Connacht Rugby vs Cardiff Rugby Prediction & Betting Tips - Challenge Cup

Europe - Challenge Cup

Connacht Rugby
05/04/2025 15:00
Cardiff Rugby

Prediction :

 

Connacht -7.5 points handicap

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in Challenge Cup Predictions

Connacht will host Cardiff Rugby in this 2024-25 European Rugby Challenge Cup round-of-16 clash on Saturday. The winner of this match will face either USA Perpignan or Racing 92 in the next round. Can the Westerners defeat Blue and Blacks to qualify for the quarterfinals? Here is our prediction for the match.

Connacht suffered their second defeat in a row, losing 30-24 at home against Munster in their last match. However, despite their dwindling fortunes in the United Rugby Championship this season, the Galway-based side have been formidable opposition in the 2024-25 European Rugby Challenge Cup.

They have won their four matches in the competition, the most recent of which being an impressive 28-19 away victory over Cardiff Rugby in Group 1 matchday 4 fixture. 

Cardiff Rugby have had an underwhelming run both on the domestic and European scenes this season. After a five-match losing streak in the United Rugby Championship, they secured a narrow 20-17 home win over Lions in matchday 13. This was followed by a 20-19 loss against Benetton in their last match.

Also, Matt Sherratt's side have lost three of their four European Rugby Challenge Cup matches (W1), with the most recent being the 28-19 home loss to Connacht.

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Connacht Rugby vs Cardiff Rugby Form

Connacht Rugby and Cardiff Rugby Last Matches

Connacht Rugby
Connacht Rugby Last matches
W L W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

17 Jan 2025 - Challenge Cup

Cardiff Rugby
19 :  28
Connacht Rugby

11 Jan 2025 - Challenge Cup

Connacht Rugby
52 :  24
Lyon Ou

15 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup

USA Perpignan
18 :  31
Connacht Rugby

7 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup

Connacht Rugby
43 :  12
Zebre

14 Apr 2024 - Challenge Cup

Benetton Treviso
39 :  24
Connacht Rugby

7 Apr 2024 - Challenge Cup

Section Paloise
30 :  40
Connacht Rugby
L W W W
Wins

3/4 (75%)

Draw

0/4 (0%)

Losses

1/4 (25%)

11 Jan 2025 - Challenge Cup

Connacht Rugby
52 :  24
Lyon Ou

7 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup

Connacht Rugby
43 :  12
Zebre

19 Jan 2024 - Champions Cup

Connacht Rugby
27 :  10
Bristol RC Bears

8 Dec 2023 - Champions Cup

Connacht Rugby
5 :  41
Union Bordeaux Begles
L L W L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

17 Jan 2025 - Challenge Cup

Cardiff Rugby
19 :  28
Connacht Rugby

15 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup

USA Perpignan
18 :  31
Connacht Rugby

14 Apr 2024 - Challenge Cup

Benetton Treviso
39 :  24
Connacht Rugby

7 Apr 2024 - Challenge Cup

Section Paloise
30 :  40
Connacht Rugby

13 Jan 2024 - Champions Cup

Lyon Ou
34 :  20
Connacht Rugby

16 Dec 2023 - Champions Cup

Saracens FC
55 :  36
Connacht Rugby
Cardiff Rugby
Cardiff Rugby Last matches
L L L W L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

17 Jan 2025 - Challenge Cup

Cardiff Rugby
19 :  28
Connacht Rugby

11 Jan 2025 - Challenge Cup

USA Perpignan
23 :  20
Cardiff Rugby

14 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup

Cardiff Rugby
26 :  10
Cheetahs

7 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup

Lyon Ou
37 :  26
Cardiff Rugby

20 Jan 2024 - Champions Cup

Racing 92
48 :  26
Cardiff Rugby

13 Jan 2024 - Champions Cup

Cardiff Rugby
15 :  54
Harlequins FC
L L W L
Wins

1/4 (25%)

Draw

0/4 (0%)

Losses

3/4 (75%)

17 Jan 2025 - Challenge Cup

Cardiff Rugby
19 :  28
Connacht Rugby

14 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup

Cardiff Rugby
26 :  10
Cheetahs

13 Jan 2024 - Champions Cup

Cardiff Rugby
15 :  54
Harlequins FC

16 Dec 2023 - Champions Cup

Cardiff Rugby
32 :  39
Bath Rugby
L L L L
Wins

0/4 (0%)

Draw

0/4 (0%)

Losses

4/4 (100%)

11 Jan 2025 - Challenge Cup

USA Perpignan
23 :  20
Cardiff Rugby

7 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup

Lyon Ou
37 :  26
Cardiff Rugby

20 Jan 2024 - Champions Cup

Racing 92
48 :  26
Cardiff Rugby

9 Dec 2023 - Champions Cup

Stade Toulousain
52 :  7
Cardiff Rugby

Connacht Rugby vs Cardiff Rugby Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Connacht Rugby

100 %

Draw

0 %

Cardiff Rugby

0 %

17 Jan 2025 - Challenge Cup

Cardiff Rugby
19 :  28
Connacht Rugby

Players list

Connacht Rugby
Connacht Rugby
J. Devine S. Gilbert D. Tierney-Martin P. Boyle J. Ioane J. Murphy C. Prendergast S. Bolton B. Bohan S. Hurley-Langton D. Murray S. Jennings B. Murphy S. Illo B. Aki
Cardiff Rugby
Cardiff Rugby
M. Johan J. McNally R. Jennings R. Thornton K. Assarratti L. Belcher J. Adams T. Basham B. Thomas R. Barratt C. Winnett J. Beetham J. Botham I. Lloyd D. Thomas

Substitutes

Connacht Rugby
Connacht Rugby
P. Dooley J. Joyce F. Bealham D. Heffernan S. O Brien S. Naughton H. Gavin M. Devine
Cardiff Rugby
Cardiff Rugby
G. Nott D. Hughes J. Sebastian A. Lawrence T. Bowen E. Lloyd E. Bevan D. Southworth

Connacht Rugby - Cardiff Rugby Key Points

  1. Connacht have won three of their last four home matches, averaging a 13.7-point winning margin.
  2. Connacht have won their four 2024-25 European Rugby Challenge Cup matches, three of which by double-digit margins.
  3. Cardiff Rugby have lost their last four away matches, scoring 82 points and conceding 109.
  4. Cardiff Rugby have lost their last five away matches against Connacht Rugby.
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Our Connacht Rugby vs Cardiff Rugby Prediction

Cardiff Rugby will aim to turn a corner and return to winning ways after a four-match losing streak on the road. However, they will face a huge task against an in-form Connacht, who have won all their 2024-25 European Rugby Challenge Cup matches. Three of these victories have been by double-digit margins.

Additionally, Connacht have won three of their last four matches with an average winning margin of 13.7 points. They have also dominated Cardiff Rugby, winning their last five encounters. Our Connacht vs Cardiff Rugby prediction is Connacht -7.5 points handicap.

Prediction :

 

Connacht -7.5 points handicap

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Connacht Rugby vs Cardiff Rugby Prediction