Hamburg vs Köln Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga

Germany - Bundesliga

Hamburg
19/09/2026 09:30
Köln

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions

Hamburg are still searching for their first goals and points of the 2026-27 Bundesliga campaign as they host Koln on matchday four. This match at Volksparkstadion in Hamburg between the 18th-placed ‘Red Shorts’ and the 12th-placed ‘Billy Goats’ could end up being an entertaining affair with over 2.5 goals, our match prediction.

After three matches, Hamburg are at the bottom of the standings with zero points (L3), conceding 12 goals and scoring none. Koln’s four points (W1, D1, L1) put them two points outside the top six.

A 5-0 away defeat at Leipzig last weekend made it three defeats on the spin for Hamburg. Each of those losses came with a clean sheet, as they continue to struggle at both ends of the pitch.

Even their home form hasn’t been up to scratch as the Red Shorts have lost four of their last seven home league games (W1, D2).

Koln held Werder Bremen to a 1-1 home draw last weekend, bouncing back from a 4-1 loss to Stuttgart on matchday two. Thanks to wins on matchday one and in the DFB Pokal, they have two victories from four competitive games and nothing major to panic about yet.

That said, away form has been a big concern for Koln, whose last away league win came in October 2025 – drawing six and losing eight hence.

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Hamburg v Köln Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
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2.7 3.6 2.42
1xbet
2.82 3.75 2.54
Melbet
2.71 3.6 2.46
Betwinner
2.71 3.6 2.46
22bet
2.72 3.6 2.45
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What is the prediction for the football match between Hamburg and Köln?

Our prediction for the Hamburg vs Köln match is: over 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/09/2026 between Hamburg and Köln in Bundesliga :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.69% for a win of Hamburg against Köln with odds of 2.82 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Hamburg vs Köln is 25.88% with odds of 3.75 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 41.43% chance ⭐ for a win of Köln vs Hamburg with odds of 2.55 at 888Starz.

Hamburg vs Köln Form

Hamburg and Köln's standings in the Bundesliga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
12 Köln
4 3 1 1 1 -2
18 Hamburg
0 3 0 0 3 -12

Hamburg and Köln Last Matches

Hamburg
Hamburg Last matches
L W W L L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

13 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
5 :  0
Hamburg

6 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
0 :  5
1 Fsv Mainz 05

29 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  0
Hamburg

24 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal

SC Verl
0 :  3
Hamburg

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Toulouse
1 :  2
Hamburg

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Hamburg
1 :  2
Everton
D L W W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

6 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
0 :  5
1 Fsv Mainz 05

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Hamburg
1 :  2
Everton

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Hamburg
3 :  1
Heidenheim

10 May 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
3 :  2
Freiburg

25 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
1 :  2
Hoffenheim

4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
1 :  1
Augsburg
D L W W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

13 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
5 :  0
Hamburg

29 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  0
Hamburg

24 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal

SC Verl
0 :  3
Hamburg

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Toulouse
1 :  2
Hamburg

18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Rapid Wien
3 :  2
Hamburg

16 May 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
1 :  1
Hamburg
Köln
Köln Last matches
W W W W L D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

12 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Köln
1 :  1
Werder Bremen

4 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
4 :  1
Köln

29 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga

Köln
3 :  2
Hoffenheim

24 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal

Kickers Wurzburg
1 :  2
Köln

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Köln
2 :  1
Real Sociedad

7 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Köln
2 :  0
Real Sociedad
W D W W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

12 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Köln
1 :  1
Werder Bremen

29 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga

Köln
3 :  2
Hoffenheim

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Köln
2 :  1
Real Sociedad

7 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Köln
2 :  0
Real Sociedad

31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Köln
2 :  2
Hertha Berlin

18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Köln
5 :  0
FC Rheinsud Koln
D D L W W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

4 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
4 :  1
Köln

24 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal

Kickers Wurzburg
1 :  2
Köln

23 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

SV Bergisch Gladbach 09
0 :  8
Köln

16 May 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
5 :  1
Köln

2 May 2026 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
2 :  2
Köln

17 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
1 :  1
Köln

Hamburg vs Köln Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Hamburg

50 %

Draw

33 %

Köln

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.83
Total goals
83.33%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
1 :  1
Köln

2 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga

Köln
4 :  1
Hamburg

18 Jan 2025 - 2. Bundesliga

Hamburg
1 :  0
Köln

2 Aug 2024 - 2. Bundesliga

Köln
1 :  2
Hamburg

18 Jan 2022 - DFB Pokal

Köln
1 :  1
Hamburg

25 Aug 2017 - Bundesliga

Köln
1 :  3
Hamburg
Hamburg vs Köln Prediction

Hamburg vs Köln last Lineups

Hamburg

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

1
D. Fernandes
24
N. Capaldo
23
J. Torunarigha
43
S. Nandja
7
Z. El Ouahdi
6
A. Sambi Lokonga
21
N. Remberg
3
D. Moller Wolfe
27
P. Daka
11
A. Gronbaek
15
Y. Poulsen
27
T. Dallinga
37
L. Maina
47
M. Moore
6
E. Skhiri
5
T. Krauss
30
M. Bulter
14
G. Mensah
24
L. Lochoshvili
22
J. Simpson-Pusey
17
A. Castro-Montes
1
M. Schwabe

Formation : 4 - 5 - 1

Köln

Substitutes

Hamburg
Hamburg
Goalkeeper

S. Tangvik

Defender

L. Lemke

W. Omari

Midfielder

B. Nadir

M. Adeline

F. Vieira

B. Jatta

Forward

O. Stange

T. Moffi

Köln
Köln
Goalkeeper

R. Zieler

Defender

B. Sosa

S. Sebulonsen

J. Schmied

Midfielder

S. El Mala

I. Johanneson

J. Thielmann

P. Okon-Engstler

Forward

R. Ache

Missing players

Hamburg
Hamburg
Defender

S. Bornauw

Midfielder

K. Amoako

Forward

A. Rossing Lelesiit

Köln
Köln
Goalkeeper

M. James

Defender

T. Hubers

A. Castro-Montes

M. El Mala

Forward

L. Waldschmidt

Hamburg and Köln Stats in Bundesliga

Hamburg
Hamburg
Köln
Köln
0%
Wins
33%
100%
Losses
33%
0%
Draws
33%
4
Average goals per match
4
0
Goals scored per match
1.67
4
Goals conceded per match
2.33
33%
Under 2.5 goals
33%
67%
Over 2.5 goals
67%
0%
No goals conceded
0%
0%
BTTS
100%

Hamburg - Köln Key Points

  1. Eight of Hamburg’s last ten competitive matches produced over 2.5 goals.
  2. Six of Hamburg’s last nine home league games saw three or more goals.
  3. Seven of Koln’s last eight competitive games produced at least three goals.
  4. Four of Koln’s last five away league fixtures saw three or more goals.
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Our Hamburg vs Köln Prediction

Hamburg are the only side in this Bundesliga campaign yet to score a goal or win a point, justifying their status as the table laggards. The way is only up, but they need to find a way past Koln. The visitors have shown indifferent form, but just a defeat in four competitive matches this season suggests they are likely to fancy their chances on this trip.

Hamburg have conceded a league-high 12 goals already, while Koln have conceded seven, which means this game is likely to be a high-scoring one. Our Hamburg vs Koln prediction is over 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.