Hamburg vs Köln Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Hamburg are still searching for their first goals and points of the 2026-27 Bundesliga campaign as they host Koln on matchday four. This match at Volksparkstadion in Hamburg between the 18th-placed ‘Red Shorts’ and the 12th-placed ‘Billy Goats’ could end up being an entertaining affair with over 2.5 goals, our match prediction.
After three matches, Hamburg are at the bottom of the standings with zero points (L3), conceding 12 goals and scoring none. Koln’s four points (W1, D1, L1) put them two points outside the top six.
A 5-0 away defeat at Leipzig last weekend made it three defeats on the spin for Hamburg. Each of those losses came with a clean sheet, as they continue to struggle at both ends of the pitch.
Even their home form hasn’t been up to scratch as the Red Shorts have lost four of their last seven home league games (W1, D2).
Koln held Werder Bremen to a 1-1 home draw last weekend, bouncing back from a 4-1 loss to Stuttgart on matchday two. Thanks to wins on matchday one and in the DFB Pokal, they have two victories from four competitive games and nothing major to panic about yet.
That said, away form has been a big concern for Koln, whose last away league win came in October 2025 – drawing six and losing eight hence.
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Hamburg v Köln Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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2.7 | 3.6 | 2.42 |
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2.82 | 3.75 | 2.54 |
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2.71 | 3.6 | 2.46 |
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2.71 | 3.6 | 2.46 |
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2.72 | 3.6 | 2.45 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Hamburg and Köln?
Our prediction for the Hamburg vs Köln match is: over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/09/2026 between Hamburg and Köln in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.69% for a win of Hamburg against Köln with odds of 2.82 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Hamburg vs Köln is 25.88% with odds of 3.75 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 41.43% chance ⭐ for a win of Köln vs Hamburg with odds of 2.55 at 888Starz.
Hamburg vs Köln Form
Hamburg and Köln's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 |
|
18
|
0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -12 |
Hamburg and Köln Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
6 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
29 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2026 - Bundesliga
25 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
29 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
16 May 2026 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
29 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
7 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
29 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
7 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal
23 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
16 May 2026 - Bundesliga
2 May 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
Hamburg vs Köln Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
2 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
18 Jan 2025 - 2. Bundesliga
2 Aug 2024 - 2. Bundesliga
18 Jan 2022 - DFB Pokal
25 Aug 2017 - Bundesliga
Hamburg vs Köln last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 5 - 1
Substitutes
S. Tangvik
DefenderL. Lemke
W. Omari
MidfielderB. Nadir
M. Adeline
F. Vieira
B. Jatta
ForwardO. Stange
T. Moffi
R. Zieler
DefenderB. Sosa
S. Sebulonsen
J. Schmied
MidfielderS. El Mala
I. Johanneson
J. Thielmann
P. Okon-Engstler
ForwardR. Ache
Missing players
S. Bornauw
MidfielderK. Amoako
ForwardA. Rossing Lelesiit
M. James
DefenderT. Hubers
A. Castro-Montes
M. El Mala
ForwardL. Waldschmidt
Hamburg and Köln Stats in Bundesliga
Hamburg - Köln Key Points
- Eight of Hamburg’s last ten competitive matches produced over 2.5 goals.
- Six of Hamburg’s last nine home league games saw three or more goals.
- Seven of Koln’s last eight competitive games produced at least three goals.
- Four of Koln’s last five away league fixtures saw three or more goals.
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Our Hamburg vs Köln Prediction
Hamburg are the only side in this Bundesliga campaign yet to score a goal or win a point, justifying their status as the table laggards. The way is only up, but they need to find a way past Koln. The visitors have shown indifferent form, but just a defeat in four competitive matches this season suggests they are likely to fancy their chances on this trip.
Hamburg have conceded a league-high 12 goals already, while Koln have conceded seven, which means this game is likely to be a high-scoring one. Our Hamburg vs Koln prediction is over 2.5 goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.