Cardiff Rugby vs Ulster Rugby Prediction & Betting Tips - Challenge Cup
Europe - Challenge Cup
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Challenge Cup Predictions
Cardiff Rugby welcome Ulster Rugby to the Cardiff Arms Park in an all-URC Challenge Cup round two clash on Saturday. Cardiff Rugby are fourth in Group 3 with 0 points, while Ulster Rugby are top with five points. Here is our prediction.
Cardiff Rugby, sitting second in the United Rugby Championship standings with a 5-0-1 record, failed to replicate their strong domestic start in Europe as they lost their Challenge Cup opener against Stade Francais Paris. They led by five points in the first half, but were outscored by 26 in the second half, eventually losing 38-17.
Nevertheless, we expect the Welsh club to bounce back on Saturday. They have recorded victories in four of their last five matches and boast an impressive 5-0-0 record in their last five home games.
Ulster Rugby secured the biggest victory in the 2025-26 Challenge Cup opening round last week by demolishing Racing 92 61-7. After a narrow seven-point lead in the first half, the Ulstermen sealed victory with a thumping 47-0 shutout against the French side. However, they have lost five of their last six away games, and each of their most recent four European away fixtures by wide margins. Hence, our tip for the prediction.
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Cardiff Rugby v Ulster Rugby Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.46 | 21.00 | 2.90 |
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1.37 | 23.00 | 3.14 |
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|
1.44 | 21.00 | 2.88 |
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|
1.44 | 29.00 | 2.80 |
|
|
1.44 | 29.00 | 2.80 |
|
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Cardiff Rugby vs Ulster Rugby Form
Cardiff Rugby and Ulster Rugby Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
6 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
29 Nov 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
5 Apr 2025 - Challenge Cup
17 Jan 2025 - Challenge Cup
11 Jan 2025 - Challenge Cup
14 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup
1/4 (25%)
0/4 (0%)
3/4 (75%)
17 Jan 2025 - Challenge Cup
14 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup
13 Jan 2024 - Champions Cup
16 Dec 2023 - Champions Cup
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
6 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
29 Nov 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
5 Apr 2025 - Challenge Cup
11 Jan 2025 - Challenge Cup
7 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup
20 Jan 2024 - Champions Cup
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
5 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
28 Nov 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
6 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup
17 Jan 2025 - Champions Cup
11 Jan 2025 - Champions Cup
14 Dec 2024 - Champions Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
5 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
28 Nov 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
17 Jan 2025 - Champions Cup
14 Dec 2024 - Champions Cup
13 Jan 2024 - Champions Cup
16 Dec 2023 - Champions Cup
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
6 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup
11 Jan 2025 - Champions Cup
8 Dec 2024 - Champions Cup
13 Apr 2024 - Challenge Cup
7 Apr 2024 - Challenge Cup
20 Jan 2024 - Champions Cup
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Substitutes
Cardiff Rugby - Ulster Rugby Key Points
- Cardiff Rugby have won four of their last five matches.
- Cardiff Rugby have won each of their last five home games.
- Ulster Rugby have lost five of their last six away matches by double digits.
- Ulster Rugby have lost each of their last four European away games by double digits.
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Our Cardiff Rugby vs Ulster Rugby Prediction
Cardiff Rugby will look to bounce back after their defeat to Stade Francais Paris in the opening round. They are in fine form and have won their last five home fixtures. The Blue and Blacks also have the support of the home fans to count on.
While Ulster Rugby will target back-to-back Challenge Cup wins on Saturday, they have struggled for results on the road. Their last four European away games have also ended in wide-margin defeats. Hence, our Cardiff Rugby vs Ulster Rugby prediction is Cardiff Rugby -7 point handicap.
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Try your luck on this year's Challenge Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
