Daniil Medvedev vs Alex Michelsen Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Indian Wells
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Indian Wells Predictions
To reach the quarter-finals of the BNP Paribas Open, unseeded Alex Michelsen must beat 11th seed Danill Medvedev. That's something the American has never previously achieved. Can he cause an upset? Read our match prediction below.
Whoever wins this will face either third seed Novak Djokovic or defending champion Jack Draper in the last eight.
Alex Michelsen hasn't just lost his three previous matches against Medvedev, he's yet to win a set. These players met in this outdoor hard court tournament last year but Michelsen retired after losing the first two games.
He has won nine of his 14 matches this year (8-4 on this surface). His best performance by far was a semi-final in Brisbane where he was beaten by Medvedev. To reach this stage at Indian Wells, he's beaten Daniel Merida Aguilar, Ugo Humbert and Taylor Fritz.
Daniil Medvedev is 11th in the live rankings (29 ahead of Michelsen) but only two players have earned more ranking points than him this year. He's already won outdoor hard court titles in Brisbane and Dubai.
His two matches so far in this Sunshine Swing tournament have been won against Alejandro Tabilo and Sebastian Baez with only ten games being lost. We tip him to defeat Michelsen in straight sets.
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Daniil Medvedev v Alex Michelsen Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.28 | 3.66 |
|
|
1.29 | 3.62 |
|
|
1.25 | 4 |
|
|
1.26 | 3.55 |
|
|
1.26 | 3.55 |
|
Who will win the Daniil Medvedev vs Alex Michelsen Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Daniil Medvedev vs Alex Michelsen match is: Daniil Medvedev wins in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Daniil Medvedev vs Alex Michelsen game on 11/03/2026 of the current ATP Indian Wells season:
- Daniil Medvedev has a 70.04% chance to win against Alex Michelsen according to Betwinner ⭐ with the odds of 1.29.
- Alex Michelsen has a 29.96% probability of winning facing Daniil Medvedev ⭐ with odds of 4 at Bet365.
Daniil Medvedev vs Alex Michelsen Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Daniil Medvedev has a 70.04 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Daniil Medvedev | 70.04 % |
| Alex Michelsen | 29.96 % |
Daniil Medvedev vs Alex Michelsen Form
Daniil Medvedev and Alex Michelsen Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
9 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
7 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
27 Feb 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
26 Feb 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
25 Feb 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
24 Feb 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
9 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
7 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
5 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
18 Feb 2026 - ATP Delray Beach Open
16 Feb 2026 - ATP Delray Beach Open
11 Feb 2026 - Dallas Open
Daniil Medvedev vs Alex Michelsen Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
10 Jan 2026 - Brisbane International
20 Jun 2025 - ATP Halle Open
Daniil Medvedev - Alex Michelsen Key Points
- Medvedev leads Michelsen 3-0 in previous meetings and beat him in Brisbane this year.
- Michelsen has never won a set against Medvedev.
- Medvedev has won two titles this year and has won 15 of his 17 matches on this surface.
- Only two players have earned more ranking points than Medvedev in 2026.
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Our Daniil Medvedev vs Alex Michelsen Prediction
Daniil Medvedev has been in excellent form this year. He's won two titles and made it to round four of the Australian Open. The last 16 has been reached here with only ten games lost and only 28 games have been lost in his last six matches.
Alex Michelsen has never won a set against his opponent and lost to him in Brisbane this year but had struggled in subsequent tournaments. He's had some good wins so far but our Daniil Medvedev v Alex Michelsen prediction is Daniil Medvedev wins in straight sets.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Daniil Medvedev vs. Alex Michelsen game!
When you place a bet on the match between Daniil Medvedev and Alex Michelsen you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Daniil Medvedev or Alex Michelsen, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
