Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsan Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Australian Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Australian Open Predictions
Round three of the Australian Open sees 11th seed Danil Medvedev face unseeded Fabian Marozsan. Whoever qualifies will take on either 25th seed Learner Tien or unseeded Nuno Borges for a place in the fourth round. Time for our match prediction,
Daniil Medvedev has been the losing finalist three times in this outdoor hard court Grand Slam. most recently in 2024.
Medvedev won the Brisbane International earlier this month, losing one set in five matches. So far in Melbourne, the Russian has beaten Jesper de Jong in straight sets and Quentin Halys in four sets after losing the first to take his 2026 record to 7-0 and is 11th in the live rankings.
Both of the previous matches between these two players have been won by Medvedev and in straight sets.
Fabian Marozsan is 5-2 for this year and made it to the last four in Adelaide last week.
Fabian Marozsan has only ever reached round three of a Grand Slam in Melbourne. This is his third successive round three appearance but he is yet to get any further. The Hungarian has beaten 24th seed Arthur Rinderknech and Kamil Majchrzak this week, both in four sets. He’s now 46th in the live rankings.
We tip Medvedev to win in straight sets.
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Daniil Medvedev v Fabian Marozsan Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.18 | 4.78 |
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1.18 | 4.9 |
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1.17 | 5 |
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1.16 | 4.6 |
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1.16 | 4.6 |
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Who will win the Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsan Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsan match is: Daniil Medvedev wins in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsan game on 22/01/2026 of the current ATP Australian Open season:
- Daniil Medvedev has a 76.47% chance to win against Fabian Marozsan according to Melbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.18.
- Fabian Marozsan has a 23.53% probability of winning facing Daniil Medvedev ⭐ with odds of 5.4 at Tonybet.
Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsan Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Daniil Medvedev has a 76.47 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Daniil Medvedev | 76.47 % |
| Fabian Marozsan | 23.53 % |
Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsan Form
Daniil Medvedev and Fabian Marozsan Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
20 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
18 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
11 Jan 2026 - Brisbane International
10 Jan 2026 - Brisbane International
9 Jan 2026 - Brisbane International
6 Jan 2026 - Brisbane International
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
20 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
18 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
15 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic
15 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic
14 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic
13 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic
Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
17 Oct 2025 - Almaty Open
29 Aug 2024 - ATP US Open
Daniil Medvedev - Fabian Marozsan Key Points
- Medvedev is 35 places ahead of his opponent in the live rankings.
- Marozsan has lost both of his previous matches against Medvedev in straight sets.
- Medvedev has already won one title this year and has won all seven of his matches this year.
- Medvedev has only lost two sets in his seven matches played in 2026.
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Our Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsan Prediction
Daniil Medvedev has made it to at least the quarter-finals in five of his last six tournaments. This year has already seen him lift one trophy and the Russian has won all seven of the matches he has played in 2026 and is second in the ATP Race.
The only two sets he's lost this year were both decided by tie-breaks. His previous two matches against Fabian Marozsan have both been won in straight sets, the most recent being last October. Our Daniil Medvedev v Fabian Marozsan prediction is Daniil Medvedev wins in straight sets.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.