Benoit Saint Denis vs Mauricio Ruffy Prediction & Betting Tips - UFC Fight Night

Prediction published on 04/09/2025, 11:05  by Devesh Jaganath | Modified on 04/09/2025 at 11:10 in UFC Predictions

The Ultimate Fighting Championship returns to Paris for UFC Fight Night this weekend, with the co-main event seeing Benoit Saint Denis take on Mauricio Ruffy in the lightweight division. The God of War has a pro record of 14-3-0, 1NC, while One Shot is 12-1-0. Let’s get into the match prediction. 

This marks the second time that Benoit Saint Denis will be fighting on home soil in the past 12 months, having lost to Renato Moicano by TKO in the main event here on September 28. 

However, God of War bounced back with an impressive submission win over Kyle Preplec at UFC 310, marking his sixth win since joining the UFC. Notably, all of his fights in the franchise have ended via stoppage. 

In terms of key stats, BSD lands 5.39 significant strikes per minute and connects on 55% of the significant strikes he attempts. He takes 4.61 and avoids 41% of significant strikes on defence. 

Meanwhile, Mauricio Ruffy is on a major upward trajectory, now on a seven-match win streak after knocking out King Green at UFC 313 back in March. 

Indeed, the Fighting Nerds’ prospect has finished all four of his fights in the UFC and with 11 of his 12 career wins coming via KO/TKO, there is no questioning where his strength lies. 

The question now remains: does One Shot have the grappling defence to withstand a capable wrestler in BSD? What does seem likely is that this match is unlikely to go the distance.