Ben Shelton vs Valentin Vacherot Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Australian Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Australian Open Predictions
Eighth seed Ben Shelton takes on 30th-seeded Valentin Vacherot in round three of the Australian Open. The winner goes into a last 16 matchh against either 12th seed Casper Ruud or unseeded Marin Cilic. Time for our match prediction.
Ben Shelton has an excellent record in this outdoor hard court Grand Slam. He has won 13 of his 16 matches played in Melbourne with a quarter-final three years ago and a last four appearance in 2025.
So far this week, the American has beaten Ugo Humbert and Dane Sweeny, both in straight sets.
He's won three of his four matches this year and is ninth in the live rankings.
The 23-year-old won his only previous match against Vacherot in three sets, two going to a tie-break.
Valentin Vacherot is up to a career-high 26th after reaching round three in Melbourne for the first time. It's the first time the Frenchman has made it to the main draw here after losing in the second qualifying round last year.
The 27-year-old has had wns over Martin Damm in straight sets and Rinky Hijikata in four. Those are the first two matches that Vacherot has ever won in the main draw of a Grand Slam tournament. He's 3-2 for 2026 with a quarter-final in last week's Adelaide International.
We tip more than 3.5 sets in this match.
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Ben Shelton v Valentin Vacherot Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.24 | 4.02 |
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1.24 | 4.1 |
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1.22 | 4.33 |
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1.21 | 3.9 |
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1.2 | 4.1 |
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Who will win the Ben Shelton vs Valentin Vacherot Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Ben Shelton vs Valentin Vacherot match is: more than 3.5 sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Ben Shelton vs Valentin Vacherot game on 23/01/2026 of the current ATP Australian Open season:
- Ben Shelton has a 60.42% chance to win against Valentin Vacherot according to Melbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.24.
- Valentin Vacherot has a 39.58% probability of winning facing Ben Shelton ⭐ with odds of 4.35 at Shangrila.
Ben Shelton vs Valentin Vacherot Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Ben Shelton has a 60.42 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Ben Shelton | 60.42 % |
| Valentin Vacherot | 39.58 % |
Ben Shelton vs Valentin Vacherot Form
Ben Shelton and Valentin Vacherot Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
21 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
19 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
15 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic
13 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic
14 Nov 2025 - ATP Finals
12 Nov 2025 - ATP Finals
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
21 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
19 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
15 Jan 2026 - Adelaide International
12 Jan 2026 - Adelaide International
4 Jan 2026 - Brisbane International
31 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
Ben Shelton - Valentin Vacherot Key Points
- The one previous match between these two players saw both win a set.
- Vacherot played more than 3.5 sets in his first round match.
- Four of Shelton's last seven matches in the Australian Open saw more than 3.5 sets played.
- Shelton has won a set in four of his last six matches. For Vacherot, it's 22 in his last 25.
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Our Ben Shelton vs Valentin Vacherot Prediction
Valentin Vacherot has proved his stunning Shanghai Masters win last October was no flash in a pan. A win over Shelton would take him one match away from a third quarter-final since that title triumph. He has won tnree of his five matches this year.
Ben Shelton has an excellent record in this tournament. He's reached this stage in each of his three previous appearances including a quarter-final and the last four in 2025. This could be close and our Ben Shelton v Valentin Vacherot prediction is more than 3.5 sets.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
