Carlos Alcaraz vs Cameron Norrie Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Indian Wells
ATP - ATP Indian Wells
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Indian Wells Predictions
Top seed Carlos Alcaraz is in the BNP Paribas Open quarter-finals for the fifth successive year. The Spaniard faces 27th seed Cameron Norrie in this outdoor hard court tournament at Indian Wells. Read our match prediction below.
Alcaraz is yet to be beaten this year, winning all 15 of his matches. Titles have been won in the Australian Open and Dubai. To reach this quarter-final, Alcaraz has beaten Grigor Dimitrov, Arthur Rinderknech (in three sets) and Casper Ruud.
Four of his last six wins have seen more than 19.5 games played with four tie-breaks.
He leads Norrie 5-3 in previous meetings, 2-1 on this surface. They met in this tournament in 2022 with Alcaraz winning. Norrie has won three of his last five matches against Alcaraz but two were on clay. Their last five best-of-three sets matches have all seen at least 20 games played.
Cameron Norrie was the Indian Wells champion five years ago. The British player is in the last eight of this Masters tournament for the fourth time. He’s reached this stage by winning three matches, all in straight sets.
That includes a win over sixth seed Alex de Minaur. In the last round, he beat another Australian Rinky Hijikata, losing only six games.
We tip Alcaraz to win and more than 19.5 games.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Carlos Alcaraz v Cameron Norrie Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.04 | 10.5 |
|
|
1.03 | 13 |
|
|
1.05 | 11 |
|
|
1.03 | 10 |
|
|
1.03 | 10 |
|
Who will win the Carlos Alcaraz vs Cameron Norrie Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Carlos Alcaraz vs Cameron Norrie match is: Carlos Alcaraz wins and more than 19.5.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Carlos Alcaraz vs Cameron Norrie game on 12/03/2026 of the current ATP Indian Wells season:
- Carlos Alcaraz has a 75.28% chance to win against Cameron Norrie according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.05.
- Cameron Norrie has a 24.72% probability of winning facing Carlos Alcaraz ⭐ with odds of 13 at Betwinner.
Carlos Alcaraz vs Cameron Norrie Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Carlos Alcaraz has a 75.28 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz | 75.28 % |
| Cameron Norrie | 24.72 % |
Carlos Alcaraz vs Cameron Norrie Form
Carlos Alcaraz and Cameron Norrie Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
11 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
9 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
7 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
21 Feb 2026 - ATP Qatar Open
20 Feb 2026 - ATP Qatar Open
19 Feb 2026 - ATP Qatar Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
11 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
9 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
7 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
23 Feb 2026 - ATP Acapulco Open
11 Feb 2026 - ATP Rotterdam
9 Feb 2026 - ATP Rotterdam
Carlos Alcaraz vs Cameron Norrie Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
28 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
8 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
26 Feb 2023 - ATP Rio Open
19 Feb 2023 - ATP Buenos Aires
19 Aug 2022 - ATP Cincinnati Open
5 May 2022 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Carlos Alcaraz - Cameron Norrie Key Points
- Four of the last six matches Alcaraz have won have seen more than 19.5 games played.
- A tie-break of 7-5 set would help our prediction. Alcaraz has played one in 10 of his last 12 matches.
- Each of the last five best-of-three sets matches played between Alcaraz and Norrie have seen more than 19.5 games played.
- Alcaraz has won all 15 of his matches this year.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Carlos Alcaraz vs Cameron Norrie Prediction
Top seed Carlos Alcaraz bids to make it 16 successive wins this year. The Spaniard has already won a Grand Slam and a Masters tournament this year. Now he's going well again in this Sunshine Swing Masters tournament but has been playing some long matches.
Cameron Norrie has a great record at Indian Wells and did beat Alcaraz in their last match. He's in good form but Alcaraz just keeps finding a way to win. Our Carlos Alcaraz v Cameron Norrie prediction is Carlos Alcaraz wins and more than 19.5.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
