Brighton vs Brentford Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

England - Premier League

Brighton
22/11/2025 10:00
Brentford

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Premier League Predictions

Brighton & Hove Albion return from the international break with a home match in the Premier League, as they welcome Brentford. This encounter at the Amex Stadium finds the two sides tied on 16 points and both residing in the lower half of the league standings. Read on to find our prediction of the match. 

By virtue of a stronger goal difference, Brighton will start the game ahead of Brentford in the standings. The Seagulls sit 11th following a draw with Crystal Palace before league action was halted for the international break. 

While Brighton dropped two points, Brentford gained three to close in on their hosts. The Bees came from behind to hand Newcastle United a beating at home. While in terms of proximity they are close to the bottom three, Brentford are in reality just three points behind the top four. It therefore means this will be a well-contested encounter.

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The Best Betting Odds for Brighton v Brentford Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.15 3.4 3.4
Betfred
2.1 3.6 3.5
William Hill
2.15 3.4 3.3
Unibet
2.05 3.45 3.6
Betway
2.15 3.4 3.3
Check all Brighton vs Brentford odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Brighton and Brentford?

Our prediction for the Brighton vs Brentford match is: more than 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/11/2025 between Brighton and Brentford in Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.38% for a win of Brighton against Brentford with odds of 2.16 at Tonybet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Brighton vs Brentford is 22.98% with odds of 3.62 at 888Starz.
  • Our prediction model gives a 28.64% chance ⭐ for a win of Brentford vs Brighton with odds of 3.86 at 888Starz.

Brighton - Brentford Prediction and Best Odds:

Brighton Brentford Prediction Probability Odds
Brighton wins 48.38% 2.16 at Tonybet
Over 2.5 goals 63.24% 1.97 at Stake
Both Team To Score 57.5%
Half-time / Full-time : Brighton/Brighton 19.8% 3.5 at Bet365

Brighton vs Brentford Form

Brighton and Brentford's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
5
Brentford
Brentford
33 21 10 3 8 7
11
Brighton
Brighton
29 21 7 8 6 3

Brighton and Brentford Last Matches

Brighton
Brighton Last matches
D W L L W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

9 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
0 :  0
Brighton

1 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  0
Leeds

29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup

Arsenal
2 :  0
Brighton

25 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
4 :  2
Brighton

18 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Newcastle

5 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  1
Brighton
W D W D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

1 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  0
Leeds

18 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Newcastle

20 Sept 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  2
Tottenham

31 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Manchester City

16 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  1
Fulham

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Brighton
2 :  1
Wolfsburg
W W D L L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

9 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
0 :  0
Brighton

29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup

Arsenal
2 :  0
Brighton

25 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
4 :  2
Brighton

5 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  1
Brighton

27 Sept 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  3
Brighton

23 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup

Barnsley
0 :  6
Brighton
Brentford
Brentford Last matches
L W W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

9 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
3 :  1
Newcastle

1 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
2 :  0
Brentford

28 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup

Grimsby Town
0 :  5
Brentford

25 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
3 :  2
Liverpool

20 Oct 2025 - Premier League

West Ham
0 :  2
Brentford

5 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
0 :  1
Manchester City
D D W L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

9 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
3 :  1
Newcastle

25 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
3 :  2
Liverpool

5 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
0 :  1
Manchester City

27 Sept 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
3 :  1
Manchester United

16 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup

Brentford
1 :  1
Aston Villa

13 Sept 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
2 :  2
Chelsea
W L L W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

1 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
2 :  0
Brentford

28 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup

Grimsby Town
0 :  5
Brentford

20 Oct 2025 - Premier League

West Ham
0 :  2
Brentford

20 Sept 2025 - Premier League

Fulham
3 :  1
Brentford

30 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Sunderland
2 :  1
Brentford

26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup

Bournemouth
0 :  2
Brentford

Brighton vs Brentford Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Brighton

17 %

Draw

50 %

Brentford

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.83
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored (home team)
1.67
Goals scored (away team)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

19 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
4 :  2
Brighton

27 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  0
Brentford

3 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Brentford
0 :  0
Brighton

6 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Brentford

1 Apr 2023 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  3
Brentford

14 Oct 2022 - Premier League

Brentford
2 :  0
Brighton

Brighton - Brentford: Form Analysis

Brighton have had an encouraging run at home this season, and especially in the Premier League. They have so far secured 16 points, but 11 of those were gained in their five home matches.

That there gives the Seagulls a reason to be optimistic about this encounter. They are unbeaten in their five league games at home and will be confident of bouncing back from the 0-0 draw with Crystal Palace.

Among their casualties in this home run was Manchester City. Brighton handed the former champions a 2-1 beating at the Amex. They’ve only lost once in their last seven league games, though three of those ended in draws.

Brentford are winless in their last four away league games against Brighton.

Like Brighton, Brentford have also done well when hosting, and a case in point is their 3-1 win over Newcastle United last time out.

However, the pendulum swings on the opposite side when they are traveling, as they are now. The Bees have managed just one win in their five away league matches so far.

All the remaining five were losses, and that is a big concern, which is aggravated by the fact that they’ve conceded 10 times in the five outings. In their latest away game, they lost 2-0 to Crystal Palace.

Their last away win at Brighton was way back when the two sides were in the Championship.

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Players list

Brighton
Brighton
Goalkeeper

B. Verbruggen

Defender

J. Van Hecke

L. Dunk

F. Kadioglu

Midfielder

M. Wieffer

M. De Cuyper

Y. Ayari

J. Hinshelwood

Forward

B. Gruda

J. Veltman

D. Welbeck

Brentford
Brentford
Goalkeeper

C. Kelleher

Defender

M. Kayode

N. Collins

S. Van den Berg

A. Hickey

Midfielder

J. Henderson

M. Jensen

Forward

K. Lewis-Potter

V. Janelt

K. Schade

I. Thiago

Substitutes

Brighton
Brighton
Goalkeeper

J. Steele

Defender

L. Dunk

O. Boscagli

J. Veltman

G. Rutter

D. Coppola

M. De Cuyper

C. Baleba

Midfielder

J. Hinshelwood

D. Gomez

B. Gruda

Y. Minteh

Forward

C. Kostoulas

S. Tzimas

Brentford
Brentford
Goalkeeper

H. Valdimarsson

Defender

R. Henry

E. Pinnock

Midfielder

A. Hickey

K. Ajer

M. Jensen

Y. Yarmoliuk

F. Onyeka

V. Janelt

M. Damsgaard

Forward

R. Nelson

K. Lewis-Potter

D. Ouattara

Missing players

Brighton
Brighton
Defender

A. Webster

Midfielder

K. Mitoma

S. March

J. Milner

Brentford
Brentford
Midfielder

A. Milambo

J. Da Silva

F. Carvalho

Brighton & Brentford Squad Analysis

Danny Welbeck has scored six times in Brighton’s last seven matches. He is some good omen, as Brighton lost in only one of those outings he scored in.

Touted for a place in the England national team based on his form, the 34-year-old will be out to keep his scoring run going. He has started eight league matches and capped them with six goal contributions despite diminished supply, with Kaoru Mitoma out injured.

When fit, the Japanese international has been the origin of most attacks for Brighton. Last season he had 14 goal contributions and finished the league campaign with an xG of 9.28.

Igor Thiago is only second to Erling Haaland in the top scorers’ charts.

Brentford will be a handful for Brighton, even as the hosts bank on home form. In their last starting lineup, all players except the keeper and back four had a goal or assist.

Leading the line in this stat is Brazilian Igor Thiago, who grabbed a brace against Newcastle United. That took his tally for the season to eight league goals, and he will be keen on extending.

Six of those goals were scored in their last seven matches, so the Brazilian will have the momentum ahead of this game. Michael Kayode’s long throws have been helpful in Thiago’s run, and the Italian will be on hand again to trouble Brighton.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Brighton
CD Huachipato Brentford
Top Goalscorer
England D. Welbeck (8 Goals)
Paraguay D. Gomez (8 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Brazil I. Thiago (17 Goals)
Best assists
England T. Watson (3 Assists)
Netherlands M. Wieffer (3 Assists)
France G. Rutter (3 Assists)
Gambia Y. Minteh (3 Assists)
Best assists
Germany V. Janelt (4 Assists)

Brighton - Brentford Key Points

  1. Three of Brentford’s last five away matches had over 2.5 goals.
  2. Six goals were netted in the latest meeting between these two sides.
  3. Three or more goals were scored in Brighton’s last four home games.
  4. Three of Brighton’s last five matches saw three or more goals netted.
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Our Brighton vs Brentford Prediction

These two sides will be parading their best forwards, who also happen to be enjoying good form at the moment. Brighton are banking on Danny Welbeck, with the Englishman enjoying a good run in recent weeks. He has six goals in 11 league matches.

On the other side is a man who has also done well in attack, Igor Thiago. There isn’t a bigger promise for a high-scoring game than these two sides parading such talent. Our prediction for Brighton v Brentford is for more than 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 goals

 
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Brighton vs Brentford - Other Interesting Predictions

Brighton to win

Odds 1.91

Brentford are coming from a good win over Newcastle United last time out. They would wish to replicate their 3-1 win here, but their away form has been questionable. The Bees are struggling on the road, losing four of their five league games.

This will be another tough encounter they walk into. Brighton, on their part, are going for a third straight home win, and we are backing them for that in our second prediction.

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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Brighton Brentford

Brighton vs Brentford Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Brighton wins 1.73 2.15 +24.3%
Draw 3.75 3.4 -9.3%
Brentford wins 4.33 3.4 -21.5%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Brighton is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 24.3% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 57.8% and is now 46.5% (-11.3%)

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Brighton vs Brentford - FAQs

This match is scheduled for play on Saturday the 22nd of November.

This match will be staged at the Amex Stadium in Brighton.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Brighton vs Brentford Prediction