Atletico MG vs Flamengo Prediction & Betting Tips - Brasileirão Serie A
Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Football Predictions
Flamengo are closing in on another Brazilian Serie A title, and on matchday 36, they will travel to Atletico MG. Hosts Atletico head into this game placed 11th, and they’ll be eyeing a return to winning ways. Read on for our prediction of this match.
Atletico haven't had it smooth in the past few weeks. They are coming from a defeat through post-match penalties in the Copa Sudamericana final against Lanus.
With a game in hand, this is Atletico’s chance to take a leap in their push for a Copa Libertadores slot. The hosts are, however, winless in three straight games and lost their last four at home against Flamengo.
With just one loss in their last seven matches against Atletico, visiting Flamengo will enter this game confident of prevailing. The league leaders are faced with tough matches as the season concludes.
This will be a warmup for their Copa Libertadores final match against Palmeiras. Flamengo can’t afford to lose either, as they need six points from the remaining three games to clinch the league title.
A win here will, therefore, be very crucial. They stumbled against Fluminense but rectified it in their latest outing, beating Bragantino 3-0. All along, Palmeiras in second failed to take advantage, dropping points in four straight matches.
Limited Offer. Currently at Betway
The Best Betting Odds for Atletico MG v Flamengo Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.9 | 3.2 | 2.01 |
|
|
3.95 | 3.25 | 2.05 |
|
|
4.2 | 3.19 | 1.99 |
|
|
3.9 | 3.1 | 2.02 |
|
|
4.1 | 3.3 | 2.03 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Atletico MG and Flamengo?
Our prediction for the Atletico MG vs Flamengo match is: Flamengo wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/11/2025 between Atletico MG and Flamengo in Brasileirão Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.4% for a win of Atletico MG against Flamengo with odds of 4.2 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atletico MG vs Flamengo is 29.36% with odds of 3.3 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.24% chance ⭐ for a win of Flamengo vs Atletico MG with odds of 2.05 at Stake.
Atletico MG - Flamengo Prediction and Best Odds:
| Atletico MG Flamengo Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico MG wins | 38.4% | 4.2 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.69% | 2.4 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 52.08% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Atletico MG | 18.57% | 8 at Bet365 |
Atletico MG vs Flamengo Form
Atletico MG and Flamengo's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
79 | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | +51 |
|
11
|
48 | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | -1 |
Atletico MG and Flamengo Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Nov 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
16 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
12 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
8 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
5 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
2 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
5 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
28 Oct 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
25 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
15 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
8 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Nov 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
16 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
8 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
2 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 Oct 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
18 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
15 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
9 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
5 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
1 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
9 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
1 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
22 Oct 2025 - Copa Libertadores
19 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
2 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
15 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
5 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
29 Oct 2025 - Copa Libertadores
25 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
15 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
Atletico MG vs Flamengo Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
6 Aug 2025 - Copa do Brasil
31 Jul 2025 - Copa do Brasil
27 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
10 Nov 2024 - Copa do Brasil
3 Nov 2024 - Copa do Brasil
Atletico MG against Flamengo Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
G. Delfim
DefenderRuan
Caio Paulista
I. Roman
F. Vera
Reinier
G. Menino
G. Scarpa
ForwardJ. Soares de Freitas
Biel
C. Eduardo
Rony
M. Cunha
DefenderG. Varela
A. Sandro
MidfielderG. De Arrascaeta
N. De La Cruz
G. Plata
Jorginho
S. Niguez
ForwardB. Pinto
Juninho
Michael
Everton
Missing players
Lyanco
MidfielderP. da Silva Campos
J. dos Santos Dutra
ForwardT. Cuello
Allan
ForwardPedro
Most goals and assists
Atletico MG
Flamengo
Hulk
(8 Goals)
G. De Arrascaeta
(18 Goals)
Hulk
(6 Assists)
G. De Arrascaeta
(14 Assists)
Atletico MG - Flamengo Key Points
- Atletico MG are winless in their last three outings.
- Flamengo have three wins in their last four matches.
- Atletico have won 11 games less than Flamengo in Serie A.
- Flamengo have lost seven fewer matches than Atletico in Serie A.
Limited Offer. Currently at Betway
Our Atletico MG vs Flamengo Prediction
Flamengo will have the opportunity to better their away record in the Brazilian Serie A when they face off with Atletico. The visitors have the better form coming here and haven't suffered defeat away to Atletico in the last four visits.
This is a key game for the league leaders, and they will want to wrap it up without surprises. Atletico haven't had much time to reflect on their Copa Sudamericana final defeat, yet they have to face a top opponent. Mentally, the hosts will be at a disadvantage. Our prediction for Atletico MG v Flamengo is that Flamengo wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Atletico MG Flamengo
| Atletico MG vs Flamengo | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico MG wins | 3.9 | 4.2 | +7.7% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.3 | -2.9% |
| Flamengo wins | 1.99 | 2.05 | +3.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Atletico MG is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 7.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 25.6% and is now 23.8% (-1.8%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Atletico MG vs. Flamengo game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Atletico MG and Flamengo when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Brasileirão Serie A!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
