UFC - UFC n°317
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by Devesh Jaganath | in UFC Predictions
Beneil Dariush will face off against Renato Moicano in the lightweight division at UFC 317 live from the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas this weekend. Benny has a pro record of 22-6-1, while Moicano is 20-6-1. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Beneil Dariush is set to return to the ring for the first time since December 2023, when he was beaten in the first round via KO/TKO by Arman Tsarukyan at UFC Fight Night.
Prior to that defeat, Benny had also lost to Charles Oliveira in the first round, which followed an eight-match win streak. This then, is something of the road to redemption for the 36-year-old.
Dariush lands 3.78 significant strikes per minute at a 48% accuracy, while averaging 1.90 takedowns per 15 minutes, though his success rate could use improvement from 34%.
Meanwhile, you certainly cannot blame Renato Moicano for taking the fight against Islam Makhachev on short notice in January, but he was outclassed against the former champ and now needs to bounce back.
That defeat snapped a four-match win streak for Moicano, which included victories over Brad Riddell (sub), Drew Dober (u dec), Jalin Turner (KO/TKO) and Benoit Saint Denis (TKO).
Moicano lands 4.36 significant strikes per minute at a 48% accuracy. He averages 1.82 takedowns per 15 at a 44% accuracy, but only defends takedowns at 71%.
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Beneil Dariush - Renato Moicano Key Points
- Beneil Dariush has lost his last two fights in the first round.
- Beneil Dariush has not fought since December 2023.
- Beneil Dariush lands 3.78 significant strikes per minute, while Moicano lands 4.36.
- Renato Moicano has won four of his last five fights.
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Our Beneil Dariush vs Renato Moicano Prediction
Beneil Dariush is on the road to redemption following two tough losses to Tsarukyan and Oliveira, both in the first round. However, this is his first bout in 18 months, so it remains to be seen what type of condition he is in.
While Dariush was away, Renato Moicano racked up several impressive wins, including stoppages against Denis, Turner and Riddell before losing to Makhachaev. Thus, we feel that he is the more battle-ready heading into this bout. Our Beneil Dariush vs Renato Moicano prediction is Renato Moicano wins the match.
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