NBA Predictions & Betting tips
The 2024/25 NBA season is set to tip off and SportyTrader's got you covered! Find our free prediction on which team will be crowned NBA champions along with additional betting information and advice. Our basketball betting experts are here to offer you full coverage of the entire 2024/25 season. Plenty of information for your sports betting!
NBA 2024/25 Presentation and Predictions
Basketball has seen a rapid rise in popularity over recent years and is now officially considered to be one of the top three biggest sports in the world. Fans are attracted to the fast-paced, high-octane nature of the sport which can produce some truly awe-inspiring moments. The National Basketball Association (NBA) is unquestionably the pinnacle of the game, with the world’s most elite talent all congregated across 30 franchises. These 30 teams in search of the famous Larry O’Brien trophy are divided into two conferences: the Eastern Conference and the Western Conference. Make sure you follow our expert basketball betting tips at Sportytrader this season.
NBA Prediction: Who Will Win the 2024/25 NBA Championship?
There’s a lot to like about the Oklahoma City Thunder this season. Not only do they possess the NBA’s best defense, they also have a roster jam-packed with young talent that is now one year more experienced following last year’s second round elimination.
While it certianly wasn't easy, the Thunder were able to ultimately put the finishing touches on one of the league's greatest ever seasons with their 4-3 Finals win over the Indiana Pacers. OKC finished the 2024/25 regular season with the second highest net rating in NBA history, behind only the legendary 1995/96 Chicago Bulls team. It marks the first ever championship for the Oklahoma City Thunder while reigning MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scooped the Finals MVP, the first player to complete the trifecta (league MVP, Finals MVP, championship) since LeBron James in 2013.
We were backing the OKC Thunder since early in the season and they didn't let us down! Be sure to check back soon for our analysis along with our 2025-26 NBA championship prediction!
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NBA Prediction: Who Will Win the 2024/25 MVP Award?
Boosted by his team's league best 68-14 record, the Thunder's Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was the frontrunner for the MVP award for much of the year. The 26-year-old really took his game to the next level in the past few seasons, going from finishing fifth in the MVP voting in 2022/23, second in 2023/24 and finally winning the coveted award in 2024/25.
SGA led the league in scoring this season, posting a career-high mark of 32.7 points per game. It marked the third consecutive year that the OKC point guard has averaged over the 30 point mark per game. Not only that, Gilgeous-Alexander also posted a career high in assists at 6.4 per game. He's evolved into the premier slashing guard in the NBA, effortlessly cutting through defenses and earning plenty of trips to the charity stripe (finished second in average free throw attempts per game at 8.8).
Gilgeous-Alexander also shines on the defensive side of the ball, making him the complete package. He finished second in the NBA in total steals this season (131) and led the league in blocks by a point guard (77).
While the Nuggets' Nikola Jokic posted one of the most statistically impressive seasons in NBA history, the Thunder's better team performance combined with SGA's unstoppable game resulted in the OKC man taking home the award.
Result: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander wins the 2024/25 MVP award!
NBA Prediction: Who Will Win the 2024/25 Defensive Player of the Year Award?
With the Spurs' phenom Victor Wembanyama failing to hit the 65 game mark to qualify for the NBA awards, the Defensive Player of the Year award was up for grabs. The Cavaliers' Evan Mobley then became one of the frontrunners for the award, given Cleveland's superb regular season results along with Mobley's versatile defensive skill set. The 23-year-old is one of the NBA's most complete defenders, able to divert shots in the paint with his length as well as being one of the top switch defenders in the league. Mobley is one of the few players who can effectively guard all five positions, a skill which is highly sought after in the modern NBA due to the abundance of pick-and-roll and screening actions.
Mobley finished the regular season with 1.6 blocks, 0.9 steals and 7.0 defensive rebounds per game. Additionally, opponents shot only 44.5% this season while being guarded by the Cavs' big man.
Result: Evan Mobley wins 2024/25 Defensive Player of the Year!
NBA Prediction: Who Will Win the Rookie of the Year Award?
The Rookie of the Year award was more open this year than in season’s past due to there being no standout player in the rookie class.
The number one pick in the draft, Zaccharie Risacher, had an adjustment period from European ball to the NBA which resulted in a slow start. While he was able to pick things up and improve his play in the second half of the season, it ultimately wasn't enough and he would finish as the runner-up.
The Spurs' Stephon Castle, selected fourth in the NBA Draft, would be the player that would claim Rookie of the Year honors. Castle led the rookie class in scoring at 14.2 points per game while also adding 4.1 assists and 3.7 rebounds per game. The point guard also proved himself to be a very good defender at the NBA level with his athleticism and size, something that surely helped his case for ROY.
Result: Stephon Castle wins 2024/25 Rookie of the Year!
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NBA Playoffs Conference Finals Predictions
Only four teams remain in the pursuit for the Larry O'Brien trophy as we reach the Conference Finals in the 2024/25 NBA Playoffs. There were some notable upsets in the previous round with the defending champion Celtics and the top-seeded Cavaliers both being bounced in the Eastern Conference. Meanwhile, in the West, the OKC Thunder had to go the full seven games in a back-and-forth series with the Denver Nuggets while the Timberwolves advanced to the WCF for the second straight year.
Let's take a look at the matchups!
Thunder vs Timberwolves
Thunder advance 4-1
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the powerhouse of the 2024/25 season. After racking up a league-high 68 wins in the regular season, they cruised through the first round before meeting a real test in the second round in the form of the 2023 champion Denver Nuggets. This young Thunder squad will certainly have learned a lot from that series and they've come out stronger because of it. The Thunder and the T'Wolves split their regular season series 2-2 which points towards this potentially going to six or seven games. However, OKC's defense is simply suffocating and they should be the team that advances to the NBA Finals. Minnesota's Anthony Edwards will have to do his best Superman impression if he is to will his team past this elite Thunder defense. The 23-year-old superstar has struggled against OKC this season, shooting only 36% and 32% from three in their regular season meetings. Our prediction: Thunder advance!
Knicks vs Pacers
Pacers advance 4-2
In what is sure to be an electric series, the New York Knicks and Indiana Pacers will contest the Eastern Conference Finals. The Pacers have proven that they are more than just a flash in the pan as they return to the ECF for the second straight year. The Knicks, meanwhile, return to this stage for the first time since the 1999/00 season. Interestingly enough, it was the Reggie Miller led Indiana Pacers that knocked New York out 25 years ago. Fast forward to the current day matchup and the Indiana Pacers are playing with a real chip on their shoulder. Tyrese Haliburton appears to be on a personal misson to make the entire league eat their words after an anonymous poll voted him as the 'most overrated player'. It wouldn't be a surprise if this series went the full seven games with how even these teams appear to be. Ultimately though, the experience that Indiana gained from their ECF run last year could be the deciding factor. Our prediction: Pacers advance!
NBA Playoffs Second Round Predictions
After correctly predicting seven out of the eight first round winners, we're now onto the second round in the NBA Playoffs! Take a look below at the first round results:
Eastern Conference
- Cavaliers defeat Heat 4-0
- Pacers defeat Bucks 4-1
- Knicks defeat Pistons 4-2
- Celtics defeat Magic 4-1
Western Conference
- Thunder defeat Grizzlies 4-0
- Nuggets defeat Clippers 4-3
- Timberwolves defeat Lakers 4-1
- Warriors defeat Rockets 4-3
Now, onto the second round predictions!
Thunder vs Nuggets
Thunder advance 4-3
This won't be an easy series for the current title favorites with the Nuggets having plenty of experience and championship pedigree. Things have gotten even trickier for the young Thunder with Jokic dominating game 1 to give Denver a 1-0 series lead. However, OKC have what it takes to get back into this series and grab a win on the road in Denver. Our prediction: OKC Thunder advance!
Warriors vs Timberwolves
Timberwolves advance 4-1
This should be a fascinating Western Conference matchup. The Warriors are playing well above their seventh-seed placement and proved it by knocking out the 52-win Rockets. However, they'll now come up against an in-form TWolves side that pulled off a highly impressive upset win over the Lakers. Anthony Edwards has taken his game to the next level and will likely be the best player on the court in this series. Our prediction: Timberwolves advance!
Cavaliers vs Pacers
Pacers advance 4-1
The Pacers pulled off an upset to steal game 1 on the road to jump out to a 1-0 series lead. However, to do so they had to shoot 53% from three while holding the Cavs to just 24% from downtown. Cleveland isn't likely to have too many games with that kind of poor shooting, considering they finished as the highest-scoring offense in the regular season and finished second in 3PT% (38.3%). Despite being down, the Cavs can still pull this one out. Our prediction: Cavaliers advance!
Celtics vs Knicks
Knicks advance 4-2
Once again, the underdog pulled off a game 1 victory to make the series all the more interesting. The Knicks prevailed in overtime in Boston to earn a huge win over the Eastern Conference favorites. However, the defending champion Celtics have faced adversity before and had a dominant record against New York in the regular season. Boston also finished with the league's best road record at 33-8, so they won't be intimidated heading to Madison Square Garden. Our prediction: Celtics advance!
NBA Playoffs First Round Predictions
After a grueling regular season, the NBA postseason has finally arrived. Let's take a look at the matchups and give our predictions on which teams will advace to the second round!
Eastern Conference
(1) Cleveland Cavaliers vs (8) Miami Heat
The top-seeded Cavs kick off their championship quest against the Miami Heat. The Cavs finished with the second best record in the NBA at 64-18, recording their most wins in a season since 2008/09. The Heat, meanwhile, finished 10th in the East with a 37-45 record, but battled their way to the eighth seed by winning both of their games in the play-in tournament. The Cavaliers are massive favorites to advance to the next round and shouldn't have too much trouble dealing with a Miami squad that finished eight games below .500 in the regular season and lost its best player in Jimmy Butler at the trade deadline. Additionally, Cleveland won the regular season series 2-1 against Miami.
Our prediction: Cavaliers advance!
(2) Celtics vs (7) Orlando Magic
Defending champions Boston start their title defense against the Orlando Magic. The Celtics are favored by many to make it out of the East and the Magic aren't expected to be able to keep up with their scoring. Orlando finished the regular season with the NBA's best defense, giving up only 105.4 points per game. However, Boston are no slouches on that end of the floor either, finishing with the second best defense. Ultimately, the Celtics simply have too much firepower for this young Orlando squad.
Our prediction: Celtics advance!
(3) New York Knicks vs (6) Detroit Pistons
The addition of Karl-Anthony Towns in the offseason has propelled the Knicks to one of the East's main contenders. However, they'll first have to contend with an upstart Pistons team that gave New York plenty of trouble in the regular season, winning three of their four matchups. However, the NBA Playoffs are a different beast and this Knicks team has the depth and talent to deal with Detroit over the course of a seven-game series. While it may not be pretty at times, we expect Jalen Brunson and co to move on.
Our prediction: Knicks advance!
(4) Indiana Pacers vs (5) Milwaukee Bucks
Last season's Eastern Conference finalists, the Indiana Pacers have put together another solid regular season, this time reaching the 50-win mark. They'll be matched up with the same team that they knocked out in the 2024 Playoffs in the Milwaukee Bucks. While they were the underdogs last year, Indiana comes into this series as the favorites. It's been a season of adversity for the Bucks who have not lived up to the expectations that many would have set for them. Milwaukee ended the regular season red hot, but they have to contend with an injury to star point guard Damian Lillard.
Our prediction: Pacers advance!
Western Conference
(1) OKC Thunder vs (8) Memphis Grizzlies
The Thunder rounded off a historic regular season by winning 68 games, the most in franchise history, and posting the NBA's second highest ever adjusted net rating (12.8). With the likely MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leading the way, OKC possess a lethal squad that dominates on the defensive end and has plenty of weapons on the offensive side. While Memphis has Ja Morant, they've also recently fired their head coach and have experienced somewhat of a dysfunctional season.
Our prediction: Thunder advance!
(2) Houston Rockets vs (7) Golden State Warriors
One of the most intriguing matchups in the first round pits the young and hungry Houston Rockets against the highly-experienced Golden State Warriors. This marks only the second time in league history (first since 1988) that the second seed comes into their first round playoff series as underdogs. A large reason for that was the Warriors acquisition of Jimmy Butler, who has transformed the team since the trade deadline. Golden State has posted a 23-7 record since the trade and have many predicting that they have what it takes to win it all. While it will certainly not be easy against Houston, the Dubs should be able to squeeze by in 6 or 7 games.
Our prediction: Warriors advance!
(3) LA Lakers vs (6) Minnesota Timberwolves
Arguably the of the biggest trades in the history of the NBA saw Luka Doncic head west to the Lakers and immediately catapulted them to one of the favorites to win the NBA championship. They'll be tested in the first round however against a Wolves side that won 49 games in the regular season. Anthony Edwards will be tough to stop but the Lakers high-octane trio of Doncic, James and Reaves should give them the edge. This has the potential to go the full seven games but we think Los Angeles will advance.
Our prediction: Lakers advance!
(4) Denver Nuggets vs (5) LA Clippers
Yet another blockbuster first round matchup in the West sees the Denver Nuggets taking on the LA Clippers. These two teams finished with identical 50-32 records in the regular season which has many viewing this series as a coinflip. The Clippers were scorching hot to end the regular season while the Nuggets made the bold move to fire head coach Mike Malone just before the start of the postseason. However, Denver has something that no other team has: Nikola Jokic. The Nuggets can galvanize around the adversity and lean on the three-time MVP to carry them to the second round.
Our prediction: Nuggets advance!
Beginner’s Guide to How the NBA Works
The NBA is relatively straightforward when it comes to betting and its markets are easy to understand when choosing a game. As in other sports, you can select the winner of a game and, if you are feeling especially bold, predict that the game will go to overtime (ie. betting on a tie). It’s important to keep in mind that there will always be a winner in the NBA, games cannot end in draws.
Similarly, it is possible to make predictions on how many points will be scored during a game, either individual team totals or the combined score between the two sides. In the NBA, it is quite common to see final scores end with 200 or more combined points as the league leans more and more into the three-point shot. This is certainly a viable opportunity to be aware of when making your picks. Care should be taken with the terms used for each event on the betting sites.
Likewise, the NBA also has the handicap, which is commonly referred to as the point spread. This serves to give an advantage or disadvantage to the teams in play based on the bookmakers’ perceived ranking of the competitors. For example, the Golden State Warriors may have odds on the moneyline of 1.50 to get the win against the Orlando Magic. However, as the favorites, they’ll be laying -4.5 points on the spread. In these cases, it is necessary to study the current situation of the two teams.
Bookmakers also offer betting markets for the number of points scored in each quarter or which team could lead after a given time (1Q, 2Q, halftime, etc.). It is also possible to bet on individual player props such as the top scorers of the duel, over/under on assist, rebounds, blocks, steals and more. These can be especially effective if bet on live.
How do the NBA Playoffs work in 2024/25?
The NBA regular season is 82 games which involves all 30 teams (15 in the Eastern Conference and 15 in the Western Conference) battling for the 16 available playoff spots, awarded to the the top eight teams in each conference. Teams then compete in a best-of-seven playoff series with four total rounds to determine the eventual champion.
Here's how seeding works at the end of the regular season:
- Teams that finish between first and sixth-place automatically qualify for the NBA Playoffs.
- Teams seeded seventh through 10th qualify for the play-in tournament
- Team's who finished 10th and worse are eliminated
Regarding the actual NBA Playoffs, here's the structure for each round:
- First round: First seed plays eighth seed, second seed plays seventh seed, etc.
- Winners of the first round advance to the Conference semifinals
- Conference Finals (four teams remaining in total)
- NBA Finals
All series are best-of-seven, meaning the first team to win four games wins the series. The NBA Playoffs are often eagerly awaited by fans as the intensity levels ramp up and each game is filled with drama. Want to get in on the action? Be sure to follow one of the links on this page to access a number of the world's best online sports betting sites!
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How to Make Good Predictions on NBA Games?
The NBA regular season in a marathon. With so many games, it’s important to follow some betting guidelines which should help to increase your chances of a successful bet. Our experts at SportyTrader have gathered five key pieces of advice to keep in mind when making your NBA predictions:
- Situational spots and team news
- Take into account the form a team’s star
- Analyze detailed statistics
- Take stock of a team’s mental state
- Compare odds across bookmakers
Below we’ll take a look at each in more detail:
1. Situational spots and team news
The NBA season sees teams play 82 regular season games followed by three rounds of best-of-seven playoff series before the NBA Finals. It’s a jam-packed schedule that spans the course of six months. With so many games to be played in a relatively short amount of time, it’s common that situations arise with teams playing on short rest. This rings even more true this season, as the NBA recently announced that each team will average 14.9 back-to-backs in the 2024/25 campaign, up from last year's 14 and 2022/23's 13.3. This means that teams will somewhat regularly play on consecutive nights, which often can have a significant impact on player and team performance.
You’ll want to be aware of these kinds of spots when analyzing an NBA game. Is a team playing the second leg of a back-to-back while their opponent comes into the game on three day’s rest? That’s the kind of situational factor that you have to account for. In a similar vein, you’ll want to keep up to date with the latest team news to stay on top of any potential injury announcements. Following a team's social media accounts is a great way to do this, as is regularly checking injury reports. The Bucks are going to look much different on the court if they are without the services of Giannis, for example. Keep in mind that all of the above will be reflected in the betting odds.
2. Take into account the form of a team’s star
It is worth considering the individual level of the stars of each team competing in the NBA, since a good performance could be enough to clinch a win. This is a league undoubtedly controlled by the star players. With only five players on the court at a time for each team, a truly elite player is naturally going to have more opportunity to shine.
For example, the relevance of Jayson Tatum on the Boston Celtics or Jimmy Butler on the Miami Heat always plays a huge part in the outcome of a game, either positively or negatively based on their performance. Long absences due to injuries are sometimes a problem. However, secondary stars, who help to bring out the best qualities of their teammates should also be taken into account: Kevin Durant and Devin Booker on the Phoenix Suns or Jamal Murray and Nikola Jokić on the Nuggets are clear evidence.
3. Analyze detailed statistics
It is also key that a bettor study the previous statistics of an NBA team before making a prediction involving them. There are plenty of advanced statistics to dig into, which can help provide a more clear picture of just how a team is performing.
Of course, many will look at base-level stats such as points scored and points allowed. However, taking a look under the hood reveals useful information such as team pace (how many possessions a team has per 48 minutes), true shooting percentage, player-efficiency rating (PER), offensive and defensive rating among many others. The good news is that this information is widely available to be consumed! These can provide more sound predictions to be made as you will better understand how each team approaches the game.
For example, say you are looking to bet on a game’s points total. The team’s involved are the LA Lakers and the Golden State Warriors. You consult the pace statistic and note that these are two of the top three teams in the league in that regard. Logically, that means both teams play at a high tempo and get plenty of shot attempts up. A perfect recipe for betting on the over!
4. Take stock of a team’s mental state
Another value that holds a lot of weight during the NBA season is the mental state of the players. Bad streaks are difficult to bear for any team and if things are not solved, the pressure starts to generate mistakes among the players.
The crisis can then begin to manifest itself on the court in the form of cold shooting streaks and disjointed team chemistry to name a few. Likewise, situations that arise off the court in a player's personal life, or lack of personal care, also lead to a decrease in overall performance. For example, Ja Morant (Memphis Grizzlies) was out of action for a long time due to showing a firearm on his social media channels at a party. A team missing its star player and the face of the franchise is naturally going to have a significant effect on a team.
5. Compare odds across bookmakers
Last but certainly not least, you will want to make it a priority to compare the odds at different bookmakers. We can’t stress enough just how important this is; this one factor can often make the difference between some sports bettors ending up profitable or in the red! You should make it a habit to constantly look for the best available odds for the bet you are looking to make. Consistently locking in the best possible price will provide an instant improvement to your ROI!
The best method to achieve this in the most efficient way is to sign-up with as many betting sites as you can. Having accounts across a multitude of different sportsbooks ensures you will have the access to the largest pool of available betting lines and thus ultimately find the best odds. That’s not the only benefit as you will also be able to take advantage of bookmaker’s welcome bonuses, many of which can see you receive a 100% matched first time deposit bonus! To see the best welcome bonuses on the internet, visit our best betting sites page.
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What Not to Do For Your NBA Predictions
To give yourself the best chance at improving your bottom line when it comes to betting on the National Basketball Association, there are a few pitfalls you will want to avoid. Here are some examples of what you should be cautious of:
- Not assessing the situational spot of the teams
- Disregarding the mental state and performance of a team’s star player.
- Not accounting for a team’s home vs away performances.
- Chasing your losses (ex. Betting triple your normal amount to ‘make up for’ two previous losses).
- Not practicing proper bankroll management (you should have a fixed bet amount within your overall betting funds).
- Not comparing bookmakers to find the best possible odds on the market for your bet.
- Betting strictly on a team’s name and reputation and not accounting for recent performance and form.
- Only looking at final scores of previous games and not digging deeper into the underlying statistics.
- Disregarding the betting odds and not understanding the implied probability behind them.
- Blindly betting on your favorite team.
More than a few beginner and experienced bettors have fallen victim to one or multiple of the above habits. If you can eliminate them from your betting process and approach each game with clear, rational analysis, you’ll greatly increase your chances of turning a profit!
NBA Prediction: Statistics You Need to Know
Statistics are a reflection of what happens on the court and in the NBA they carry significant weight when it comes to making predictions. Here is the record for the entire previous 2023-24 season:
2023-24 regular season:
- Overall scoring average: 114.2
- Three-point shooting efficiency per team: 36.6%
- Free throw efficiency per team: 78.4%
- Average rebounds per game: 43.5
- Average assists per game: 26.7
- Average blocks per game: 5.1
- Average number of fouls per game: 18.7
- Team with the highest scoring average: Indiana Pacers (123.3)
- Team with the highest three-point shooting efficiency: OKC Thunder (38.9%)
- Team with the highest free throw efficiency: Utah Jazz (83%)
- Team with the most rebounds per game: Golden State Warriors (46.7)
- Team with the most assists per game: Indiana Pacers (30.8)
- Team with the most blocks per game: Boston Celtics / OKC Thunder (6.6)
- Team with the most fouls per game: Indiana Pacers (21.4)
2023-24 Postseason
- Overall scoring average: 105.6
- Three-point shooting efficiency per team: 35.1%
- Free throw efficiency per team: 77.9%
- Average rebounds per game: 41.8
- Average number of assists per game: 23.2
- Average blocks per game: 4.8
- Average number of fouls per game: 19.1
- Team with the highest scoring average: Indiana Pacers (113.9)
- Team with the highest three-point shooting efficiency: Philadelphia 76ers (37.8%)
- Team with the the highest free throw efficiency: New Orleans Pelicans (85.9%)
- Team with the most rebounds per game: New Orleans Pelicans (45.5)
- Team with the most assists per game: Indiana Pacers (29.9)
- Team with the most blocks per game: Philadelphia 76ers (6.3)
- Team with the most fouls per game: Phoenix Suns (23.3)
In Short: How to Make the Right NBA Predictions?
When making your NBA predictions, be sure to follow the tips and strategies laid out in this article. Remember to always account for a team’s schedule, the star players involved and their overall form, as well as the injury report from both teams. Analyze the matchup between the two teams and look to the underlying statistics to guide you. Of course, you should also do your best to follow the news for each team that you are interested in betting on.
If you find yourself short on time and don’t think you’ll be able to fully commit to analyzing an NBA game, or you simply would like to hear the advice of our tipsters, head over to our predictions page where you can find the latest betting tips by our experts!
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NBA: Best Odds
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NBA : Frequently Asked Questions
There are a few different ways to watch the NBA season and playoffs. Those located in the UK can tune into TNT Sports (formerly BT Sports), which will be showing various games throughout the regular season and postseason. Alternatively, you can stream games live through Discovery+ (which allows you to stream TNT Sports).
Those tuning in from African countries such as Nigeria, Kenya or South Africa might have luck checking the major sports channels in the region (DStv, StarTimes Sports, SuperSport, etc.) as many of these channels will show matches throughout the regular season.
Additionally, the official NBA website offers their NBA League Pass service which allows you to watch either every game of an individual team, up to every single game of the entire NBA season depending on your subscription. You can also follow along with at our NBA Livescores page which includes live updates and match statistics!
Officially, an NBA match lasts 48 minutes (four 12-minute quarters). However, if you're planning to watch a game, you can easily expect to spend between 2 to 2.5 hours watching the whole thing. Between the numerous time-outs, half-time and commercials, NBA games actually take much longer than the official 48 minutes.
