Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tien Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Australian Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Australian Open Predictions
25th seed Learner Tien is in round four of the Australian Open for the second successive year. To reach the quarter-finals of this outdoor hard court Grand Slam, he must continue his good record against 11th seed Daniil Medvedev. Read our match prediction below.
In the last eight, the winner will face either third seed Alexander Zverev or 18th-seeded Francisco Cerundolo.
The Russian is unbeaten in his eight matches played this year, winning the Brisbane International. His winning run nearly came to an end in round three. He had to come from two sets down to defeat Fabian Marozsan. Each of his three matches this week have included a tie-break.
Learner Tien has won two of his three previous matches against Medvedev, though the Russian retired in one.
All were played on this surface, including a win for Tien in last year's Australian Open. That went to five sets with three tie-breaks played. Medvedev won the most recent match played in Shanghai three months ago.
Tien struggled in round one and needed five sets to beat Marcos Giron. Four were needed to defeat Alexander Shevchenko but he then got a straight sets win over Nuno Borges. The American has played three tie-breaks so far this week.
We tip more than 0.5 tie-breaks in this match.
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Daniil Medvedev v Learner Tien Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.46 | 2.71 |
|
|
1.45 | 2.76 |
|
|
1.44 | 2.75 |
|
|
1.41 | 2.7 |
|
|
1.41 | 2.72 |
|
Who will win the Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tien Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tien match is: more than 0.5 tie-breaks.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tien game on 25/01/2026 of the current ATP Australian Open season:
- Daniil Medvedev has a 58.68% chance to win against Learner Tien according to Shangrila ⭐ with the odds of 1.47.
- Learner Tien has a 41.32% probability of winning facing Daniil Medvedev ⭐ with odds of 2.76 at Betwinner.
Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tien Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Daniil Medvedev has a 58.68 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Daniil Medvedev | 58.68 % |
| Learner Tien | 41.32 % |
Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tien Form
Daniil Medvedev and Learner Tien Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
22 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
20 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
18 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
11 Jan 2026 - Brisbane International
10 Jan 2026 - Brisbane International
9 Jan 2026 - Brisbane International
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
22 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
21 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
18 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
6 Jan 2026 - Brisbane International
4 Jan 2026 - Brisbane International
21 Dec 2025 - Next Gen ATP Finals
Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tien Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
8 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
16 Jan 2025 - ATP Australian Open
Daniil Medvedev - Learner Tien Key Points
- These two players met in last year's Australian Open and three tie-breaks were played.
- A total of five tie-breaks have been played in their three previous meetings.
- Tien has played three tie-breaks so far in this tournament.
- A tie-break has been played in each of the last four matches Medvedev has played.
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Our Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tien Prediction
We could be set for a long match here. In their three previous meetings, both Tien and Medvedev won a set and five tie-breaks were played. Medvedev will be out for some revenge after losing a marathon five-setter in Melbourne last year.
Medvedev is likely to win this match. He's unbeaten this year and fought back well to beat Fabian Marozsan in the last round. Tien will not be an easy opponent at all. Our Daniil Medvedev v Learner Tien prediction is more than 0.5 tie-breaks.
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It does not matter whether you bet on Daniil Medvedev or Learner Tien, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
