Roma vs Inter Milan Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Roma
19/09/2026 12:00
Inter Milan

Prediction :

 

BTTS & over 2.5 goals

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions

The marquee fixture in matchday five of the Italian Serie A features the top two sides, Inter Milan and Roma, with at least one perfect record set to fall. Both sides have posted four wins in four matches ahead of this encounter. A superior goal difference is placing AS Roma at the league summit going into this match, having scored 12 times and only conceded once. 

Inter Milan haven’t been as strong defensively, conceding six times in four matches. They are, however, the league’s leading scorers with 13 goals. In total, 32 goals have been scored across the last eight matches these two giants have been involved in.

We will, therefore, be justified in backing an over 2.5 goals outcome in our prediction. We are convinced that one of these teams will keep their perfect record. That is down to the fact that this fixture hasn’t produced a draw in the last five years.

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Roma v Inter Milan Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.7 3.45 2.49
1xbet
2.8 3.52 2.67
Melbet
2.7 3.38 2.58
Betwinner
2.7 3.38 2.58
22bet
2.7 3.38 2.58
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What is the prediction for the football match between Roma and Inter Milan?

Our prediction for the Roma vs Inter Milan match is: BTTS & over 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/09/2026 between Roma and Inter Milan in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.41% for a win of Roma against Inter Milan with odds of 2.8 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Roma vs Inter Milan is 22.17% with odds of 3.55 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 35.42% chance ⭐ for a win of Inter Milan vs Roma with odds of 2.67 at 1xbet.

Roma vs Inter Milan Form

Roma and Inter Milan's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Roma
12 4 4 0 0 +11
2 Inter Milan
12 4 4 0 0 +7

Roma and Inter Milan Last Matches

Roma
Roma Last matches
D W W W D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

14 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Torino FC
0 :  2
Roma

10 Sept 2026 - Champions League

Fenerbahce Istanbul
1 :  1
Roma

5 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  1
Atalanta

31 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  4
Roma

24 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Roma
4 :  0
Fiorentina

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  2
Roma
W D W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

5 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  1
Atalanta

24 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Roma
4 :  0
Fiorentina

17 May 2026 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  0
Lazio

4 May 2026 - Serie A

Roma
4 :  0
Fiorentina

18 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  1
Atalanta

10 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Roma
3 :  0
Pisa SC
W L D W D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

14 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Torino FC
0 :  2
Roma

10 Sept 2026 - Champions League

Fenerbahce Istanbul
1 :  1
Roma

31 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  4
Roma

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  2
Roma

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Brighton
3 :  0
Roma

4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Newport County
1 :  4
Roma
Inter Milan
Inter Milan Last matches
W W W W L W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

14 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
5 :  3
Udinese

8 Sept 2026 - Champions League

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Inter Milan

5 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
3 :  2
Napoli

30 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  1
Inter Milan

22 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
4 :  1
Monza

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Inter Milan
1 :  0
Betis
W D W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

14 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
5 :  3
Udinese

5 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
3 :  2
Napoli

22 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
4 :  1
Monza

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Inter Milan
1 :  0
Betis

17 May 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
1 :  1
Hellas Verona

3 May 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  0
Parma
W D D W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

8 Sept 2026 - Champions League

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Inter Milan

30 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  1
Inter Milan

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Juventus
1 :  2
Inter Milan

5 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

AC Milan
1 :  1
Inter Milan

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester City
1 :  1
Inter Milan

26 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Karlsruher
1 :  2
Inter Milan

Roma vs Inter Milan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Roma

17 %

Draw

0 %

Inter Milan

83 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.83
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
0.83
Goals scored
2
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

5 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
5 :  2
Roma

18 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Roma
0 :  1
Inter Milan

27 Apr 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
0 :  1
Roma

20 Oct 2024 - Serie A

Roma
0 :  1
Inter Milan

10 Feb 2024 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  4
Inter Milan

29 Oct 2023 - Serie A

Inter Milan
1 :  0
Roma

Roma - Inter Milan: Form Analysis

AS Roma have registered one of the most impressive runs across the top five leagues as they head into this match. Last season they closed with five straight league wins and have started this one with four. Their push to better their record of 11 consecutive wins is, however, set to encounter serious headwinds.

When playing as hosts, Roma have not beaten Inter Milan in the last nine meetings. They have a generally poor run in this fixture, winning just two of their last 10 matches against Inter. Roma, in their current form, will feel capable of changing this poor run, especially as they are doing well defensively. The Giallorossi have conceded just one goal in the league, making theirs one of the tightest defences in Europe.

Inter have only lost once in the last seven competitive away matches.

Inter Milan will arrive for this match having recovered from their 2-1 defeat to Real Madrid in the Champions League. One area of concern they will want to address is their defence, after rising from 2-0 down last time out to beat Udinese 5-3. It now means Cristian Chivu’s men have conceded seven goals in the last five matches.

The champions will, however, be encouraged by their attack, having scored 14 times in their last five matches. Inter will travel confidently for this encounter, having last lost away to Roma in 2016. That confidence will be measured, though, given Roma are unbeaten in their last seven home games, winning six.

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Roma vs Inter Milan Prediction

Roma vs Inter Milan last Lineups

Roma

Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2

99
M. Svilar
23
G. Mancini
26
L. Balerdi
22
M. Hermoso
77
E. Lulli
4
B. Cristante
61
N. Pisilli
20
N. Molina
18
M. Soule
21
P. Dybala
14
D. Malen
9
M. Thuram
94
F. Esposito
30
C. Augusto
22
H. Mkhitaryan
7
P. Zielinski
23
N. Barella
17
A. Diouf
95
A. Bastoni
6
J. Stones
25
M. Akanji
1
J. Martínez

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

Inter Milan

Substitutes

Roma
Roma
Goalkeeper

G. De Marzi

P. Gollini

Defender

W. Franca

D. Rensch

K. Koulierakis

D. Ghilardi

Midfielder

M. De Roon

L. Pellegrini

M. Kone

R. Mora

Forward

S. Castro

Inter Milan
Inter Milan
Goalkeeper

R. Di Gennaro

I. Provedel

Defender

A. Stankovic

B. Pavard

F. Dimarco

Y. Bisseck

Midfielder

P. Sucic

C. Jones

Forward

M. Mosconi

A. Bonny

Luis Henrique

L. Martinez

Missing players

Roma
Roma
Midfielder

M. Bah

Inter Milan
Inter Milan
Defender

J. Stones

D. Spence

Midfielder

H. Calhanoglu

Roma & Inter Milan Squad Analysis

Much has been said about Roma’s defence but there is still a lot about their attack. That can’t pass by without the mention of Paulo Dybala. The Argentine has rediscovered his best and turns out to be a key man in attack for the hosts.

He has provided four assists in as many league matches. Last season, he only managed six assists all season, and Roma will have reason to bank on the 32-year-old. At a personal level Dybala will want to banish his poor run against Inter, having lost 10 times in 22 meetings with the champions.      

Inter will miss a big-game player in Hakan Calhanoglu, who is out with a groin injury.

Inter Milan will want to put up a better defence in this encounter if they are to get much from it. The fact that they’ve conceded 2+ in each of their last three matches means it needs to be addressed. The problem then is that the players who could do that are unavailable.

Englishmen Djed Spence and John Stones would have been great for the Nerazzurri. However, Stones has yet to feature in one full game for the Italian giants as he struggles with a thigh injury. He is only expected back in October. On the other hand, Spence, yet to get his debut, is back in training as he recovers from a calf injury.      

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Roma
CD Huachipato Inter Milan
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands D. Malen (6 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Turkey H. Calhanoglu (2 Goals) Italy F. Esposito (2 Goals) Argentina L. Martinez (2 Goals) France M. Thuram (2 Goals)
Best assists
Argentina P. Dybala (4 Assists)
Best assists
France A. Diouf (3 Assists)

Roma and Inter Milan Stats in Serie A

Roma
Roma
Inter Milan
Inter Milan
100%
Wins
100%
0%
Losses
0%
0%
Draws
0%
3.25
Average goals per match
4.75
3
Goals scored per match
3.25
0.25
Goals conceded per match
1.5
25%
Under 2.5 goals
25%
75%
Over 2.5 goals
75%
75%
No goals conceded
25%
25%
BTTS
75%

Roma - Inter Milan Key Points

  1. Three of Roma’s last five matches had over 2.5 goals.
  2. Four of Inter Milan’s last five games recorded 3+ goals.
  3. Roma scored in each of their last 10 competitive home matches.
  4. A total of 16 goals were scored in these teams’ last five meetings.
  5. Over 2.5 goals were also recorded in seven of Roma’s last 10 home games.
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Our Roma vs Inter Milan Prediction

No Serie A fixture beats the 540 goals scored in meetings between these two giants. With the stakes high in this, we can bet on goals here. Looking at the two teams’ varying starts to the season, we’ll not only have over 2.5 goals here, but that bet will also combine with both teams scoring.

Roma have scored in each of their last 10 home matches, while Inter Milan have netted at least three goals in three of their last five matches. Our prediction for AS Roma v Inter Milan is for BTTS & over 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

BTTS & over 2.5 goals

 
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Roma vs Inter Milan Alternative Predictions

Roma wins

Odds 2.7

This match hasn’t produced a draw over the past five years, and we don’t expect that to change. What might change, though, is that Inter Milan’s dominance could be checked here. The champions have already shown signs of frailty in defence as well as on the road.

The fact that they have tasted defeat already this season and are missing a few key players could have a major impact. Meanwhile, Roma are unbeaten in seven home matches, winning the last four. Our second prediction is for Roma to win.

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Roma vs Inter Milan - FAQs

The Roma v Inter Milan match will be played on Saturday 18th September.

The Roma v Inter Milan match will be played at the 70,000-capacity Stadio Olimpico in Rome.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.