Cameron Norrie vs Alex De Minaur Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Indian Wells
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Indian Wells Predictions
Alex de Minaur has been one of the most consistent players on this year's ATP Tour. The Australian is seeded sixth for the outdoor hard court BNP Paribas Open and in round three, he faces 27th-seed Cameron Norrie. Time for our match prediction.
Only three players have earned more ranking points than de Minaur this year. He is attempting here to reach the fourth round at Indian Wells for the fifth time. 2026 has seen him win one indoor hard court title in Rotterdam.
Outdoors, he's made it to the last eight of the Australian Open. So far in this Sunshine Swing Masters tournament, de Minaur has beaten Sebastian Korda in three sets. He's now sixth in the live rankings.
These two players have shared their four previous meetings. Norrie does lead de Minaur 2-1 on this surface but this is their first match since 2023. Norrie is 27th in the live rankings and British number one. He'll lose that position if defeated here and Jack Draper reaches round four.
Norrie won this title five years ago and has reached this stage six years in a row..This is only his second third round of the year. His one match this week saw him beat Mackenzie McDonald in straight sets.
We tip de Minaur to win in straight sets.
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Cameron Norrie v Alex De Minaur Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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4.68 | 1.19 |
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4.62 | 1.2 |
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4.5 | 1.2 |
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4.3 | 1.19 |
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4.3 | 1.19 |
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Who will win the Cameron Norrie vs Alex De Minaur Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Cameron Norrie vs Alex De Minaur match is: Alex de Minaur wins in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Cameron Norrie vs Alex De Minaur game on 09/03/2026 of the current ATP Indian Wells season:
- Cameron Norrie has a 33.63% chance to win against Alex De Minaur according to Shangrila ⭐ with the odds of 4.85.
- Alex De Minaur has a 66.37% probability of winning facing Cameron Norrie ⭐ with odds of 1.2 at Betwinner.
Cameron Norrie vs Alex De Minaur Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Cameron Norrie has a 33.63 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Cameron Norrie | 33.63 % |
| Alex De Minaur | 66.37 % |
Cameron Norrie vs Alex De Minaur Form
Cameron Norrie and Alex De Minaur Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
7 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
23 Feb 2026 - ATP Acapulco Open
11 Feb 2026 - ATP Rotterdam
9 Feb 2026 - ATP Rotterdam
5 Feb 2026 - Davis Cup
23 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
7 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
23 Feb 2026 - ATP Acapulco Open
15 Feb 2026 - ATP Rotterdam
14 Feb 2026 - ATP Rotterdam
13 Feb 2026 - ATP Rotterdam
12 Feb 2026 - ATP Rotterdam
Cameron Norrie vs Alex De Minaur Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
29 Dec 2023 - United Cup
8 Aug 2023 - ATP Toronto
Cameron Norrie - Alex De Minaur Key Points
- Norrie is 21 places above his opponent in the live rankings.
- De Minaur is fourth in the ATP Live Race, nearly 50 places above Norrie.
- De Minaur has won one ATP Tour title this year.
- This is only the second time Norrie has reached a third round in 2026.
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Our Cameron Norrie vs Alex De Minaur Prediction
Alex de Minaur has won 12 of his 15 matches this year and already won one ATP Tour title. The Australian is fourth in the ATP Live Race and has consolidated his position in the top ten of the overall rankings.
Former Indian Wells champion Cameron Norrie is just outside the top 50 in the ATP Live Race. He reached round three of the Australian Open but had lost two successive matches before this tournament. Our Cameron Norrie v Alex de Minaur prediction is Alex de Minaur wins in straight sets.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
