AZ Alkmaar vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction & Betting Tips - Eredivisie
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Eredivisie Predictions
With the kind of form and incentives AZ Alkmaar and PSV Eindhoven are bringing into this Round 12 Eredivisie match, we can only expect an explosive first half. PSV sits in 2nd place, level on points with Feyenoord at 1st, while Alkmaar is third and only four points behind the two teams. Check out our best AZ Alkmaar vs PSV Eindhoven match prediction below.
With these two teams locked in an early title race, both should be going for all three points from the get-go. There will be goals, but the value bet here is backing over 1.5 goals in the first half. PSV, which has scored the most goals in the league this season, has seen this bet win in one too many matches to ignore.
In their last 11 competitive matches this season, there have been over 1.5 goals in the first half of seven games. And PSV's four away league games this season, this bet has won in three matches.
The numbers are very similar for AZ Alkmaar, who have seen four of their last six competitive games feature over 1.5 goals in the first half. Likewise, this bet has also won in seven of Alkmaar's last 11 competitive games. Then, in their H2H, this bet cashed in three of their last four meetings.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
AZ Alkmaar v PSV Eindhoven Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.95 | 3.95 | 2.13 |
|
|
2.84 | 4.02 | 2.27 |
|
|
3.08 | 4.1 | 2.06 |
|
|
3.44 | 4.38 | 1.87 |
|
|
3.25 | 4.2 | 1.95 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between AZ Alkmaar and PSV Eindhoven?
Our prediction for the AZ Alkmaar vs PSV Eindhoven match is: Over 1.5 First-Half Goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/11/2025 between AZ Alkmaar and PSV Eindhoven in Eredivisie :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.71% for a win of AZ Alkmaar against PSV Eindhoven with odds of 3.45 at BC Game.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between AZ Alkmaar vs PSV Eindhoven is 26.78% with odds of 4.38 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 43.51% chance ⭐ for a win of PSV Eindhoven vs AZ Alkmaar with odds of 2.27 at 1xbet.
AZ Alkmaar - PSV Eindhoven Prediction and Best Odds:
| AZ Alkmaar PSV Eindhoven Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven wins | 43.51% | 2.27 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 74.9% | 1.51 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 80.83% | |
| Half-time : AZ Alkmaar / Full-time : PSV Eindhoven | 17.13% | 17 at Bet365 |
AZ Alkmaar vs PSV Eindhoven Form
AZ Alkmaar and PSV Eindhoven's standings in the Eredivisie
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
84 | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | +56 |
|
7
|
52 | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | +7 |
AZ Alkmaar and PSV Eindhoven Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Nov 2025 - Conference League
2 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
26 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
23 Oct 2025 - Conference League
18 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
5 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
23 Oct 2025 - Conference League
5 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
24 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie
21 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie
28 Aug 2025 - Conference League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Nov 2025 - Conference League
2 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
18 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
2 Oct 2025 - Conference League
28 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie
14 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Nov 2025 - Champions League
31 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
26 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
18 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
4 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
18 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
21 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie
16 Sept 2025 - Champions League
30 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Nov 2025 - Champions League
26 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
4 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
27 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie
13 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie
AZ Alkmaar vs PSV Eindhoven Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
11 Jan 2025 - Eredivisie
19 Oct 2024 - Eredivisie
6 Apr 2024 - Eredivisie
17 Dec 2023 - Eredivisie
28 May 2023 - Eredivisie
12 Nov 2022 - Eredivisie
AZ Alkmaar against PSV Eindhoven Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
D. Deen
H. Verhulst
J. Zoet
M. Dekker
A. Natali
B. van Duijl
M. Chavez
MidfielderM. Sin
N. Twisk
ForwardW. Bouziane
L. Zeefuik
I. Sadiq
T. Smolenaars
N. Olij
DefenderK. Sildillia
A. Nagalo
R. Flamingo
A. Obispo
P. Wanner
ForwardR. Pepi
C. Driouech
E. Bajraktarevic
M. Boadu
Missing players
S. Maikuma
MidfielderJ. Clasie
ForwardM. Meerdink
W. Kuhn
ForwardA. Plea
R. van Bommel
Most goals and assists
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
T. Parrott
(16 Goals)
R. Pepi
(16 Goals)
S. Mijnans
(6 Assists)
,
M. De Wit
(6 Assists)
J. Veerman
(14 Assists)
AZ Alkmaar - PSV Eindhoven Key Points
- Seven of PSV’s last 11 competitive games featured over 1.5 goals in the first half.
- Likewise, this bet has also won in seven of Alkmaar’s last 11 competitive games.
- Three of the last four meetings between Alkmaar and PSV also saw more than one goal in the first half.
- This bet has won in three of PSV's away league games this season.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our AZ Alkmaar vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction
With all three points, PSV could go top of the league by the end of the matchday, so don't expect them to sit back against an Alkmaar side who need this game to stay in the title race. That's why we're backing this game to feature multiple goals in the first half.
For both Alkmaar and PSV, seven of their last 11 competitive games have featured over 1.5 first-half goals. And not to mention that this bet has won in three of their last four meetings. Hence, our AZ Alkmaar vs PSV Eindhoven prediction is Over 1.5 First-Half Goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis AZ Alkmaar PSV Eindhoven
| AZ Alkmaar vs PSV Eindhoven | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| AZ Alkmaar wins | 2.7 | 3.45 | +27.8% |
| Draw | 3.9 | 4.38 | +12.3% |
| PSV Eindhoven wins | 2.22 | 2.27 | +2.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- PSV Eindhoven is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 45.0% and is now 44.1% (-1.0%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the AZ Alkmaar vs. PSV Eindhoven game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between AZ Alkmaar and PSV Eindhoven? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Eredivisie! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
