AZ Alkmaar vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction & Betting Tips - Eredivisie

Netherlands - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
09/11/2025 10:45
PSV Eindhoven

Prediction :

 

Over 1.5 First-Half Goals

 
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Eredivisie Predictions

With the kind of form and incentives AZ Alkmaar and PSV Eindhoven are bringing into this Round 12 Eredivisie match, we can only expect an explosive first half. PSV sits in 2nd place, level on points with Feyenoord at 1st, while Alkmaar is third and only four points behind the two teams. Check out our best AZ Alkmaar vs PSV Eindhoven match prediction below.

With these two teams locked in an early title race, both should be going for all three points from the get-go. There will be goals, but the value bet here is backing over 1.5 goals in the first half. PSV, which has scored the most goals in the league this season, has seen this bet win in one too many matches to ignore.

In their last 11 competitive matches this season, there have been over 1.5 goals in the first half of seven games. And PSV's four away league games this season, this bet has won in three matches.

The numbers are very similar for AZ Alkmaar, who have seen four of their last six competitive games feature over 1.5 goals in the first half. Likewise, this bet has also won in seven of Alkmaar's last 11 competitive games. Then, in their H2H, this bet cashed in three of their last four meetings.

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The Best Betting Odds for AZ Alkmaar v PSV Eindhoven Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
3.25 4.2 1.95
Betfred
2.88 3.75 2.05
William Hill
3 3.8 2
Unibet
3.5 4 1.87
Betway
3.3 4.2 1.85
Check all AZ Alkmaar vs PSV Eindhoven odds

What is the prediction for the football match between AZ Alkmaar and PSV Eindhoven?

Our prediction for the AZ Alkmaar vs PSV Eindhoven match is: Over 1.5 First-Half Goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/11/2025 between AZ Alkmaar and PSV Eindhoven in Eredivisie :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.71% for a win of AZ Alkmaar against PSV Eindhoven with odds of 3.5 at Unibet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between AZ Alkmaar vs PSV Eindhoven is 26.78% with odds of 4.38 at LSbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 43.51% chance ⭐ for a win of PSV Eindhoven vs AZ Alkmaar with odds of 2.27 at 22bet.

AZ Alkmaar - PSV Eindhoven Prediction and Best Odds:

AZ Alkmaar PSV Eindhoven Prediction Probability Odds
PSV Eindhoven wins 43.51% 2.27 at 22bet
Over 2.5 goals 74.9% 1.51 at Stake
Both Team To Score 80.83%
Half-time : AZ Alkmaar / Full-time : PSV Eindhoven 17.13% 18 at Betfair

AZ Alkmaar vs PSV Eindhoven Form

AZ Alkmaar and PSV Eindhoven's standings in the Eredivisie

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
46 17 15 1 1 31
6
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
25 16 7 4 5 3

AZ Alkmaar and PSV Eindhoven Last Matches

AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar Last matches
W W W W W L
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

6 Nov 2025 - Conference League

Crystal Palace
3 :  1
AZ Alkmaar

2 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie

Sparta Rotterdam
0 :  1
AZ Alkmaar

26 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
4 :  1
Utrecht

23 Oct 2025 - Conference League

AZ Alkmaar
1 :  0
SK Slovan Bratislava

18 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie

Ajax
0 :  2
AZ Alkmaar

5 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
2 :  1
Telstar
W D D W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

26 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
4 :  1
Utrecht

23 Oct 2025 - Conference League

AZ Alkmaar
1 :  0
SK Slovan Bratislava

5 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
2 :  1
Telstar

24 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
2 :  2
Zwolle

21 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
3 :  3
Feyenoord

28 Aug 2025 - Conference League

AZ Alkmaar
4 :  1
Levski Sofia
W L L W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

6 Nov 2025 - Conference League

Crystal Palace
3 :  1
AZ Alkmaar

2 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie

Sparta Rotterdam
0 :  1
AZ Alkmaar

18 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie

Ajax
0 :  2
AZ Alkmaar

2 Oct 2025 - Conference League

AEK Larnaca
4 :  0
AZ Alkmaar

28 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen
2 :  1
AZ Alkmaar

14 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie

Heracles
1 :  2
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven Last matches
W W W W W D
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
3.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

4 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Olympiacos
1 :  1
PSV Eindhoven

31 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven
5 :  2
Fortuna Sittard

26 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie

Feyenoord
2 :  3
PSV Eindhoven

21 Oct 2025 - Champions League

PSV Eindhoven
6 :  2
Napoli

18 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven
2 :  1
Go Ahead Eagles

4 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie

Zwolle
0 :  4
PSV Eindhoven
L L D W W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

31 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven
5 :  2
Fortuna Sittard

21 Oct 2025 - Champions League

PSV Eindhoven
6 :  2
Napoli

18 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven
2 :  1
Go Ahead Eagles

21 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven
2 :  2
Ajax

16 Sept 2025 - Champions League

PSV Eindhoven
1 :  3
Union Saint-Gilloise

30 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven
0 :  2
Telstar
W W D W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

4 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Olympiacos
1 :  1
PSV Eindhoven

26 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie

Feyenoord
2 :  3
PSV Eindhoven

4 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie

Zwolle
0 :  4
PSV Eindhoven

1 Oct 2025 - Champions League

Bayer Leverkusen
1 :  1
PSV Eindhoven

27 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie

Excelsior
1 :  2
PSV Eindhoven

13 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen
3 :  5
PSV Eindhoven

AZ Alkmaar vs PSV Eindhoven Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

AZ Alkmaar

17 %

Draw

17 %

PSV Eindhoven

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.5
Total goals
67%
BTTS
1
Goals scored (home team)
2.5
Goals scored (away team)
83%
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5

11 Jan 2025 - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven
2 :  2
AZ Alkmaar

19 Oct 2024 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
1 :  2
PSV Eindhoven

6 Apr 2024 - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven
5 :  1
AZ Alkmaar

17 Dec 2023 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
0 :  4
PSV Eindhoven

28 May 2023 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
1 :  2
PSV Eindhoven

12 Nov 2022 - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven
0 :  1
AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar against PSV Eindhoven Lineups: Starting 11

AZ Alkmaar

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
R. Owusu Oduro
22
E. Dijkstra
3
W. Goes
5
A. Penetra
34
M. De Wit
24
K. Boogaard
26
K. Smit
7
W. Patati
10
S. Mijnans
17
I. Jensen
9
T. Parrott
20
G. Til
5
I. Perisic
34
I. Saibari
27
D. Man
23
J. Veerman
17
Mauro Junior
2
A. Salah-Eddine
3
Y. Gasiorowski
22
J. Schouten
8
S. Dest
32
M. Kovar

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

PSV Eindhoven

Missing players

AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
Defender

S. Maikuma

Midfielder

J. Clasie

Forward

M. Meerdink

PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
Defender

W. Kuhn

Forward

A. Plea

R. van Bommel

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato AZ Alkmaar
CD Huachipato PSV Eindhoven
Top Goalscorer
Rep. of Ireland T. Parrott (9 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands G. Til (13 Goals)
Best assists
Netherlands S. Mijnans (5 Assists)
Best assists
Netherlands J. Veerman (8 Assists)
Croatia I. Perisic (8 Assists)

AZ Alkmaar - PSV Eindhoven Key Points

  1. Seven of PSV’s last 11 competitive games featured over 1.5 goals in the first half.
  2. Likewise, this bet has also won in seven of Alkmaar’s last 11 competitive games.
  3. Three of the last four meetings between Alkmaar and PSV also saw more than one goal in the first half.
  4. This bet has won in three of PSV's away league games this season.
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Our AZ Alkmaar vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction

With all three points, PSV could go top of the league by the end of the matchday, so don't expect them to sit back against an Alkmaar side who need this game to stay in the title race. That's why we're backing this game to feature multiple goals in the first half.

For both Alkmaar and PSV, seven of their last 11 competitive games have featured over 1.5 first-half goals. And not to mention that this bet has won in three of their last four meetings. Hence, our AZ Alkmaar vs PSV Eindhoven prediction is Over 1.5 First-Half Goals.

Prediction :

 

Over 1.5 First-Half Goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis AZ Alkmaar PSV Eindhoven

AZ Alkmaar vs PSV Eindhoven Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
AZ Alkmaar wins 2.75 3.25 +18.2%
Draw 3.9 4.2 +7.7%
PSV Eindhoven wins 2.2 1.95 -11.4%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • PSV Eindhoven is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 11.4% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 45.5% and is now 51.3% (5.8%)

Use £/€50 free bets for the AZ Alkmaar vs. PSV Eindhoven game!

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Try your luck on this year's Eredivisie! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger. 

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

AZ Alkmaar vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction