Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Betting Tips - DFB Pokal
Germany - DFB Pokal
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in DFB Pokal Predictions
For the second time in four days, Borussia Dortmund and Bayer Leverkusen clash, this time for a place in the quarter-finals of the 2025-26 DFB Pokal competition. These sides are set to meet on Tuesday in the last 16 round at Signal Iduna Park, with our prediction of both teams scoring goals.
Dortmund are five-time winners of this competition, most recently in the 2020-21 edition. Leverkusen have won this competition only two times, with their last win coming in the 2023-24 season. Dortmund have reached the quarter-finals stage only once in the last four years, while Leverkusen have reached at least the semi-finals in the last two editions.
A 2-1 win at the weekend gave Dortmund a slight edge in terms of moral boost over Leverkusen, but this fixture will be keenly fought. Leverkusen have done well on the road recently, while this venue has always been a tough ground for visitors, with Dortmund showing their prowess. What will it be this time out? Read more for our analysis, team news, and match predictions.
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The Best Betting Odds for Borussia Dortmund v Bayer Leverkusen Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.75 | 4.1 | 4 |
|
|
1.8 | 4 | 3.75 |
|
|
1.77 | 4.16 | 4.06 |
|
|
1.86 | 3.8 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.87 | 4.1 | 4 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Borussia Dortmund and Bayer Leverkusen?
Our prediction for the Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/12/2025 between Borussia Dortmund and Bayer Leverkusen in DFB Pokal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.31% for a win of Borussia Dortmund against Bayer Leverkusen with odds of 1.87 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen is 21.08% with odds of 4.18 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.61% chance ⭐ for a win of Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund with odds of 4.15 at Shangrila.
Borussia Dortmund - Bayer Leverkusen Prediction and Best Odds:
| Borussia Dortmund Bayer Leverkusen Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund wins | 41.31% | 1.87 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.44% | 1.65 at 888Starz |
| Both Team To Score | 58.33% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Borussia Dortmund/Borussia Dortmund | 17.51% | 2.75 at Bet365 |
Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen Form
Borussia Dortmund and Bayer Leverkusen Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
31 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
25 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
4 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
21 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
31 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
26 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
4 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
18 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
11 May 2025 - Bundesliga
10 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
3 Dec 2023 - Bundesliga
29 Jan 2023 - Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund - Bayer Leverkusen: Form Analysis
Dortmund scored once in each half and then weathered a late storm to defeat Leverkusen 2-1 at the weekend. That was their second win in a row, compensating for a prior winless run of three matches (D2, L1).
They have had close tussles in the DFB Pokal tournament this year, though. A 1-0 away win over RW Essen was followed by a 1-1 draw during regular time against Eintracht Frankfurt. They won that round via penalties, and this tie too could go the distance.
Dortmund are unbeaten at home this season in seven competitive games.
The weekend setback notwithstanding, Leverkusen have been in good form recently. They won eight of their last 11 matches in all competitions, with the other two defeats coming against Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga and continental giants PSG in the Champions League.
Leverkusen will fancy their chances on the road, having won six of their last seven competitive games. That included both rounds of this year’s DFB Pokal competition, although the latest win over Paderborn needed penalties.
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Borussia Dortmund against Bayer Leverkusen Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 3 - 2 - 4 - 1
Substitutes
A. Meyer
DefenderR. Bensebaini
Y. Couto
MidfielderP. Gross
J. Brandt
M. Sabitzer
A. Anselmino
ForwardM. Beier
S. Guirassy
N. Lomb
DefenderJ. Belocian
L. Bade
C. Echeverri
M. Tillman
E. Ben Seghir
N. Tella
P. Schick
A. Sarco
Missing players
N. Sule
L. Vazquez
MidfielderE. Palacios
E. Fernandez
A. Tape
Borussia Dortmund & Bayer Leverkusen Squad Analysis
Niklas Sule missed Dortmund’s weekend game and is likely to be out of contention again. Question marks remain over Maximilian Beier, who missed their last two games. Felix Nmecha came out of the weekend game with a knock and could go through a late check.
The hosts are likely to continue with their 3-4-3 formation, with Serhou Guirassy set to start slightly ahead in the final third. He has nine goals for the club this season, including one in this competition.
Karim Adeyemi has scored once in each of his last three games.
Leverkusen have a longer injury list than their hosts, with the likes of Arthur, Ezequiel Fernandez, and Lucas Vazquez out for the long term. They also lined up in their usual 3-4-3 formation at the weekend, which could again be the case.
That may see Patrik Schick start slightly ahead of the rest, and his output could be key to Leverkusen’s chances. He has eight goals for the club in all competitions, including one in the DFB Pokal.
Most goals and assists
Borussia Dortmund
Bayer Leverkusen
J. Brandt
(1 Goals)
A. Grimaldo
(2 Goals)
, 
I. Maza
(2 Goals)
R. Bensebaini
(1 Assists)
, 
J. Ryerson
(1 Assists)
E. Poku
(2 Assists)
Borussia Dortmund - Bayer Leverkusen Key Points
- Four of Dortmund’s last five matches in all competitions saw both teams score goals.
- Dortmund scored in all seven of their home matches this season in all competitions, while conceding in three.
- Six of Leverkusen’s last nine away matches saw both teams score goals.
- The last five matches between Dortmund and Leverkusen produced BTTS.
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Our Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction
These two sides produced a thriller at the weekend where Dortmund won 2-1 away at Leverkusen, with the hosts producing an 83rd-minute goal to add spice. That was still only their third defeat in their last 11 matches, winning the remaining eight. Being on the road could change the script, as Dortmund have won six of their recent seven away fixtures in all competitions. Leverkusen’s away matches have been full of goals, while Dortmund’s home matches have seen them pump in multiple goals.
This game could still produce excitement, and our Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction is BTTS.
Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen - Other Interesting Predictions
Draw and BTTS
Two of the last five matches between these sides ended in a draw, although Dortmund won the latest two. It’s tempting to back Dortmund to continue that trend, but Leverkusen would have been hurt by the loss. With a chance to extend their run in this competition, both teams are unlikely to let things drift. A scoring draw could be in the offing here.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Borussia Dortmund Bayer Leverkusen
| Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund wins | 1.97 | 1.87 | -5.1% |
| Draw | 3.55 | 4.18 | +17.7% |
| Bayer Leverkusen wins | 3.55 | 4.15 | +16.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Borussia Dortmund is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 5.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 50.8% and is now 53.5% (2.7%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Borussia Dortmund vs. Bayer Leverkusen game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Borussia Dortmund and Bayer Leverkusen when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on DFB Pokal!
Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen - FAQs
The Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen DFB Pokal round of 16 match will be broadcast live on television in Sky Deutschland in Germany. In the UK, it is shown on DFB Play.
You can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our DFB Pokal Livescore page!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
