Castres Olympique vs Stade Toulousain Prediction & Betting Tips - Top 14
France - Top 14
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Rugby Predictions
This Top 14 Round 5 fixture sees 10th-placed Castres Olympique host defending champions and league leaders Stade Toulousain at Stade Pierre-Fabre. Stade Toulousain have won four of their last five meetings against Castres Olympique, leading us to back the away team in our prediction.
An inconsistent run of two wins and two defeats in their first four matches so far has left Castres Olympique 10th in the league standings with eight points. Last week, they came off second best at Clermont, losing 20–6.
That result means Xavier Sadourny's men have lost seven of their last 10 Top 14 matches dating back to last season. Each of their last three meetings with Stade Toulousain has ended in defeat.
After a narrow three-point defeat at Stade Rochelais on the opening weekend, Stade Toulousain have got their campaign back on track. The defending champions made light work of their most recent clash with last year's finalists Montpellier, easing to a 40–18 victory.
That result marked their third consecutive win in the French top flight and lifted them to the top of the standings with 15 points. They have won four of their last five Top 14 matches against Castres Olympique overall.
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Castres Olympique v Stade Toulousain Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.45 | 17 | 2.85 |
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1.45 | 17 | 2.85 |
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1.45 | 17 | 2.85 |
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2.86 | 15 | 1.45 |
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1.5 | 21 | 2.7 |
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Castres Olympique vs Stade Toulousain Form
Castres Olympique and Stade Toulousain's standings in the Top 14
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
14 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +61 |
|
10
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -17 |
Castres Olympique and Stade Toulousain Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
26 Sept 2026 - Top 14
19 Sept 2026 - Top 14
12 Sept 2026 - Top 14
5 Sept 2026 - Top 14
6 Jun 2026 - Top 14
30 May 2026 - Top 14
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
19 Sept 2026 - Top 14
5 Sept 2026 - Top 14
6 Jun 2026 - Top 14
16 May 2026 - Top 14
18 Apr 2026 - Top 14
28 Mar 2026 - Top 14
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
26 Sept 2026 - Top 14
12 Sept 2026 - Top 14
30 May 2026 - Top 14
9 May 2026 - Top 14
25 Apr 2026 - Top 14
3 Apr 2026 - Champions Cup
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
27 Sept 2026 - Top 14
19 Sept 2026 - Top 14
13 Sept 2026 - Top 14
6 Sept 2026 - Top 14
27 Jun 2026 - Top 14
19 Jun 2026 - Top 14
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
27 Sept 2026 - Top 14
13 Sept 2026 - Top 14
27 Jun 2026 - Top 14
19 Jun 2026 - Top 14
30 May 2026 - Top 14
26 Apr 2026 - Top 14
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
19 Sept 2026 - Top 14
6 Sept 2026 - Top 14
6 Jun 2026 - Top 14
17 May 2026 - Top 14
9 May 2026 - Top 14
18 Apr 2026 - Top 14
Castres Olympique vs Stade Toulousain Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
18 Apr 2026 - Top 14
27 Sept 2025 - Top 14
26 Apr 2025 - Top 14
5 Oct 2024 - Top 14
2 Mar 2024 - Top 14
18 Nov 2023 - Top 14
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Castres Olympique - Stade Toulousain Key Points
- Castres Olympique have lost seven of their last 10 Top 14 matches dating back to last season.
- Castres Olympique have lost each of their last three meetings with Stade Toulousain.
- Stade Toulousain have won their last three Top 14 matches.
- Stade Toulousain have won four of their last five Top 14 matches against Castres Olympique.
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Our Castres Olympique vs Stade Toulousain Prediction
Home advantage and a relatively strong record at Stade Pierre-Fabre have seen Castres Olympique installed as favorites for this match. However, they have not been consistent so far and are likely to struggle against Stade Toulousain.
Stade Toulousain come into this clash riding a three-match winning streak and have dominated their recent meetings with Castres Olympique. Coupled with Castres Olympique's poor form, we are tipping Stade Toulousain to either win or cover the handicap. Our Castres Olympique vs Stade Toulousain prediction : Stade Toulousain +5.5 handicap.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
