Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Bublik Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Monte Carlo Masters Predictions
Defending champion Carlos Alcaraz takes on eighth-seeded Alexander Bublik in the last eight of the Monte Carlo Masters. The winner will face either fifth seed Alex de Minaur or unseeded Valentin Vacherot in the semi-finals. Time for our match prediction.
A loss for the top seed would see him lose his world number one ranking if Jannik Sinner were to reach the last four. Alcaraz has won 19 of his 21 matches this year with two titles won, including the Australian Open. He's playing his first clay court tournament of the year.
2025 saw him win 22 of his 23 clay court matches, only being beaten by Holger Rune. He's beaten Sebastian Baez in round two for the loss of only four games. However, he needed three sets to beat Tomas Martin Etcheverry, his 15th consecutive clay court victory.
Alexander Bublik had lost five out of six matches in Monte Carlo before this week. It's gone much better for him this year with victories over Gael Monfils and 11th seed Jiri Lehecka without dropping a set.
He won two ATP Tour clay court titles last week and is playing Alcaraz for the first time.
We tip Alcaraz to win and more than 18.5 games.
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Carlos Alcaraz v Alexander Bublik Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.07 | 8.6 |
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1.05 | 10 |
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1.06 | 10 |
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1.06 | 7.4 |
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1.07 | 7 |
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Who will win the Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Bublik Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Bublik match is: Carlos Alcaraz wins and more than 18.5.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Bublik game on 10/04/2026 of the current ATP Monte Carlo Masters season:
- Carlos Alcaraz has a 75.29% chance to win against Alexander Bublik according to Shangrila ⭐ with the odds of 1.09.
- Alexander Bublik has a 24.71% probability of winning facing Carlos Alcaraz ⭐ with odds of 10 at Betwinner.
Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Bublik Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Carlos Alcaraz has a 75.29 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz | 75.29 % |
| Alexander Bublik | 24.71 % |
Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Bublik Form
Carlos Alcaraz and Alexander Bublik Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
9 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
7 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
22 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
20 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
14 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
12 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
9 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
7 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
20 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
9 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
7 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
25 Feb 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
Carlos Alcaraz - Alexander Bublik Key Points
- Alcaraz has won his last 15 clay court matches.
- Alcaraz is the defending Monte Carlo champion.
- Over 18.5 games have been played in the last eight matches played by Alcaraz.
- Bublik has played more than 18.5 games in 11 of his last 12 matches.
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Our Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Bublik Prediction
Carlos Alcaraz meets Alexander Bublik for the first time. Alcaraz dropped a set in his last match on Thursday and this could be another tricky task for the Spaniard. A win will keep alive his chances of retaining his world number one spot.
Alexander Bublik has a poor record in this tournament but has improved in the past year or so. He's in his first Monte Carlo Masters quarter-final but it'll be a shock if he wins. Our Carlos Alcaraz v Alexander Bublik prediction is Carlos Alcaraz wins and more than 18.5.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
