Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Monte Carlo Masters Predictions
There is so much at stake in the final of the Monte Carlo Masters. Top seed and defending champion Carlos Alcaraz faces second-seeded Jannik Sinner in the title decider of this outdoor clay court tournament. Get ready to read our match prediction.
Alcaraz is the current world number one but he will be replaced by Jannik Sinner if the Italian can win his first Monte Carlo Masters title. The Spaniard has won 16 consecutive matches on clay and lost just one of his last 24. Saturday saw him beat Valentin Vacherot 6-4 6-4 to reach this final.
Only Tomas Martin Etcheverry has taken a set off him this week. He is taking on Sinner for the 18th time and he leads 11-6. On this surface, Alcaraz has a 4-1 lead, most recently beating him in a classic final at Roland Garros last year.
Three tie-breaks were played in that match. A side bet on one here may well be successful.
Jannik Sinner bids to become only the third man to win four consecutive ATP 1000 tournaments.. Last month saw him win the titles in both Indian Wells and Miami. Like his opponent, he has also only lost one set this week, doing so against Tomas Machac.
He only lost five games when beating Alexander Zverev in the last four.
We tip Alcaraz to win this match.
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Carlos Alcaraz v Jannik Sinner Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
2.11 | 1.73 |
|
|
1.9 | 1.9 |
|
|
1.91 | 1.91 |
|
|
1.92 | 1.8 |
|
|
1.92 | 1.8 |
|
Who will win the Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner match is: Carlos Alcaraz wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner game on 12/04/2026 of the current ATP Monte Carlo Masters season:
- Carlos Alcaraz has a 47.55% chance to win against Jannik Sinner according to Melbet ⭐ with the odds of 2.11.
- Jannik Sinner has a 52.45% probability of winning facing Carlos Alcaraz ⭐ with odds of 2.05 at Shangrila.
Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Carlos Alcaraz has a 47.55 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz | 47.55 % |
| Jannik Sinner | 52.45 % |
Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner Form
Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
11 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
10 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
9 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
7 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
22 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
20 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
11 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
10 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
9 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
7 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
29 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
27 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
16 Nov 2025 - ATP London - Queen's
7 Sept 2025 - ATP US Open
13 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
8 Jun 2025 - ATP French Open
18 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
2 Oct 2024 - ATP Beijing Open
Carlos Alcaraz - Jannik Sinner Key Points
- Alcaraz has won 11 of his previous 17 matches against Sinner.
- Sinner has only won one of his five previous clay court matches against Alcaraz.
- Alcaraz is the defending champion in this tournament.
- Alcaraz has won his last 16 matches played on clay..
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Our Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner Prediction
These two players first faced each other on the Challenger Tour in 2019. We had no idea then that was part of one of the greatest rivalries men's tennis has ever seen. They meet here for both the Monte Carlo title but also the world number one ranking.
The surface they are playing on is so vital here. Sinner has the edge on Alcaraz on hard courts but on clay, he has only won one of their five meetings. Side bets on tie-breaks and three sets are advisable. Our main Carlos Alcaraz v Jannik Sinner prediction is Carlos Alcaraz wins.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
