Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburg Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Borussia Dortmund will look to keep pushing Bundesliga runaway leaders Bayern Munich as they take on Hamburg in a matchday 27 fixture. This match on Saturday in Dortmund between the second-placed Prussians and the 11th-placed ‘Red Shorts’ comes with our prediction of a home win to nil.
Ahead of this round, Dortmund have 58 points (W17, D7, L2) and are nine points behind Bayern, while being eight points ahead of Hoffenheim in third. Hamburg’s 30 points (W7, D9, L10) put them six points above the relegation zone.
Dortmund won 2-0 at home against Augsburg last weekend, continuing their push to secure second place. The Prussians have eight wins from their last ten Bundesliga games, losing just once, which came against the leaders Bayern.
That defeat came at home, but Dortmund have a great record at this venue otherwise. The hosts have seven wins from their last eight home league games, four coming with a clean sheet.
Hamburg drew 1-1 at home against Koln last weekend to make it 14 points from their last ten league games (W3, D5, L2). This run has seen the ‘Red Shorts’ build a six-point buffer to the drop zone.
Improving on that could depend on extending their recent away form that kept them unbeaten in the last four away league games (W2, D2).
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Borussia Dortmund v Hamburg Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.41 | 5.2 | 7.2 |
|
|
1.38 | 5.05 | 7.7 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.9 | 7.4 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.75 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.39 | 4.9 | 7 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Borussia Dortmund and Hamburg?
Our prediction for the Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburg match is: Borussia Dortmund win to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/03/2026 between Borussia Dortmund and Hamburg in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.84% for a win of Borussia Dortmund against Hamburg with odds of 1.45 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburg is 21.98% with odds of 5.4 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.18% chance ⭐ for a win of Hamburg vs Borussia Dortmund with odds of 7.75 at 888Starz.
Borussia Dortmund - Hamburg Prediction and Best Odds:
| Borussia Dortmund Hamburg Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund wins | 53.84% | 1.45 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.92% | 1.58 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 54.17% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Borussia Dortmund/Borussia Dortmund | 25.22% | 2.1 at Bet365 |
Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburg Form
Borussia Dortmund and Hamburg's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
73 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | +36 |
|
13
|
38 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | -14 |
Borussia Dortmund and Hamburg Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
25 Feb 2026 - Champions League
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
13 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
1 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
25 Feb 2026 - Champions League
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
23 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburg Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
20 Sept 2017 - Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund against Hamburg Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 3 - 2 - 2
Formation : 3 - 3 - 2 - 2
Substitutes
A. Meyer
DefenderY. Couto
R. Bensebaini
N. Sule
MidfielderS. Ozcan
C. Chukwuemeka
J. Brandt
F. Silva
S. Guirassy
S. Tangvik
DefenderD. Elfadli
G. Gocholeishvili
MidfielderA. Gronbaek
J. Dompe
R. Philippe
D. Downs
F. Balde
O. Stange
Missing players
P. Drewes
DefenderF. Mane
MidfielderE. Can
F. Dickes
H. Hermann
DefenderN. Katterbach
MidfielderB. Jatta
N. Capaldo
B. Yalcinkaya
ForwardY. Poulsen
A. Rossing Lelesiit
Most goals and assists
Borussia Dortmund
Hamburg
S. Guirassy
(17 Goals)
F. Vieira
(7 Goals)
J. Ryerson
(15 Assists)
F. Vieira
(5 Assists)
Borussia Dortmund - Hamburg Key Points
- Hamburg lost five of their last nine away Bundesliga matches, winning only two.
- Dortmund won eight of their last ten Bundesliga matches, four with a clean sheet.
- Dortmund won seven of their last eight home league games, five with a clean sheet.
- Dortmund won three of their last four Bundesliga matches against Hamburg without conceding.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburg Prediction
Dortmund are the second-best team in the Bundesliga at the moment, and even their defensive record is the best behind Bayern Munich. The Prussians have kept a league-high 12 clean sheets this season and will fancy their chances again this weekend. That won’t be a surprise against a Hamburg side that has scored only 29 goals, with just two teams scoring fewer goals.
Hamburg have also failed to score in nine Bundesliga matches, and that’s why our Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburg prediction is Borussia Dortmund win to nil.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Borussia Dortmund Hamburg
| Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburg | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund wins | 1.43 | 1.45 | +1.4% |
| Draw | 5.18 | 5.4 | +4.2% |
| Hamburg wins | 8 | 7.75 | -3.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Borussia Dortmund is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 69.9% and is now 69.0% (-1.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
