Corinthians vs Palmeiras Prediction & Betting Tips - Brasileirão Serie A
Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A
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by Thobelani Moyo | in Football Predictions
The 2023 Champions, Palmeiras, will travel to Neo Quimica Arena to lock horns with Corinthians on matchday 11 of the Serie A Betano. Corinthians are in 16th place in the league standings, while Palmeiras leads at the top with a five-point cushion. Here's our match prediction.
Corinthians are coming off a morale-boosting result against Platense in the CONMEBOL Libertadores group stages. Second-half goals from Kayke and Yuri Alberto sealed an important 2-0 victory on the road.
That result couldn't have come at a better time for Timao, who had gone seven league games without a win. Their recent match was a 1-0 home defeat against Internacional, extending their losing streak to two games.
Palmeiras have set their sights anew in the 2025-26 Serie A Betano season: to clinch the league title. They were forced to play second fiddle, watching Botafogo and Flamengo lift the silverware in the previous two campaigns.
This season, however, they have taken charge of the title race. It's thanks to their strong start, which has seen them win eight of their last ten league games (D1, L1). Notably, they head into this clash boasting a five-match winning streak.
Their most recent win came against Bahia, triumphing 2-1 on the road. The Green and White failed to build on this momentum in the CONMEBOL Libertadores group stages. They played a 1-1 draw against Colombia's Junior de Barranquilla on the road.
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Corinthians v Palmeiras Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.95 | 3.15 | 2.55 |
|
|
2.98 | 3.07 | 2.55 |
|
|
2.98 | 3.08 | 2.56 |
|
|
2.85 | 3.1 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.9 | 3 | 2.52 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Corinthians and Palmeiras?
Our prediction for the Corinthians vs Palmeiras match is: Palmeiras wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/04/2026 between Corinthians and Palmeiras in Brasileirão Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 27.16% for a win of Corinthians against Palmeiras with odds of 3 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Corinthians vs Palmeiras is 19.76% with odds of 3.2 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 53.08% chance ⭐ for a win of Palmeiras vs Corinthians with odds of 2.6 at LSbet.
Corinthians - Palmeiras Prediction and Best Odds:
| Corinthians Palmeiras Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras wins | 53.08% | 2.6 at LSbet |
| Under 2.5 | 60.6% | 2.1 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score: No | 53.75% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Palmeiras | 28.48% | 6.25 at LSbet |
Corinthians vs Palmeiras Form
Corinthians and Palmeiras's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
41 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | +17 |
|
10
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | -1 |
Corinthians and Palmeiras Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
5 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
1 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
22 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
15 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
22 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
11 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
12 Feb 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
8 Feb 2026 - Paulista Serie A1
5 Feb 2026 - Paulista Serie A1
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
1 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
15 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
28 Feb 2026 - Paulista Serie A1
25 Feb 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
5 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
2 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
18 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
15 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
18 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
15 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
4 Mar 2026 - Paulista Serie A1
1 Mar 2026 - Paulista Serie A1
25 Feb 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
5 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
12 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
8 Mar 2026 - Paulista Serie A1
12 Feb 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
Corinthians vs Palmeiras Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
8 Feb 2026 - Paulista Serie A1
31 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
6 Aug 2025 - Copa do Brasil
30 Jul 2025 - Copa do Brasil
12 Apr 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
27 Mar 2025 - Paulista Serie A1
Corinthians against Palmeiras Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
Kaue
DefenderIago Machado
J. Jacare
MidfielderBahia
Z. Labyad
J. Lingard
M. Pereira
Allan
ForwardDieguinho
P. Raul
A. Carrillo
Vitinho
M. Lomba
DefenderB. Fuchs
L. Benedetti
A. Santana Marcolino
E. Martinez
L. Ferreira dos Santos
L. Pacheco da Costa
L. Evangelista
R. Fillipi
Luighi
E. Bele
F. Anderson
Missing players
Tchoca
MidfielderCharles
Hugo
ForwardM. Depay
J. Piquerez
ForwardV. Roque
Most goals and assists
Corinthians
Palmeiras
Andre
(3 Goals)
J. Lopez
(6 Goals)
R. Garro
(6 Assists)
A. Pereira
(10 Assists)
Corinthians - Palmeiras Key Points
- Corinthians are winless in their last seven Serie A Betano games.
- Palmeiras are currently on a five-match winning streak in the league.
- Corinthians are winless in their last three home league games. They lost twice during this run.
- Palmeiras have won their last two away league games.
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Our Corinthians vs Palmeiras Prediction
Corinthians are far from their best and, in truth, have been poor. They are winless in seven league games and are riding a two-match losing streak. Considering they are winless in their last two games in this fixture (D1, L1), they are unlikely to give their opponents a hard time here.
Palmeiras have not won away in the league against Corinthians, which goes to explain their status as slight favourites. However, for a side that has won their last five league games, we anticipate them securing a hard-fought win on the road. Our Corinthians vs Palmeiras prediction: Palmeiras wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Corinthians Palmeiras
| Corinthians vs Palmeiras | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corinthians wins | 2.8 | 3 | +7.1% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.2 | -1.5% |
| Palmeiras wins | 2.49 | 2.6 | +4.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Palmeiras is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 4.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 40.2% and is now 38.5% (-1.7%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
