Auxerre vs Marseille Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Marseille will be trying to go back to the Ligue 1 summit when they travel to Auxerre in matchday 11 action. These two sides sit at the extremes of the league standings, Marseille third and Auxerre second from bottom. Let’s have a look at our prediction for the match.
The hosts have the poorest attack coming into this game, with just seven goals scored. They sit two points adrift of safety, having managed only two wins all season.
None of those wins came in the last five matches, their latest outing having ended in a 3-0 loss to Strasbourg. While they have collected six of their seven points at home, a special effort will be needed to unlock Marseille.
The visiting side is the most prolific in attack so far, and that should worry the home supporters. Marseille have netted 24 goals this season, though there are questions about their defending.
Against Angers in their last outing, they dropped points from a winning position. Les Phoceens played to a 2-2 draw after conceding the equalizer in stoppage time.
That marked a second straight winless outing for Marseille after earlier losing 2-1 to Lens. With 11 goals conceded, Marseille are now averaging more than a goal per game.
Across all competitions the visitors have no clean sheets in four and lost two of the last three.
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Auxerre v Marseille Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.9 | 4.1 | 1.69 |
|
|
5.1 | 4.18 | 1.72 |
|
|
5.05 | 3.84 | 1.68 |
|
|
5.15 | 3.84 | 1.66 |
|
|
5.25 | 3.8 | 1.67 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Auxerre and Marseille?
Our prediction for the Auxerre vs Marseille match is: over 2.5 goals & BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/11/2025 between Auxerre and Marseille in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.78% for a win of Auxerre against Marseille with odds of 5.4 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Auxerre vs Marseille is 8.08% with odds of 4.18 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 54.14% chance ⭐ for a win of Marseille vs Auxerre with odds of 1.73 at 888Starz.
Auxerre - Marseille Prediction and Best Odds:
| Auxerre Marseille Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Marseille wins | 54.14% | 1.73 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.92% | 1.91 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score: No | 51.25% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Marseille | 29.67% | 4.5 at Bet365 |
Auxerre vs Marseille Form
Auxerre and Marseille's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
59 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | +18 |
|
15
|
34 | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | -10 |
Auxerre and Marseille Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
27 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
13 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
27 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
18 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Sept 2025 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
18 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Sept 2025 - Champions League
22 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
12 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Sept 2025 - Champions League
31 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Marseille Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
40 %
0 %
60 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
22 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
8 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
30 Apr 2023 - Ligue 1
3 Sept 2022 - Ligue 1
10 Feb 2021 - French Cup
Auxerre against Marseille Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Substitutes
T. De Percin
DefenderF. Oppegard
F. Sierralta
MidfielderL. Sy
R. Matondo
T. Devernois
A. Diousse
ForwardS. Mara
I. Osman
J. De Lange
DefenderP. N'Zinga Pambani
P. Lirola
N. Aguerd
MidfielderA. Vermeeren
D. Bakola
T. Mmadi
ForwardI. Paixao
M. Greenwood
Missing players
T. Siwe
MidfielderO. El Azzouzi
F. Medina
L. Balerdi
MidfielderG. Kondogbia
H. Traore
B. Nadir
ForwardT. Weah
A. Gouiri
F. Moumbagna
Most goals and assists
Auxerre
Marseille
L. Sinayoko
(12 Goals)
M. Greenwood
(16 Goals)
L. Sinayoko
(4 Assists)
M. Greenwood
(8 Assists)
Auxerre - Marseille Key Points
- Auxerre’s last five matches had 13 goals scored.
- Both teams scored in Marseille’s last four matches.
- Auxerre scored in four of their last five home matches.
- Each of Marseille’s last five matches had over 2.5 goals.
- Three or more goals were scored in these teams’ last three meetings.
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Our Auxerre vs Marseille Prediction
This match has goals in it; the most lethal attacking team in the league meets one of the strugglers. Marseille have scored 4+ in three of their league matches so far and have especially dominated those sides in the lower positions.
However, their defending hasn’t been top-notch, and Auxerre will be looking at this aspect with special interest. The hosts have scored in four of their last five home matches. Our prediction for Auxerre v Marseille is for over 2.5 goals & BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Auxerre Marseille
| Auxerre vs Marseille | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Auxerre wins | 4.4 | 5.4 | +22.7% |
| Draw | 3.95 | 4.18 | +5.8% |
| Marseille wins | 1.7 | 1.73 | +1.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Marseille is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 58.8% and is now 57.8% (-1.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
