Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP French Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP French Open Predictions
Casper Ruud is a two-time runner-up at Roland Garros and in good form this year. The 15th seed faces 24th-seeded Tommy Paul in round three of this outdoor clay court Grand Slam. Ruud has never lost to Paul on clay and often makes a quick start so our prediction is he wins set one and the match.
Whoever wins this match will be up against either 30th seed Joao Fonseca or third-seeded Novak Djokovic in the last 16.
Ruud reached the final in Paris in both 2022 and 2023 with a semi-final the following year. He has won 15 of his 19 clay court matches played in 2026. His best performance has been making it to the final in Rome and he was also a quarter-finalist in Madrid and reached the last four in Geneva.
Round one saw him need five sets to beat Roman Safiullin but he then beat Hamad Medjedovic in straight sets.
He leads Paul 4-2 in previous meetings. Their one match on clay was played at Roland Garros in 2020 with Ruud winning.
Tommy Paul has won one ATP Tour clay court title this year. He won the US Clay Court Championship and last week was the runner-up in Geneva. The American has dropped one set so far in Paris where he reached the quarter-finals in 2025.
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Casper Ruud v Tommy Paul Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.3 | 3.54 |
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1.3 | 3.54 |
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1.3 | 3.5 |
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|
1.28 | 3.35 |
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|
1.28 | 3.35 |
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Who will win the Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul match is: Casper Ruud wins set one and match.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul game on 29/05/2026 of the current ATP French Open season:
- Casper Ruud has a 61.73% chance to win against Tommy Paul according to 888Starz ⭐ with the odds of 1.31.
- Tommy Paul has a 38.27% probability of winning facing Casper Ruud ⭐ with odds of 3.7 at Tonybet.
Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Casper Ruud has a 61.73 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Casper Ruud | 61.73 % |
| Tommy Paul | 38.27 % |
Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul Form
Casper Ruud and Tommy Paul Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
27 May 2026 - ATP French Open
25 May 2026 - ATP French Open
22 May 2026 - ATP Geneva Open
21 May 2026 - ATP Geneva Open
20 May 2026 - ATP Geneva Open
19 May 2026 - ATP Geneva Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
27 May 2026 - ATP French Open
25 May 2026 - ATP French Open
23 May 2026 - ATP Hamburg Open
22 May 2026 - ATP Hamburg Open
21 May 2026 - ATP Hamburg Open
19 May 2026 - ATP Hamburg Open
Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
14 Mar 2024 - ATP Indian Wells
2 Sept 2022 - ATP US Open
Casper Ruud - Tommy Paul Key Points
- Ruud is a two-time runner-up at Roland Garros.
- Ruud leads Paul 1-0 in previous matches played on clay.
- Ruud has reached at least the quarter-finals in three ATP Tour clay court tournaments this year.
- Ruud has won the first set in each of his last ten clay court wins.
- Ruud has won the opening set in three of his four previous wins over Paul.
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Our Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul Prediction
This could be one of the best matches in the last 32 at Roland Garros. Both players are enjoying good clay court seasons and a long match is possible. One previous match between them saw three tie-breaks played, so a side bet on one here could win.
Casper Ruud has twice reached the Roland Garros final and has been in good form on clay this year. Tommy Paul has won one title on this surface but has only once made it past round three here. Our Casper Ruud v Tommy Paul prediction is Casper Ruud wins set one and match.
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It does not matter whether you bet on Casper Ruud or Tommy Paul, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
