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Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League

Europe - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
26/11/2025 13:00
Inter Milan

Prediction :

 

Draw or Inter Milan

 
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 by Steve Ashfield in Champions League Predictions

Atletico Madrid have won two games in the league phase but lost the same number. The La Liga side are 17th in the Champions League and on Wednesday they are home to third-placed Inter who have a 100 per cent record. Time for our match prediction.

With six points from four games, Atletico are in the unseeded play-off positions but only a point behind the seeded places. After this game, two of their last three fixtures are on the road so they will want to get something from this home match against Inter.

The visitors lost in last season's Champions League final. This term has started well for them with each of their first four games being won. That's left them with only Bayern Munich and Arsenal above them in the table, all on 12 points. It is tight though and the Serie A club are just three points above ninth place. They'll also want to do well in Madrid with their final three games being against Liverpool, Arsenal and Borussia Dortmund. 

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The Best Betting Odds for Atletico Madrid v Inter Milan Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.25 3.5 3.1
Betfred
2.25 3.3 3
William Hill
2.3 3.3 3
Betway
2.25 3.4 3.1
Unibet
2.28 3.5 3.05
Check all Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Atletico Madrid and Inter Milan?

Our prediction for the Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan match is: Inter to win or draw.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/11/2025 between Atletico Madrid and Inter Milan in Champions League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.85% for a win of Atletico Madrid against Inter Milan with odds of 2.39 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan is 17.89% with odds of 3.55 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 36.26% chance ⭐ for a win of Inter Milan vs Atletico Madrid with odds of 3.19 at 888Starz.

Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan Form

Atletico Madrid and Inter Milan's standings in the Champions League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3
Inter Milan
Inter Milan
12 4 4 0 0 10
17
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
6 4 2 0 2 1

Atletico Madrid and Inter Milan Last Matches

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid Last matches
L W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

23 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Getafe
0 :  1
Atletico Madrid

8 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  1
Levante

4 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
3 :  1
Union Saint-Gilloise

1 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  0
Sevilla

27 Oct 2025 - LaLiga

Betis
0 :  2
Atletico Madrid

21 Oct 2025 - Champions League

Arsenal
4 :  0
Atletico Madrid
W D W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

8 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  1
Levante

4 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
3 :  1
Union Saint-Gilloise

1 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  0
Sevilla

18 Oct 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
1 :  0
Osasuna

10 Oct 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Atletico Madrid
1 :  1
Inter Milan

30 Sept 2025 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
5 :  1
Eintracht Frankfurt
L D D L W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

23 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Getafe
0 :  1
Atletico Madrid

27 Oct 2025 - LaLiga

Betis
0 :  2
Atletico Madrid

21 Oct 2025 - Champions League

Arsenal
4 :  0
Atletico Madrid

5 Oct 2025 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
1 :  1
Atletico Madrid

21 Sept 2025 - LaLiga

Mallorca
1 :  1
Atletico Madrid

17 Sept 2025 - Champions League

Liverpool
3 :  2
Atletico Madrid
Inter Milan
Inter Milan Last matches
L W W W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

23 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
0 :  1
AC Milan

9 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  0
Lazio

5 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Inter Milan
2 :  1
Kairat Almaty

2 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
1 :  2
Inter Milan

29 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
3 :  0
Fiorentina

25 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
3 :  1
Inter Milan
W W W W W L
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

23 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
0 :  1
AC Milan

9 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  0
Lazio

5 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Inter Milan
2 :  1
Kairat Almaty

29 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
3 :  0
Fiorentina

4 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
4 :  1
Cremonese

30 Sept 2025 - Champions League

Inter Milan
3 :  0
Slavia Prague
W D W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

2 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
1 :  2
Inter Milan

25 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
3 :  1
Inter Milan

21 Oct 2025 - Champions League

Union Saint-Gilloise
0 :  4
Inter Milan

18 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Roma
0 :  1
Inter Milan

10 Oct 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Atletico Madrid
1 :  1
Inter Milan

27 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  2
Inter Milan

Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Atletico Madrid

25 %

Draw

25 %

Inter Milan

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.75
Total goals
50%
BTTS
0.75
Goals scored (home team)
1
Goals scored (away team)
25%
Over 2.5
75%
Under 2.5

10 Oct 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Atletico Madrid
1 :  1
Inter Milan

13 Mar 2024 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
2 :  1
Inter Milan

20 Feb 2024 - Champions League

Inter Milan
1 :  0
Atletico Madrid

11 Aug 2018 - International Champions Cup

Atletico Madrid
0 :  1
Inter Milan
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Atletico Madrid - Inter Milan: Form Analysis

Atletico Madrid have had an up and down Champions League campaign this season.  They started with a 3-2 loss at Liverpool, coming from 2-0 down only to concede a 92nd minute winner. A 5-1 home win over Eintracht Frankfurt but then came a 4-0 away loss to Arsenal.

Atletico got back on track with a 3-1 home victory over Union Saint-Gilloise. They are fourth in La Liga, four points behind leaders Barcelona. Their last five league and cup games have been won since that defeat at the Emirates.

Inter aim to make it five out of five.

Inter have won all four of their league phase matches and only conceded one goal. Their first three games produced wins at Ajax and Union Saint-Gilloise with a home victory over Slavia Prague, all with clean sheets.

Kairat became the first team to score against them (an equalizing goal) but were beaten 2-1 in Milan.  Inter are fourth in Serie A but were beaten 1-0 at home by Milan on Sunday. That ended a run of four consecutive victories.

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Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan last Lineups

Atletico Madrid

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

1
J. Musso
14
M. Llorente
2
J. Gimenez
15
C. Lenglet
3
M. Ruggeri
16
N. Molina
8
B. Pablo
6
Koke
23
N. Gonzalez
10
A. Baena
19
J. Alvarez
9
M. Thuram
10
L. Martinez
32
F. Dimarco
8
P. Sucic
20
H. Calhanoglu
23
N. Barella
30
C. Augusto
95
A. Bastoni
15
F. Acerbi
25
M. Akanji
1
Y. Sommer

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

Inter Milan

Missing players

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Defender

R. Le Normand

Inter Milan
Inter Milan
Goalkeeper

R. Di Gennaro

Defender

D. Dumfries

M. Darmian

Midfielder

H. Mkhitaryan

Atletico Madrid & Inter Milan Squad Analysis

Atletico Madrid have selection problems ahead of this Champions League game against Inter. Marcos Llorente has scored three goals for them in the league phase but he's doubtful for this match. Goalkeeper Jan Oblak is also a doubt with Juan Musso on stand-by to replace him.

Musso was between the sticks at the weekend as Atletico beat Getafe 1-0. The La Liga club rested Antoine Griezmann for that game but he may well return on Wednesday. Atletico will hope for more goals from Julian Alvarez as they try to get an important win.

Martinez is in top form for Inter.

He's not the only top striker from Argentina playing in this match. Lautaro Martinez has scored four goals for Inter in this season's Champions League and 12 in his last 11 in this competition. Denzel Dumfries is a doubt for the Serie A club due to an ankle problem.

Matteo Darmian and Henrikh Mkhitaryan were both absent at the weekend and are doubtful for Wednesday. Inter are yet to concede an away goal in this season's Champions League and will hope to maintain that record. 

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Atletico Madrid
CD Huachipato Inter Milan
Top Goalscorer
Argentina J. Alvarez (9 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Argentina L. Martinez (8 Goals)
Best assists
Argentina G. Simeone (5 Assists)
Best assists
Italy F. Dimarco (4 Assists)
Italy A. Bastoni (4 Assists)
France A. Bonny (4 Assists)

Atletico Madrid and Inter Milan Stats in Champions League

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Inter Milan
Inter Milan
50%
Wins
100%
0%
Draw
0%
50%
Losses
0%
4.75
Total goals per match
3
2.5
Goals scored per match
2.75
2.25
Goals conceded per match
0.25
100%
Over 2.5
75%
0%
Under 2.5
25%
75%
BTTS
25%
0%
Clean Sheet
75%

Atletico Madrid - Inter Milan Key Points

  1. Inter have won all four of their games in the league phase.
  2. Atletico have already lost twice in the league phase.
  3. Inter have only conceded one goal in their four games.
  4. Inter have only lost one of their last six league and cup fixtures.
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Our Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan Prediction

This is an important game for both clubs. Atletico would love to finish in at least the seeded play-off positions but still have a chance of automatic qualification. A home win over Inter will boost those chances but they face a stiff task against the Serie A club.

Inter are one of only three clubs to still have a 100 per cent record. They have only conceded one goal in this season's Champions League and that was at home. At least a point can be earned here. Our main Atletico Madrid v Inter prediction is Inter to win or draw.

Prediction :

 

Draw or Inter Milan

 
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Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan - Other Interesting Predictions

Lautaro Martinez to score

Odds 2.88
Lautaro Martinez has scored in each of Inter's last three Champions League games.
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Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan match : Frequently asked questions

Atletico Madrid are playing Inter Milan on Wednesday November 26. It will get underway at 20:00 UK time.

This is a home Champions League game for Atletico Madrid. It is being played at the Metropolitano Stadium in Madrid, Spain. 

The subscription channel TNT Sports will be broadcasting this match live in the UK. If you go to our Champions League livescore you’ll access live text commentary and continually updated statistics. All of which will help you with your in-play bets.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan Prediction

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