Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP US Open

ATP - ATP US Open

ATP 76 Argentina
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
01/09/2026 12:10
ATP 44 Germany
Jan-Lennard Struff

Prediction :

 

Jan-Lennard Struff wins

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in ATP US Open Predictions

Two players who have struggled on outdoor hard courts this year meet in round one of the US Open. Jan-Lennard Struff takes on Camilo Ugo Carabelli. His opponent has lost four of his last five matches on this surface and our prediction is a win for Struff.

Round two will see the winner face either 24th seed Francisco Cerundolo or unseeded Filip Misolic.

Jan-Lennard Struff has only won five of his 15 outdoor hard court matches played in 2026. His most recent tournament was in Cincinnati where he beat Roman Andres Burruchaga before being beaten by Alejandro Tabilo.

Before that, he took Alex Michelsen to three sets in Montreal. 

He's yet to get past round two on this surface in 2026, but was a quarter-finalist at Wimbledon.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has also had his fair share of problems on outdoor hard courts in 2026. Of his 11 matches played, just three have ended in victory  Last year saw him record a 5-9 record on this surface.

Carabelli has only twice made it past the first round of an ATP Tour event this year. Those came in Indian Wells and Miami.  Four of his last five outdoor hard court matches have been lost, the last via retirement.

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Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Jan-Lennard Struff Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.55 1.46
1xbet
2.67 1.56
Melbet
2.61 1.5
Betwinner
2.61 1.5
22bet
2.61 1.5
Check all Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff odds

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Who will win the Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff match is: Jan-Lennard Struff wins.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff game on 01/09/2026 of the current ATP US Open season:

  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli has a 40.77% chance to win against Jan-Lennard Struff according to Shangrila ⭐ with the odds of 2.7.
  • Jan-Lennard Struff has a 59.23% probability of winning facing Camilo Ugo Carabelli ⭐ with odds of 1.56 at 1xbet.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Camilo Ugo Carabelli has a 40.77 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Camilo Ugo Carabelli40.77 %
Jan-Lennard Struff59.23 %

Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Form

Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Jan-Lennard Struff Last Matches

Camilo Ugo Carabelli Last matches
W W L L L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

13 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
0 :  2
Miomir Kecmanovic

3 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
0 :  2
Cameron Norrie

20 Jul 2026 - ATP Estoril Open

Titouan Droguet
2 :  1
Camilo Ugo Carabelli

16 Jul 2026 - ATP Umag Open

Roman Andres Burruchaga
2 :  1
Camilo Ugo Carabelli

15 Jul 2026 - ATP Umag Open

Pablo Carreño-Busta
1 :  2
Camilo Ugo Carabelli

14 Jul 2026 - ATP Umag Open

Marko ToPo
1 :  2
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Jan-Lennard Struff Last matches
L W L L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

15 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Jan-Lennard Struff
0 :  2
Alejandro Tabilo

13 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Roman Andres Burruchaga
1 :  2
Jan-Lennard Struff

3 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Alex Michelsen
2 :  1
Jan-Lennard Struff

22 Jul 2026 - ATP Kitzbuhel Open

Jan-Lennard Struff
0 :  2
Mariano Navone

21 Jul 2026 - ATP Kitzbuhel Open

Jan-Lennard Struff
2 :  1
Aleksandr Shevchenko

7 Jul 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Jannik Sinner
3 :  0
Jan-Lennard Struff
Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Prediction

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Jan-Lennard Struff Key Points

  1. Four of Carabelli's last five outdoor hard court matches on the ATP Tour have been lost.
  2. Struff reached round four here in 2025.
  3. Only twice in 2026 has Carabelli made it past the first round of an ATP Tour outdoor hard court tournament.
  4. Carabelli has lost his last five first round matches in the US Open.
  5. Carabelli's sole win in the US Open came in 2014.
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Our Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Prediction

Jan-Lennard Struff reached the last 16 of this Grand Slam last year with wins over Frances Tiafoe and Holger Rune. He's struggled on this surface in 2026,, but when he hits form he is a confident player and was a quarter-finalist at Wimbledon in July.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has had plenty of problems on this surface in 2026. He's not got a great record in New York either with five successive first round defeats. Our Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Jan-Lennard Struff prediction is Jan-Lennard Struff wins.

Prediction :

 

Jan-Lennard Struff wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.