Carlos Alcaraz vs Valentin Vacherot Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Monte Carlo Masters Predictions
Top seed and defending champion Carlos Alcaraz is two wins away from retaining his title. In Saturday's semi-final, he faces unseeded Valentin Vacherot with the winner taking on either Jannik Sinner or Alexander Zverev in the final. Time for our match prediction.
If Alcaraz was to lose this match and Sinner reached the final of this outdoor clay court tournament, the Italian would become the new world number one. Alcaraz will hope to win his 16th consecutive match on this surface.
Only one of his last 24 clay court matches have been lost by the Spaniard. He has made it to the semi-final for the loss of only one set to Tomas Martin Etcheverry. In the last eight, he beat Alexander Bublik for the loss of only three games.
Valentin Vacherot is up to 17th in the live rankings after this run to the last four in his native Monaco. Not bad for someone who had never made it past round two here before and was outside the top 250 this time last year.
The 2025 Shanghai Masters winner has had to play for more than five hours and 55 games than Alcaraz has played. He's beaten the fourth seed Lorenzo Musetti and on Friday, the fifth-seeded Alex de Minaur.
We tip Alcaraz to win and more than 18.5 games.
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Carlos Alcaraz v Valentin Vacherot Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.06 | 8.8 |
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1.06 | 9 |
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1.05 | 11 |
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1.04 | 8.6 |
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1.04 | 8.6 |
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Who will win the Carlos Alcaraz vs Valentin Vacherot Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Carlos Alcaraz vs Valentin Vacherot match is: Carlos Alcaraz wins and more than 18.5.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Carlos Alcaraz vs Valentin Vacherot game on 11/04/2026 of the current ATP Monte Carlo Masters season:
- Carlos Alcaraz has a 72.34% chance to win against Valentin Vacherot according to Shangrila ⭐ with the odds of 1.07.
- Valentin Vacherot has a 27.66% probability of winning facing Carlos Alcaraz ⭐ with odds of 11 at Bet365.
Carlos Alcaraz vs Valentin Vacherot Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Carlos Alcaraz has a 72.34 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz | 72.34 % |
| Valentin Vacherot | 27.66 % |
Carlos Alcaraz vs Valentin Vacherot Form
Carlos Alcaraz and Valentin Vacherot Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
10 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
9 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
7 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
22 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
20 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
14 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
10 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
9 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
8 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
6 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
24 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
22 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
Carlos Alcaraz - Valentin Vacherot Key Points
- Over 18.5 games have been played in eight of the last nine matches played by Alcaraz.
- Alcaraz is the defending champion in this tournament.
- Alcaraz has won his last 16 clay court matches.
- Vacherot has played more than 18.5 games in 12 of his last 14 matches.
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Our Carlos Alcaraz vs Valentin Vacherot Prediction
There could be a lot at stake for Carlos Alcaraz in this match. If Jannik Sinner has won his semi-final, then he must do the same to remain world number one.. Alcaraz is on a long unbeaten run on clay and has only dropped one set this week.
It's been a tougher route for Valentin Vacherot but he's in a position he could only have dreamed of 12 months ago when mainly playing on the Challenger Tour. He'll have the support of the home fans but our Carlos Alcaraz v Valentin Vacherot prediction is Carlos Alcaraz wins and more than 18.5.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Carlos Alcaraz vs. Valentin Vacherot game!
When you place a bet on the match between Carlos Alcaraz and Valentin Vacherot you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Carlos Alcaraz or Valentin Vacherot, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
