Daniel Merida vs Andrey Rublev Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP US Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP US Open Predictions
Andrey Rublev has a good record in the US Open and has reached the fourth round for the past two years. The 23rd seed takes on unseeded Daniel Merida in round two. He's made it to three outdoor hard court semi-finals this year and our prediction is a Rublev win.
In the next round, the winner will face either 16th seed Brandon Nakashima or unseeded Alex Michelsen.
Rublev has made it to round three of this outdoor hard court Grand Slam in each of the past seven years with three quarter-finals reached. Rublev will hope this is the tournament in which he finally gets to a Grand Slam semi-final after ten quarter-final defeats.
He beat Otto Virtanen in round one. He came from two sets down in that match and played three tie-breaks. That's five he's played in his last three matches and a side bet on one here may well be successful.
Daniel Merida had a much easier route to round two as he beat fellow unseeded player Marton Fucsovics in straight sets.
Merida is playing in the main draw of this tournament for the first time after failing to qualify in 2025. He's yet to get past round two of a Grand Slam and has only reached one outdoor quarter-final this year.
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Daniel Merida v Andrey Rublev Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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2.13 | 1.67 |
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2.2 | 1.7 |
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2.18 | 1.69 |
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2.18 | 1.69 |
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2.18 | 1.69 |
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Who will win the Daniel Merida vs Andrey Rublev Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Daniel Merida vs Andrey Rublev match is: Andrey Rublev wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Daniel Merida vs Andrey Rublev game on 02/09/2026 of the current ATP US Open season:
- Daniel Merida has a 45.5% chance to win against Andrey Rublev according to 1xbet ⭐ with the odds of 2.2.
- Andrey Rublev has a 54.5% probability of winning facing Daniel Merida ⭐ with odds of 1.73 at Bet365.
Daniel Merida vs Andrey Rublev Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Daniel Merida has a 45.5 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Daniel Merida | 45.5 % |
| Andrey Rublev | 54.5 % |
Daniel Merida vs Andrey Rublev Form
Daniel Merida and Andrey Rublev Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
30 Aug 2026 - ATP US Open
18 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
16 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
14 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
11 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
9 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
31 Aug 2026 - ATP US Open
18 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
16 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
4 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
24 Jul 2026 - ATP Estoril Open
23 Jul 2026 - ATP Estoril Open
Daniel Merida - Andrey Rublev Key Points
- Rublev was 15 places above his opponent in the latest rankings.
- Rublev has made it to three ATP Tour outdoor hard court semi-finals this year.
- Merida has never reached round three of a Grand Slam.
- Rublev has reached at least the third round of this tournament in each of the past seven years.
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Our Daniel Merida vs Andrey Rublev Prediction
Andrey Rublev has been so consistent in the US Open but still can't manage to reach that elusive first Grand Slam semi-final. He has made it to that stage in three ATP Tour outdoor hard court tournaments this year.
Daniel Merida is making his main draw debut in the US Open. He has limited experience in Grand Slam events but looked good in round one. This may well go to four or five sets. Our main Daniel Merida v Andrey Rublev prediction is Andrey Rublev wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
