Bayer Leverkusen vs Leipzig Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Bayer Leverkusen will look to replace Leipzig in the Bundesliga points table with a win on matchday four this Sunday at the BayArena in Leverkusen. This match between the 7th-placed ‘Factory XI’ and the 5th-placed ‘Red Bulls’ could follow the historical pattern of this fixture, which is why our match prediction backs over 3.5 goals.
Leverkusen have four points in the league after three games (W1, D1, L1), keeping them three points off third. Leipzig’s six points (W2, L1) keep them just three points off the top spot ahead of this fourth round.
A 2-0 home win over Celje on Wednesday kickstarted Leverkusen’s league phase campaign in the Europa League. It extended their unbeaten run to three games (W2, D1) since starting the league campaign with a 3-2 loss at Elversberg.
Playing in front of home fans could energise them, as Leverkusen have three wins from their last four home competitive matches (D1), including two in a row this season.
Leipzig blanked Hamburg 5-0 at home last weekend to bounce back from consecutive defeats. One of those was a 3-1 loss at Werder Bremen on matchday two.
Leipzig have a lot of ground to cover on the road, where their recent results have been poor. The ‘Red Bulls’ have lost four of their last five away matches (W1) in all competitions.
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Bayer Leverkusen v Leipzig Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.99 | 4.1 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.06 | 4.21 | 3.41 |
|
|
1.97 | 4.1 | 3.3 |
|
|
1.99 | 4.06 | 3.28 |
|
|
1.97 | 4.1 | 3.3 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bayer Leverkusen and Leipzig?
Our prediction for the Bayer Leverkusen vs Leipzig match is: over 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/09/2026 between Bayer Leverkusen and Leipzig in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 62.31% for a win of Bayer Leverkusen against Leipzig with odds of 2.06 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bayer Leverkusen vs Leipzig is 13.34% with odds of 4.21 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.34% chance ⭐ for a win of Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen with odds of 3.41 at 1xbet.
Bayer Leverkusen vs Leipzig Form
Bayer Leverkusen and Leipzig's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +6 |
|
7
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +3 |
Bayer Leverkusen and Leipzig Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Sept 2026 - Europa League
12 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
5 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
29 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Sept 2026 - Europa League
5 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
16 May 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
29 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Sept 2026 - Champions League
5 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
29 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal
15 Aug 2026 - Telekom Cup
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
29 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
9 May 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Sept 2026 - Champions League
5 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal
15 Aug 2026 - Telekom Cup
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Bayer Leverkusen vs Leipzig Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 May 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
25 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
31 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
20 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga
19 Aug 2023 - Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen vs Leipzig last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
J. Blaswich
N. Lomb
DefenderM. Gutierrez
J. Quansah
MidfielderE. Fernandez
ForwardA. Moreira
E. Ben Seghir
C. Kofane
O. Nyland
DefenderM. Finkgrafe
M. Esteve
MidfielderA. Maksimovic
R. Baku
N. Seiwald
ForwardM. Guiu
Romulo
C. Nkunku
Missing players
K. Eichhorn
ForwardN. Tella
E. Ben Seghir
M. Culbreath
C. Baumgartner
R. Reitz
Most goals and assists
Bayer Leverkusen
Leipzig
P. Schick
(3 Goals)
R. Baku
(2 Goals)
, 
A. Nusa
(2 Goals)
M. Gutierrez
(2 Assists)
T. Gomis
(2 Assists)
,
A. Nusa
(2 Assists)
Bayer Leverkusen and Leipzig Stats in Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen - Leipzig Key Points
- Five of Leverkusen’s last six Bundesliga matches have produced over 3.5 goals.
- Three of Leverkusen’s last five home league games have seen at least four goals scored.
- Four of Leipzig’s last five competitive matches have seen four or more goals scored.
- Leipzig’s last six away matches in all competitions saw at least four goals scored.
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Our Bayer Leverkusen vs Leipzig Prediction
Leverkusen have won five of the last seven head-to-head matches and even scored at least two goals in each of those seven. They also lay claim to better form than their visitors coming into this encounter. Leipzig bounced back last weekend in the league but could be tested on this trip. Whatever may be the result, there’s value in the goals market.
The last six matches between these sides were full of goals, and that pattern is likely to repeat. That’s why our Bayer Leverkusen vs Leipzig prediction is over 3.5 goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
