Atalanta vs Fiorentina Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
Two sides keen on doing better in Serie A, Atalanta and Fiorentina are lined up to clash this Sunday. Atalanta, sitting 13th, host their 19th placed opponents with seven points separating the two. Read on to find our prediction of this match.
Atalanta put to the side their domestic woes this week with a resounding win in Europe. They are coming off a quickfire 3-0 win away to Eintracht Frankfurt.
The win brought back the smiles earlier robbed by losses to Sassuolo and Napoli in Serie A. This win in Germany, Atalanta hopes, shifts things for the team, having failed to win any of their last eight Serie A matches.
Fiorentina’s poor season has now extended into Europe. Initially they were struggling to just win in Serie A, but here they are, straight from a 1-0 loss to AEK Athens in the Conference League.
That was their seventh straight winless outing, a run in which they have suffered four defeats. The visitors have also failed to score in three of those seven matches.
A fixture they won four times in the last six matches now looks to be beyond them. Being four points below safety, Fiorentina are sure to spend another week in the bottom three. It is surely getting tighter for La Viola.
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The Best Betting Odds for Atalanta v Fiorentina Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.67 | 3.8 | 5 |
|
|
1.68 | 4 | 5.4 |
|
|
1.68 | 3.8 | 5.1 |
|
|
1.59 | 3.8 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.68 | 4 | 5.2 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Atalanta and Fiorentina?
Our prediction for the Atalanta vs Fiorentina match is: Atalanta wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/11/2025 between Atalanta and Fiorentina in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.69% for a win of Atalanta against Fiorentina with odds of 1.75 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atalanta vs Fiorentina is 37.97% with odds of 4 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 22.34% chance ⭐ for a win of Fiorentina vs Atalanta with odds of 5.8 at BC Game.
Atalanta - Fiorentina Prediction and Best Odds:
| Atalanta Fiorentina Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Atalanta wins | 39.69% | 1.75 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.39% | 1.93 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 50.83% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Atalanta | 20.38% | 4.5 at Bet365 |
Atalanta vs Fiorentina Form
Atalanta and Fiorentina's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
31 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | +6 |
|
18
|
14 | 20 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -10 |
Atalanta and Fiorentina Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Serie A
9 Nov 2025 - Serie A
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Serie A
28 Oct 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2025 - Serie A
28 Oct 2025 - Serie A
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
19 Oct 2025 - Serie A
4 Oct 2025 - Serie A
30 Sept 2025 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Serie A
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Serie A
25 Oct 2025 - Serie A
27 Sept 2025 - Serie A
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Nov 2025 - Conference League
22 Nov 2025 - Serie A
9 Nov 2025 - Serie A
6 Nov 2025 - Conference League
2 Nov 2025 - Serie A
29 Oct 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Nov 2025 - Conference League
22 Nov 2025 - Serie A
2 Nov 2025 - Serie A
26 Oct 2025 - Serie A
5 Oct 2025 - Serie A
2 Oct 2025 - Conference League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2025 - Serie A
6 Nov 2025 - Conference League
29 Oct 2025 - Serie A
23 Oct 2025 - Conference League
19 Oct 2025 - Serie A
28 Sept 2025 - Serie A
Atalanta vs Fiorentina Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Mar 2025 - Serie A
15 Sept 2024 - Serie A
2 Jun 2024 - Serie A
24 Apr 2024 - Coppa Italia
3 Apr 2024 - Coppa Italia
17 Sept 2023 - Serie A
Atalanta vs Fiorentina last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
F. Rossi
M. Sportiello
DefenderL. Bernasconi
H. Ahanor
S. Kolasinac
M. Brescianini
N. Zalewski
L. Samardzic
Y. Musah
M. Pasalic
D. Maldini
K. Sulemana
N. Krstovic
T. Martinelli
L. Lezzerini
DefenderE. Kouadio
M. Viti
P. Comuzzo
N. Fortini
A. Richardson
C. Ndour
H. Caviglia
E. Dzeko
A. Gudmundsson
C. Kouame
Missing players
M. Bakker
T. Lamptey
Most goals and assists
Atalanta
Fiorentina
G. Scamacca
(5 Goals)
R. Mandragora
(5 Goals)
,
M. Kean
(5 Goals)
N. Krstovic
(3 Assists)
, 
N. Zalewski
(3 Assists)
N. Fagioli
(3 Assists)
Atalanta - Fiorentina Key Points
- Fiorentina are winless in the league this season.
- Fiorentina have lost twice as much as Atalanta in Serie A.
- Atalanta have avoided defeat at home in their last six league games.
- Fiorentina have lost four of their last six matches in all competitions.
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Our Atalanta vs Fiorentina Prediction
Atalanta’s season hasn’t been great so far, especially domestically, but Fiorentina’s is bordering on disaster. The visitors are yet to win a league game so far, and even in Europe, things are starting to get tough. La Viola come into this game having lost four of their last six matches in all competitions.
Atalanta have had their tough moments but have fared better than Fiorentina. They even have two wins in their last four games. The hosts have suffered just three defeats in the last 10 outings. Our prediction for Atalanta v Fiorentina is that Atalanta wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Atalanta Fiorentina
| Atalanta vs Fiorentina | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta wins | 1.65 | 1.75 | +6.1% |
| Draw | 3.65 | 4 | +9.6% |
| Fiorentina wins | 5.8 | 5.8 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Atalanta is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 6.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 60.6% and is now 57.1% (-3.5%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Atalanta vs. Fiorentina game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
