Charlton Athletic vs Chelsea Prediction & Betting Tips - FA Cup
England - FA Cup
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by Joseph King | in FA Cup Predictions
The FA Cup is back this weekend with the third round as Charlton Athletic host Chelsea at The Valley. Will the Addicks be able to upset the odds on home soil against the Blues in their first meeting in nearly 20 years? Check out our match prediction below!
Charlton will be hoping to play the role of giant-killers on Saturday when they welcome the Club World Cup and Conference League champions. The hosts, who won the FA Cup back in 1946-47, are looking to make it past the third round for the first time in 12 years.
There will be plenty of intrigue to see how new head coach Liam Rosenior lines up his Chelsea squad with the 41-year-old taking charge of his first official match as Blues boss. Rosenior, who was previously managing fellow BlueCo club Strasbourg, had a successful two-year stint in charge of the French side. He’s now got a big job to do as Chelsea sit eighth in the Premier League standings. Securing passage to the FA Cup fourth round with a strong display would be the ideal start.
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The Best Betting Odds for Charlton Athletic v Chelsea Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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7.5 | 5.25 | 1.33 |
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|
7.4 | 5.2 | 1.37 |
|
|
7.5 | 5.15 | 1.38 |
|
|
7.8 | 5.4 | 1.33 |
|
|
8.6 | 5.8 | 1.35 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Charlton Athletic and Chelsea?
Our prediction for the Charlton Athletic vs Chelsea match is: Chelsea to win to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/01/2026 between Charlton Athletic and Chelsea in FA Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 26.49% for a win of Charlton Athletic against Chelsea with odds of 9.15 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Charlton Athletic vs Chelsea is 35.36% with odds of 5.8 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 38.15% chance ⭐ for a win of Chelsea vs Charlton Athletic with odds of 1.38 at Melbet.
Charlton Athletic - Chelsea Prediction and Best Odds:
| Charlton Athletic Chelsea Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Chelsea wins | 38.15% | 1.38 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.18% | 1.58 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 73.81% | 1.91 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Chelsea | 17.74% | 4 at Bet365 |
Charlton Athletic vs Chelsea Form
Charlton Athletic and Chelsea Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
9 Dec 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
4 Nov 2025 - Championship
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Nov 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
16 Dec 2025 - Carabao Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
13 Dec 2025 - Premier League
30 Nov 2025 - Premier League
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
8 Nov 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
16 Dec 2025 - Carabao Cup
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
Charlton Athletic - Chelsea: Form Analysis
A poor run of just one win in the last 11 games has seen Charlton slip closer and closer to the relegation zone, which they currently lead by just five points. They come into this fixture on a four-match winless run, with the last two ending in draws following their 2-2 away stalemate with Blackburn on Sunday.
It’s been a struggle defensively for Charlton, who have been leaking goals. They’ve managed only a single clean sheet in their last 11, conceding 21 goals during that stretch.
Rosenior leaves France with a 32-14-17 record across all competitions.
He guided Strasbourg to a seventh-place finish in Ligue 1 and secured Le Racing a spot in the Conference League.
Chelsea’s seventh red card of the season put them in a tough position in their Premier League clash with Fulham on Wednesday. An 81st minute Harry Wilson goal condemned Chelsea to a 2-1 away loss, extending their winless run to five games (D3, L2). Their last victory came in the EFL Cup back in mid December.
As a result, Chelsea are eighth in the standings and four points off the top four. Chelsea were eliminated in the fourth round last season, but have made it to the final in five of the last nine FA Cups.
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Players list
W. Mannion
DefenderJ. Bree
A. Bell
L. Jones
MidfielderS. Carey
G. Docherty
C. Coventry
K. Gough
ForwardM. Leaburn
T. Campbell
C. Kelman
F. Jorgensen
DefenderJ. Hato
J. Acheampong
T. Adarabioyo
B. Badiashile
MidfielderF. Buonanotte
M. Caicedo
A. Santos
ForwardA. Garnacho
J. Gittens
M. Guiu
Substitutes
A. Maynard-Brewer
DefenderM. Gillesphey
L. Berry
R. Apter
J. Rankin-Costello
I. Fullah
K. Anderson
I. Olaofe
H. Knibbs
R. Sanchez
DefenderT. Chalobah
W. Fofana
D. Essugo
E. Fernandez
L. Delap
Estevao
Joao Pedro
P. Neto
Missing players
R. Burke
K. Ramsay
MidfielderO. Hernandez
ForwardM. Godden
L. Colwill
M. Gusto
MidfielderR. Lavia
Charlton Athletic & Chelsea Squad Analysis
Charlton manager Nathan Jones will be without four players ahead of this cup tie with Reece Burke, Onel Hernandez, Kayne Ramsay and Matt Godden missing out.
Striker Charlie Kelman is the in-form man for the Addicks. The 24-year-old scored a brace in his sides 2-2 draw against Blackburn and has now found the net four times in the last six matches.
Right wing back James Bree will be another key player for the hosts. The on-loan Southampton man has arguably been the team’s top-performing player this season, chipping in five goal contributions (2 goals, 3 assists) in 21 appearances.
As for Chelsea, Liam Rosenior is expected to make a number of changes here.
Wesley Fofana sat out the midweek match and should be in line for a start, which would be a major boost to Chelsea’s chances at a clean sheet. Liam Delap scored his first Premier League goal for Chelsea on Wednesday but he could miss out here with Joao Pedro expected to lead the line for the visitors.
Marc Cucurella’s sending off means we will likely see Jorrel Hato fill in for the Spaniard at left back. Reece James could also get a rest here with the fixtures quickly piling up in the hectic winter period. Levi Colwill, Dario Essugo and Romeo Lavia will all miss out due to injury.
Charlton Athletic - Chelsea Key Points
- Charlton are tied for the fourth lowest scoring team in the Championship with 25 goals in 25 matches.
- Chelsea’s eight clean sheets is tied for the third most in the Premier League.
- Charlton have only managed a single win in their last 11 games.
- Chelsea’s three away domestic cup matches this season have all resulted in wins.
- Charlton rank 21st in the Championship in expected goals and 20th in big chances created.
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Our Charlton Athletic vs Chelsea Prediction
Charlton have a huge test ahead of them if they are to knock off their Premier League opponents, especially considering the tough run of form they are on. Chelsea could get a bit of a ‘new manager bounce’ here with Rosenior taking charge of his first match.
Despite the expected changes, there’s still plenty of quality on display for the visitors. Should Fofana start, we believe there’s good value in backing Chelsea to win with a clean sheet given Charlton’s attacking struggles. Our Charlton Athletic vs Chelsea prediction: Chelsea to win to nil.
Charlton Athletic vs Chelsea - Other Interesting Predictions
Under 2.5 goals
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Charlton Athletic Chelsea
| Charlton Athletic vs Chelsea | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlton Athletic wins | 8.55 | 9.15 | +7.0% |
| Draw | 5 | 5.8 | +16.0% |
| Chelsea wins | 1.31 | 1.38 | +5.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Chelsea is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 5.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 76.3% and is now 72.5% (-3.9%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Charlton Athletic vs. Chelsea game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
