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Atletico MG vs Flamengo Prediction & Betting Tips - Brasileirão Serie A

Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
25/11/2025 19:30
Flamengo

Prediction :

 

Flamengo wins

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Football Predictions

Flamengo are closing in on another Brazilian Serie A title, and on matchday 36, they will travel to Atletico MG. Hosts Atletico head into this game placed 11th, and they’ll be eyeing a return to winning ways. Read on for our prediction of this match.

Atletico haven't had it smooth in the past few weeks. They are coming from a defeat through post-match penalties in the Copa Sudamericana final against Lanus.

With a game in hand, this is Atletico’s chance to take a leap in their push for a Copa Libertadores slot. The hosts are, however, winless in three straight games and lost their last four at home against Flamengo.

With just one loss in their last seven matches against Atletico, visiting Flamengo will enter this game confident of prevailing. The league leaders are faced with tough matches as the season concludes.

This will be a warmup for their Copa Libertadores final match against Palmeiras. Flamengo can’t afford to lose either, as they need six points from the remaining three games to clinch the league title.

A win here will, therefore, be very crucial. They stumbled against Fluminense but rectified it in their latest outing, beating Bragantino 3-0. All along, Palmeiras in second failed to take advantage, dropping points in four straight matches.

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The Best Betting Odds for Atletico MG v Flamengo Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
4.33 3.3 1.81
Betfred
4.2 3.3 1.83
William Hill
3.9 3.3 1.85
Betway
4.2 3.4 1.85
Unibet
4.1 3.4 1.89
Check all Atletico MG vs Flamengo odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Atletico MG and Flamengo?

Our prediction for the Atletico MG vs Flamengo match is: Flamengo wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/11/2025 between Atletico MG and Flamengo in Brasileirão Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.19% for a win of Atletico MG against Flamengo with odds of 4.33 at Bet365.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atletico MG vs Flamengo is 29.19% with odds of 3.5 at Bwin.
  • Our prediction model gives a 32.62% chance ⭐ for a win of Flamengo vs Atletico MG with odds of 1.92 at Melbet.

Atletico MG vs Flamengo Form

Atletico MG and Flamengo's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Flamengo
Flamengo
74 35 22 8 5 50
11
Atletico MG
Atletico MG
44 34 11 11 12 -2

Atletico MG and Flamengo Last Matches

Atletico MG
Atletico MG Last matches
D W W D L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

22 Nov 2025 - Copa Sudamericana

CA Lanus
0 :  0
Atletico MG

16 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bragantino
2 :  0
Atletico MG

12 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
3 :  3
Fortaleza

8 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Sport Recife
2 :  4
Atletico MG

5 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
3 :  0
Bahia

2 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Internacional
0 :  0
Atletico MG
W D W W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

12 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
3 :  3
Fortaleza

5 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
3 :  0
Bahia

28 Oct 2025 - Copa Sudamericana

Atletico MG
3 :  1
CSD Independiente Del Valle

25 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
1 :  0
Ceara

15 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
1 :  1
Cruzeiro

8 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
3 :  1
Sport Recife
L D D W L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

22 Nov 2025 - Copa Sudamericana

CA Lanus
0 :  0
Atletico MG

16 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bragantino
2 :  0
Atletico MG

8 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Sport Recife
2 :  4
Atletico MG

2 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Internacional
0 :  0
Atletico MG

21 Oct 2025 - Copa Sudamericana

CSD Independiente Del Valle
1 :  1
Atletico MG

18 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Corinthians
1 :  0
Atletico MG
Flamengo
Flamengo Last matches
W D W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

22 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
3 :  0
Bragantino

19 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
2 :  1
Flamengo

15 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Sport Recife
1 :  5
Flamengo

9 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
3 :  2
Santos

5 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  2
Flamengo

1 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
3 :  0
Sport Recife
D W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

22 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
3 :  0
Bragantino

9 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
3 :  2
Santos

1 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
3 :  0
Sport Recife

22 Oct 2025 - Copa Libertadores

Flamengo
1 :  0
Racing Club Avellaneda

19 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
3 :  2
Palmeiras

2 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
0 :  0
Cruzeiro
W L D D W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

19 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
2 :  1
Flamengo

15 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Sport Recife
1 :  5
Flamengo

5 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  2
Flamengo

29 Oct 2025 - Copa Libertadores

Racing Club Avellaneda
0 :  0
Flamengo

25 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fortaleza
1 :  0
Flamengo

15 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Botafogo
0 :  3
Flamengo

Atletico MG vs Flamengo Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Atletico MG

17 %

Draw

17 %

Flamengo

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.33
Total goals
17%
BTTS
0.33
Goals scored (home team)
1
Goals scored (away team)
17%
Over 2.5
83%
Under 2.5

6 Aug 2025 - Copa do Brasil

Atletico MG
0 :  1
Flamengo

31 Jul 2025 - Copa do Brasil

Flamengo
0 :  1
Atletico MG

27 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
1 :  0
Atletico MG

13 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
0 :  0
Atletico MG

10 Nov 2024 - Copa do Brasil

Atletico MG
0 :  1
Flamengo

3 Nov 2024 - Copa do Brasil

Flamengo
3 :  1
Atletico MG
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Atletico MG vs Flamengo last Lineups

Atletico MG

Formation : 3 - 3 - 1 - 3

22
Everson
16
Ruan
14
V. Hugo
6
J. Alonso
17
I. Gomes
21
A. Franco
13
G. Arana
11
Bernard
92
Dudu
7
Hulk
33
Rony
50
G. Plata
11
Everton
10
G. De Arrascaeta
15
J. Carrascal
21
Jorginho
52
Evertton
26
A. Sandro
4
L. Pereira
13
Danilo
2
G. Varela
1
A. Rossi

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Flamengo

Missing players

Atletico MG
Atletico MG
Defender

Lyanco

Midfielder

J. dos Santos Dutra

Forward

T. Cuello

Flamengo
Flamengo
Forward

Pedro

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Atletico MG
CD Huachipato Flamengo
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Hulk (11 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Uruguay G. De Arrascaeta (21 Goals)
Best assists
Brazil Hulk (7 Assists)
Best assists
Uruguay G. De Arrascaeta (15 Assists)

Atletico MG and Flamengo Stats in Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
Atletico MG
Flamengo
Flamengo
32%
Wins
63%
32%
Draw
23%
35%
Losses
14%
2.24
Total goals per match
2.74
1.09
Goals scored per match
2.09
1.15
Goals conceded per match
0.66
38%
Over 2.5
51%
62%
Under 2.5
49%
41%
BTTS
43%
35%
Clean Sheet
49%

Atletico MG - Flamengo Key Points

  1. Atletico MG are winless in their last three outings.
  2. Flamengo have three wins in their last four matches.
  3. Atletico have won 11 games less than Flamengo in Serie A.
  4. Flamengo have lost seven fewer matches than Atletico in Serie A.
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Our Atletico MG vs Flamengo Prediction

Flamengo will have the opportunity to better their away record in the Brazilian Serie A when they face off with Atletico. The visitors have the better form coming here and haven't suffered defeat away to Atletico in the last four visits.

This is a key game for the league leaders, and they will want to wrap it up without surprises. Atletico haven't had much time to reflect on their Copa Sudamericana final defeat, yet they have to face a top opponent. Mentally, the hosts will be at a disadvantage. Our prediction for Atletico MG v Flamengo is that Flamengo wins.

Prediction :

 

Flamengo wins

 
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Atletico MG vs Flamengo Prediction

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