.5 games played in them.
- Sinner has only lost nine games in his last two matches.
- Sinner has won his last five outdoor hard court matches against Medvedev.
- Under 22.5 games have been played in each of Sinner's last three matches played over this format.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinner Prediction
Both players have made it to the final at Indian Wells without losing a set. Jannik Sinner has only lost nine games in the last couple of rounds and was a comfortable winner over Alexander Zverev on Saturday.
Daniil Medvedev had a tougher match against Carlos Alcaraz but has made it to his third final here. His recent record against Sinner is poor, especially on this surface. Our Daniil Medvedev v Jannik Sinner prediction is Jannik Sinner wins and under 22.5.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
