Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Prediction & Betting Tips - NBA
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by Matthew Newman | in NBA Predictions
The 15-15 Miami Heat will head north to Atlanta early on Saturday morning to take on the 15-16 Hawks in an NBA Eastern Conference matchup. Just half a game separates them in the standings with the Heat 8th and the Hawks 9th. Let’s take a look for a prediction on the game.
This is game four of a five-game homestand for the Hawks, losers in each of the opening three. The first of those saw the San Antonio Spurs in town and then the Chicago Bulls for two.
They are yet to play the Heat this season, the Hawks winning both clashes at State Farm Arena last season, the first of those also coming between Christmas and New Year which will give them hope.
The Heat have lost three straight coming in, are 1-8 in their last nine but are 5-10 on the road so far this season. A win at the Brooklyn Nets in their only one in their last six on the road but they have kept things tight against better teams than the Hawks.
The Heat have won in Philadelphia and Chicago earlier this season as part of a six-game win streak in late November. They are over .500 when it comes to covering the spread on the road.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for Atlanta Hawks v Miami Heat Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.65 | 2.3 |
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1.67 | 2.2 |
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1.63 | 2.35 |
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1.67 | 2.25 |
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1.65 | 2.2 |
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Who will win the Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat match is: Miami Heat +3.5
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat game on 26/12/2025 of the current NBA season:
- Atlanta Hawks has a 53.24% chance to pick up the win against Miami Heat according to Shangrila ⭐ with the odds of 1.75.
- There is a probability of 46.76% ⭐ for Miami Heat to win vs Atlanta Hawks with odds of 2.35 at Unibet.
Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Form
Atlanta Hawks and Miami Heat's standings in the NBA
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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8
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0.5 | 30 | 15 | 15 | -3 |
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9
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0.484 | 31 | 15 | 16 | -4 |
Atlanta Hawks and Miami Heat Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
23 Dec 2025 - NBA
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12 Dec 2025 - NBA
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
23 Dec 2025 - NBA
21 Dec 2025 - NBA
19 Dec 2025 - NBA
14 Dec 2025 - NBA
5 Dec 2025 - NBA
3 Dec 2025 - NBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
18 Dec 2025 - NBA
12 Dec 2025 - NBA
6 Dec 2025 - NBA
1 Dec 2025 - NBA
30 Nov 2025 - NBA
25 Nov 2025 - NBA
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
23 Dec 2025 - NBA
21 Dec 2025 - NBA
19 Dec 2025 - NBA
18 Dec 2025 - NBA
15 Dec 2025 - NBA
9 Dec 2025 - NBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
23 Dec 2025 - NBA
15 Dec 2025 - NBA
6 Dec 2025 - NBA
1 Dec 2025 - NBA
29 Nov 2025 - NBA
26 Nov 2025 - NBA
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
21 Dec 2025 - NBA
19 Dec 2025 - NBA
18 Dec 2025 - NBA
9 Dec 2025 - NBA
5 Dec 2025 - NBA
3 Dec 2025 - NBA
Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
11 Jul 2025 - NBA Summer League
18 Apr 2025 - NBA
27 Mar 2025 - NBA
26 Feb 2025 - NBA
24 Feb 2025 - NBA
28 Dec 2024 - NBA
Atlanta Hawks - Miami Heat Key Points
- The Hawks are 0-7 ATS at home when they are favourite as they are here.
- The Heat are 7-6 when they are the road underdog ATS.
- Atlanta are 1-5 in their last six at home with just the three point win over the 76ers.
- In their last road game, Miami only went under by seven against the Knicks. That followed defeats by one and nine against the Magic, 10 against the Mavericks and 13 in Boston.
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Our Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Prediction
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.