Brighton vs Aston Villa Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Premier League Predictions
Two of the top five in the Premier League face each other on Wednesday. Fifth-placed Brighton and Hove Albion are home to Aston Villa who are fourth in the table. Can the Seagulls keep their unbeaten home record? Read our match prediction below.
Brighton moved up into the final Champions League qualifying position on Sunday. The south coast club won 2-0 away at Nottingham Forest. That was only their second away league win of the season. Now they look to continue their run at home that has seen them unbeaten in six league games this season.
Aston Villa made a terrible start to the season. They were down towards the bottom of the table but that’s all history now. The Villans are back in the Champions League places after narrowly missing out on qualification last season. Sunday saw them beat hapless Wolves 1-0 at home but will face a tougher task against the Seagulls. it's even harder at the weekend when they host leaders Arsenal.Limited Offer. Currently at Bet365
The Best Betting Odds for Brighton v Aston Villa Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.2 | 3.4 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.28 | 3.5 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.26 | 3.38 | 3.18 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.4 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.24 | 3.55 | 3.3 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Brighton and Aston Villa?
Our prediction for the Brighton vs Aston Villa match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/12/2025 between Brighton and Aston Villa in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.59% for a win of Brighton against Aston Villa with odds of 2.3 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Brighton vs Aston Villa is 24.15% with odds of 3.55 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.27% chance ⭐ for a win of Aston Villa vs Brighton with odds of 3.33 at 888Starz.
Brighton - Aston Villa Prediction and Best Odds:
| Brighton Aston Villa Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Brighton wins | 42.59% | 2.3 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.04% | 1.93 at 888Starz |
| Both Team To Score | 65.83% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Brighton | 18.83% | 6 at Bet365 |
Brighton vs Aston Villa Form
Brighton and Aston Villa's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
43 | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | +8 |
|
12
|
30 | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | +3 |
Brighton and Aston Villa Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Nov 2025 - Premier League
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
25 Oct 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
20 Sept 2025 - Premier League
31 Aug 2025 - Premier League
16 Aug 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Nov 2025 - Premier League
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
25 Oct 2025 - Premier League
5 Oct 2025 - Premier League
27 Sept 2025 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Nov 2025 - Premier League
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
23 Nov 2025 - Premier League
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Nov 2025 - Premier League
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
26 Oct 2025 - Premier League
5 Oct 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Nov 2025 - Premier League
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
19 Oct 2025 - Premier League
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
21 Sept 2025 - Premier League
Brighton vs Aston Villa Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Apr 2025 - Premier League
30 Dec 2024 - Premier League
5 May 2024 - Premier League
30 Sept 2023 - Premier League
28 May 2023 - Premier League
13 Nov 2022 - Premier League
Brighton - Aston Villa: Form Analysis
Brighton have won four of their six home games in this season’s Premier League. They are one of only four clubs in the top flight yet to be beaten on home soil. Sunday saw them win 2-0 at Nottingham Forest and three of their next four league games are at home with West Ham and Sunderland to play later this month.
Over 2.5 goals have been scored in each of their last five home league fixtures with both teams scoring in four of them. The win at Forest extended their unbeaten run in the Premier League to four games.
Villa remain in top form.
Aston Villa beat Wolves 1-0 on Sunday to continue their excellent run of form. That followed a midweek Europa League win over Young Boys. Each of their last five games have been won by Villa since an away league defeat at Anfield. 11 of their last 13 games have been won as they recover from a start of just three points from their first five league fixtures. Three of their last four away league games have seen both teams score.
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Brighton against Aston Villa Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
J. Steele
DefenderD. Coppola
J. Veltman
O. Boscagli
MidfielderJ. Hinshelwood
J. Knight
ForwardN. Oriola
C. Kostoulas
D. Welbeck
R. Hollingshead
DefenderV. Lindelof
L. Digne
L. Bogarde
A. Garcia
E. Buendia
Y. Tielemans
J. Sancho
D. Malen
Missing players
A. Webster
MidfielderJ. Milner
S. March
K. Mitoma
Y. Ayari
R. Barkley
Brighton & Aston Villa Squad Analysis
There's a busy December fixture list to contend with and some squad rotation is likely by both Brighton and Aston Villa. The Seagulls do tend to utilise that anyway and this game may see Stefanos Tzimas start ahead of Danny Welbeck after his goal against Forest on Sunday.
Kaoru Mitoma and James Milner are close to being fully fit again. This game against Aston Villa is likely to come too soon for the pair.
Villa look to keep a clean sheet.
Villa have a good record against Brighton and won 3-0 at the Amex last season. They will want to keep it tight at the back as each of their last four away league games has seen them concede at least once.
Aston Villa will be without Tyrone Mings for this trip to the south coast. Also doubtful for this Premier League game is Ross Barkley who had to come off after 89 minutes of the weekend win over Wolves. That happened just 14 minutes after coming on as a substitute.
Most goals and assists
Brighton
Aston Villa
D. Welbeck
(8 Goals)
O. Watkins
(7 Goals)
,
M. Rogers
(7 Goals)
Y. Minteh
(3 Assists)
, 
G. Rutter
(3 Assists)
, 
M. Wieffer
(3 Assists)
M. Rogers
(4 Assists)
, 
Y. Tielemans
(4 Assists)
Brighton - Aston Villa Key Points
- Over 2.5 goals have been scored in five of the last six games played between Brighton and Aston Villa
- Each of the last five Brighton home league games have seen over 2.5 goals scored.
- Over 2.5 goals were scored in two of Villa's last three away league fixtures.
- Two of the last three Brighton home league games against Aston Villa saw over 2.5 goals scored.
Limited Offer. Currently at Bet365
Our Brighton vs Aston Villa Prediction
Brighton and Hove Albion can move above Aston Villa if they beat them on Wednesday. The Seagulls tend to blow a bit hot and cold but are in good form at present A form guide for the last five Premier League games has them fourth and they remain unbeaten at home.
They will need to play at their best here though. That five-game form guide is topped by Aston Villa. who have won 11 of their last 13 games in all competitions. Our main Brighton v Aston Villa prediction is more than 2.5 goals.
Brighton vs Aston Villa - Other Interesting Predictions
Aston Villa wins or draws
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Brighton Aston Villa
| Brighton vs Aston Villa | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton wins | 2.22 | 2.3 | +3.6% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.55 | +1.4% |
| Aston Villa wins | 3.2 | 3.33 | +4.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Brighton is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 3.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 45.0% and is now 43.5% (-1.6%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Brighton vs. Aston Villa game!
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Brighton vs Aston Villa - FAQs
Brighton and Hove Albion are home to Aston Villa on Wednesday December 3. The kick-off for this Premier League fixture is 19:30 UK time.
Sky Sports will be showing this Premier League game live and a subscription is required. If you want to see how the game is progressing, go to our Premier League livescore. You’ll be able to read updated statistics and live text commentary.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
