Bournemouth vs Liverpool Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

England - Premier League

Bournemouth
20/09/2026 09:00
Liverpool

Prediction :

 

Bournemouth or Draw

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Premier League Predictions

Bournemouth made an excellent start to their Europa League campaign with a win at Real Sociedad on Thursday. The Cherries are 15th in the Premier League without a win so far. They host eighth-placed Liverpool on Sunday who are also not firing on all cylinders. Our prediction is Bournemouth wins or draws.

It's been so frustrating for Bournemouth in this season's Premier League. After last season's excellent sixth place finish, they are in the bottom half of the table this term. It could be so much better though because each of their four league games (three drawn) has seen them take the lead.

Liverpool have had just the one league win this season and like their opponents, they have drawn three of their four matches. It'll be a big match for their new coach Andoni Iraola who was in charge of Bournemouth last season. His team needs to go up a gear in the Premier League to prevent being left behind by Arsenal and Manchester City.

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Bournemouth v Liverpool Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
3.05 3.8 2.14
1xbet
3.29 3.93 2.19
Melbet
3.18 3.78 2.11
Betwinner
3.18 3.78 2.11
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3.19 3.76 2.11
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bournemouth and Liverpool?

Our prediction for the Bournemouth vs Liverpool match is: Bournemouth wins or draws.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/09/2026 between Bournemouth and Liverpool in Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.72% for a win of Bournemouth against Liverpool with odds of 3.29 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bournemouth vs Liverpool is 23.31% with odds of 3.93 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 31.97% chance ⭐ for a win of Liverpool vs Bournemouth with odds of 2.19 at 1xbet.

Bournemouth vs Liverpool Form

Bournemouth and Liverpool's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
8 Liverpool
6 4 1 3 0 +2
15 Bournemouth
3 4 0 3 1 -1

Bournemouth and Liverpool Last Matches

Bournemouth
Bournemouth Last matches
L D D W D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

17 Sept 2026 - Europa League

Real Sociedad
1 :  2
Bournemouth

12 Sept 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  2
Brentford

8 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup

Bournemouth
4 :  0
Lincoln City

5 Sept 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  2
Bournemouth

29 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
1 :  1
Everton

23 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  1
Bournemouth
W W W D W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
4.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

12 Sept 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  2
Brentford

8 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup

Bournemouth
4 :  0
Lincoln City

29 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
1 :  1
Everton

4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Bournemouth
10 :  1
Genoa

30 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Bournemouth
5 :  2
Augsburg

24 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Bournemouth
4 :  1
St. Pauli
D D L L D W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
100% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

17 Sept 2026 - Europa League

Real Sociedad
1 :  2
Bournemouth

5 Sept 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  2
Bournemouth

23 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  1
Bournemouth

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

1 Fsv Mainz 05
2 :  1
Bournemouth

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Betis
2 :  2
Bournemouth

24 May 2026 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  1
Bournemouth
Liverpool
Liverpool Last matches
D D W W D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

15 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup

Liverpool
3 :  1
Tottenham

12 Sept 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
0 :  0
Fulham

9 Sept 2026 - Champions League

Liverpool
2 :  1
Atletico Madrid

4 Sept 2026 - Premier League

Ipswich Town
0 :  2
Liverpool

29 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  2
Nottingham Forest

23 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  2
Liverpool
L W D W D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

15 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup

Liverpool
3 :  1
Tottenham

12 Sept 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
0 :  0
Fulham

9 Sept 2026 - Champions League

Liverpool
2 :  1
Atletico Madrid

29 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  2
Nottingham Forest

16 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
2 :  0
Como 1907

9 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
2 :  3
Monaco
L W L L D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

4 Sept 2026 - Premier League

Ipswich Town
0 :  2
Liverpool

23 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  2
Liverpool

15 May 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
4 :  2
Liverpool

3 May 2026 - Premier League

Manchester United
3 :  2
Liverpool

19 Apr 2026 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  2
Liverpool

8 Apr 2026 - Champions League

PSG
2 :  0
Liverpool

Bournemouth vs Liverpool Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Bournemouth

17 %

Draw

0 %

Liverpool

83 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.83
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
2.83
Goals conceded
83.33%
Over 2.5
16.67%
Under 2.5

24 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
3 :  2
Liverpool

15 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
4 :  2
Bournemouth

1 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
0 :  2
Liverpool

21 Sept 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool
3 :  0
Bournemouth

21 Jan 2024 - Premier League

Bournemouth
0 :  4
Liverpool

1 Nov 2023 - Carabao Cup

Bournemouth
1 :  2
Liverpool

Bournemouth - Liverpool: Form Analysis

Bournemouth are unbeaten in the Premier League since their opening weekend loss at Manchester City. Their last three league games have all ended level. In all four of their league fixtures, this season the Cherries have taken the lead but they just can't keep them.

That's only been the case in the Premier League though. Bournemouth's one Carabao Cup game saw them beat Championship side Lincoln City 4-0. They got off to a dream start in their first European campaign going 2-0 up at Real Sociedad in 20 minutes and eventually winning 2-1.

Just one league win for Liverpool.

Liverpool are eighth in the Premier League and already six points behind the league leaders Arsenal. The Reds have won just one of their four league games (a win at Ipswich Town) with the other three matches ending in draws. They have also had wins in the Carabao Cup and the Champions League but need to get wins in their domestic campaign.

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Bournemouth vs Liverpool Prediction

Players list

Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Goalkeeper

D. Petrovic

Defender

A. Smith

J. Hill

A. Silva

A. Truffert

Midfielder

A. Scott

T. Adams

M. Tavernier

J. Kluivert

Forward

Rayan

Evanilson

Liverpool
Liverpool
Goalkeeper

G. Mamardashvili

Defender

J. Gomez

M. Kerkez

J. Frimpong

R. Araujo

Midfielder

T. Nyoni

L. Koumas

J. McConnell

A. Mac Allister

Forward

R. Ngumoha

C. Gakpo

Substitutes

Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Goalkeeper

M. Allan

M. Di Gregorio

Defender

B. Diakite

J. Soler

Midfielder

R. Christie

L. Cook

D. Brooks

A. Toth

Forward

A. Rodriguez

B. Gannon-Doak

Liverpool
Liverpool
Goalkeeper

Alisson

Defender

J. Jacquet

L. Chambers

Midfielder

W. Endo

D. Szoboszlai

R. Gravenberch

Forward

V. Munoz

A. Isak

B. Barcola

Missing players

Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Defender

J. Araujo

Midfielder

V. Milosavljevic

Forward

A. Adli

E. Kroupi

Liverpool
Liverpool
Defender

C. Bradley

G. Leoni

Midfielder

F. Chiesa

Forward

H. Ekitike

Bournemouth & Liverpool Squad Analysis

Bournemouth have had a busy start to the season and were in Europa League action on Thursday night. They have some injury problems ahead of this home Premier League game against Liverpool. El Junior Kruoupi who was so important up front for them last season is still out injured.

Also unavailable are Julian Araujo, Tyler Adams and Veljko Milosavljevic..They will he hoping that Marcus Tavernier continues his good form for the Cherries, he's already scored three league goals for them this season and only Haaland has scored more. Evanilson is yet to score or make an assist this season, so he must be due one soon.

Liverpool recorded a win in midweek too as they beat Tottenham 3-1 at home in the Carabao Cup. A much-changed line-up was fielded for that game. Players such as van Dijk, Alisson and Wirtz were all listed and they are expected to return for this trip to Bournemouth.

Gakpo likely to start for Liverpool.

Alexander Isak was a late sub against Spurs, but again failed to score. He's not scored in his last three games for Liverpool. Cody Gakpo has been in good form this season and played in midweek making an assist. He is likely to start for Liverpool on Sunday. 

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Bournemouth
CD Huachipato Liverpool
Top Goalscorer
England M. Tavernier (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Sweden A. Isak (3 Goals)
Best assists
Brazil Evanilson (3 Assists)
Best assists
Netherlands C. Gakpo (3 Assists)

Bournemouth and Liverpool Stats in Premier League

Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Liverpool
Liverpool
0%
Wins
25%
25%
Losses
0%
75%
Draws
75%
3.25
Average goals per match
2.5
1.5
Goals scored per match
1.5
1.75
Goals conceded per match
1
25%
Under 2.5 goals
50%
75%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
0%
No goals conceded
50%
100%
BTTS
50%

Bournemouth - Liverpool Key Points

  1. Bournemouth have drawn three of their four league games this season.
  2. Bournemouth won at Real Sociedad in the Europa League on Thursday evening.
  3. Liverpool have only won one league game this season.
  4. Bournemouth beat Liverpool at home last season.
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Our Bournemouth vs Liverpool Prediction

Bournemouth may be in the bottom half of the Premier League, but they could be a lot higher. If they can improve on their ability to keep a lead, then the Cherries will start climbing the Premier League table. Three of their league games have been drawn this season.

Liverpool are already losing ground on the top two and a title challenge is going to become increasingly difficult if they keep drawing games. They had a good win in the Carabao Cup in midweek, but lost this fixture last season. Our main Bournemouth v Liverpool prediction is Bournemouth wins or draws.

Prediction :

 

Bournemouth or Draw

 
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Bournemouth vs Liverpool Alternative Predictions

Draw

Odds 3.8
Bournemouth have drawn three of their four league games this season.
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Bournemouth vs Liverpool - FAQs

This Premier League fixture between Bournemouth and Liverpool has a 14:00 UK time kick-off on Sunday September 20.
It's a trip down to the south coast for Liverpool this weekend. The game will be played at the Vitality Stadium in Bournemouth.
Sky Sports are a subscription channel and they will be showing this Premier League game live on Sunday. Go to our Premier League livescore to read updated statistics and live text commentary that will keep you in touch with what's happening at the Vitality Stadium.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.