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by Kennedy Kechula | in Bundesliga Predictions
Bayer Leverkusen are set to host Borussia Dortmund in their final home match this season. The two will be squaring off in the penultimate round of matches in the Bundesliga at the BayArena on Sunday. Heading into the match, Leverkusen have secured all they can for the season, while Dortmund have everything to play for here. Being a crucial game for the visitors, predictions have installed Borussia Dortmund as slight favorites.
This is bound to be an emotional game for the home fans. It will be the last time they see their iconic manager, Xabi Alonso, at the BayArena. The Spaniard is set to leave at the end of the season.
For Dortmund, there is more than sentiment to this game. They are yet to secure Champions League football and will be targeting a win here to push that agenda. The visitors will have a good feeling about this game, having done well away to Leverkusen lately.
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The Best Betting Odds for Bayer Leverkusen v Borussia Dortmund Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.63 | 3.9 | 2.38 |
|
|
2.75 | 3.75 | 2.38 |
|
|
2.7 | 2.75 | 2.6 |
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2.58 | 3.89 | 2.35 |
|
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2.62 | 3.85 | 2.35 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Dortmund?
Our prediction for the Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund match is: Borussia Dortmund wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/05/2025 between Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Dortmund in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 31.02% for a win of Bayer Leverkusen against Borussia Dortmund with odds of 2.75 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund is 27.32% with odds of 4.04 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 41.66% chance ⭐ for a win of Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen with odds of 2.6 at Ladbrokes.
Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund Form
Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Dortmund's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
68 | 32 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 31 |
|
5
|
51 | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 15 |
Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Dortmund Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 May 2025 - Bundesliga
26 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
20 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
12 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Apr 2025 - DFB Pokal
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
12 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
11 Mar 2025 - Champions League
8 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 May 2025 - Bundesliga
20 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Apr 2025 - DFB Pokal
16 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Mar 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2025 - Bundesliga
26 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
20 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Apr 2025 - Champions League
12 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
9 Apr 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2025 - Bundesliga
20 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Apr 2025 - Champions League
30 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
4 Mar 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
12 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
9 Apr 2025 - Champions League
5 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
12 Mar 2025 - Champions League
Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
3 Dec 2023 - Bundesliga
29 Jan 2023 - Bundesliga
6 Aug 2022 - Bundesliga
6 Feb 2022 - Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund: Form Analysis
These coming weeks will mark the end of an era for Bayer Leverkusen. News of impending exits have dominated the headlines at the club. All that will transform into an emotional day on Sunday when the former Bundesliga champions welcome Borussia Dortmund.
To go with the high sentiments expected, Leverkusen will be looking to give home fans one last home win. They’ve struggled in recent matches, and at the height of it had to relinquish their title to Bayern Munich with three matches to go.
After fighting out a 2-2 draw with Freiburg last week, Leverkusen are 12 points ahead of third place and eight behind Bayern. They will, therefore, only play for pride in the remaining games.
Dortmund avoided defeat at Leverkusen in the last three visits.
Borussia Dortmund will be caught up in the emotions at Leverkusen, but the visitors will want to stay focused on the prize here. They are chasing a Champions League slot, and only a win will serve their ambitions right.
Heading into the weekend, BVB are fifth, trailing fourth-placed Freiburg by a point. They’ve done justice to their top four push by winning their last three league matches.
The most recent of them was done in resounding fashion as a second-half masterclass delivered a 4-0 win over Wolfsburg. Dortmund take to this game a six-match undefeated run, with five wins in it.
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Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
J. Belocian
M. Hermoso
N. Mukiele
ForwardM. Terrier
N. Schlotterbeck
Bayer Leverkusen & Borussia Dortmund Squad Analysis
This hasn’t been as great a campaign as last season was for Bayer Leverkusen. However, Patrik Schick has stood out when the former champions needed a savior. The Czech forward has actually more than doubled his goal tally from last season.
He goes into this round with 19 league goals from 29 appearances. With 65 shots, of which 51% have been on target, Schick has maintained an 11.59 xG rating and will look to add to his tally on Sunday.
Leverkusen will still miss at least five players for this game. Jeanuel Belocian, Mario Hermoso, and Martin Terrier are out for the season. Nordi Mukiele and Alejo Sarco could return for the final match.
Neither team has any players suspended.
Serhou Guirassy has had another good season after changing clubs. At Dortmund so far, he has 19 league goals and two assists. It isn’t a bad return in his first season here, and he will hope to inspire the team to finish in the top four.
The Guinean has been turned on in recent matches, scoring seven in the last four matches. He was also on target in the reverse fixture as Dortmund lost 3-2 at home to Leverkusen.
With 84 shots this season, and 40% of them on target, Guirassy heads to this game with a 21.27 xG rating.
This match comes too soon for Maximilian Beier, ruled out by an ankle injury.
Most goals and assists
Bayer Leverkusen
Borussia Dortmund
P. Schick
(24 Goals)
F. Wirtz
(14 Assists)
P. Gross
(13 Assists)
Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Dortmund Stats in Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund Key Points
- Borussia Dortmund have won each of their last four matches.
- Borussia Dortmund have five wins in their last six league matches.
- In their last four Bundesliga matches, Leverkusen managed just one win.
- Bayer Leverkusen lost two of the last three home matches against Dortmund.
- Borussia Dortmund registered three wins in their last five away league matches.
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Our Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction
It is undeniable that Borussia Dortmund’s fortunes away from home have improved under Niko Kovac. In three of the last five league games on the road, they emerged winners. This improvement on the away front is what they come here desperately in need of.
That, coupled with their recent form, should boost Dortmund’s confidence. They have also avoided defeat in their last three trips to Leverkusen, winning twice. The hosts have nothing to lose here, and Dortmund want this more. Our prediction for Bayer Leverkusen v Borussia Dortmund is that Borussia Dortmund wins the match.
Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund - Other Interesting Predictions
Second half to have the most goals
Five of the 10 goals scored in Leverkusen’s last five home matches came in the second half. In Dortmund’s last five matches, 22 goals were scored, and 15 of them came in the second half. In the last seven meetings between these two sides, only one failed to yield a second-half goal. As a second prediction, we are backing the second half to have the most goals.
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Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund match : Frequently asked questions
The Bayer Leverkusen v Borussia Dortmund match will be played on Sunday, 11th May.
The Bayer Leverkusen v Borussia Dortmund match will be hosted at the BayArena in Leverkusen.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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