Aston Villa vs Bournemouth Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Premier League Predictions
After a successful outing in Europe, Aston Villa return to the Premier League. They are 11th in the table but only three points behind visitors Bournemouth who are fifth. Can the Lions get another home victory? Read our match prediction.
Villa made a slow start to the season but have improved immensely in recent weeks. Just how much will be revealed in the form section of this Premier League preview. The days of not scoring goals and losing games are most certainly over on home soil and a win over Bournemouth this Sunday could see them climb above their south coast opponents in the Premier League table.
Villa are impressive on home soil.
Bournemouth are currently in the final Champions League qualification position. They need to bounce back from last weekend's defeat at Manchester City. Their away form does need improving but they are always a threat on the road but just concede too many goals in their games.
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The Best Betting Odds for Aston Villa v Bournemouth Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.3 | 3.3 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.4 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.3 | 3 |
|
|
2.32 | 3.4 | 3.05 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.3 | 3.1 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Aston Villa and Bournemouth?
Our prediction for the Aston Villa vs Bournemouth match is: Aston Villa wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/11/2025 between Aston Villa and Bournemouth in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 56.19% for a win of Aston Villa against Bournemouth with odds of 2.37 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Aston Villa vs Bournemouth is 21.24% with odds of 3.72 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 22.57% chance ⭐ for a win of Bournemouth vs Aston Villa with odds of 3.51 at 22bet.
Aston Villa - Bournemouth Prediction and Best Odds:
| Aston Villa Bournemouth Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa wins | 56.19% | 2.37 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.56% | 1.93 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 57.5% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Aston Villa/Aston Villa | 25.61% | 3.75 at Bet365 |
Aston Villa vs Bournemouth Form
Aston Villa and Bournemouth's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
36 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 9 |
|
15
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | -3 |
Aston Villa and Bournemouth Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
26 Oct 2025 - Premier League
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
19 Oct 2025 - Premier League
5 Oct 2025 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
26 Oct 2025 - Premier League
5 Oct 2025 - Premier League
28 Sept 2025 - Premier League
25 Sept 2025 - Europa League
31 Aug 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
19 Oct 2025 - Premier League
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
21 Sept 2025 - Premier League
16 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2025 - Premier League
26 Oct 2025 - Premier League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
3 Oct 2025 - Premier League
27 Sept 2025 - Premier League
21 Sept 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2025 - Premier League
3 Oct 2025 - Premier League
21 Sept 2025 - Premier League
13 Sept 2025 - Premier League
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
23 Aug 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2025 - Premier League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
27 Sept 2025 - Premier League
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
15 Aug 2025 - Premier League
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Aston Villa vs Bournemouth Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 May 2025 - Premier League
26 Oct 2024 - Premier League
21 Apr 2024 - Premier League
3 Dec 2023 - Premier League
18 Mar 2023 - Premier League
6 Aug 2022 - Premier League
Aston Villa - Bournemouth: Form Analysis
Aston Villa beat Maccabi Tel Aviv in the Europa League on Thursday evening. That saw them back in winning ways after last weekend's Premier League defeat at Liverpool. Villa had won four consecutive league games before that loss at Anfield.
But for the slow start to this new season (three points from five games), the Villans would definitely be in the top five. A form guide for the last five Premier League games has them in third place with 12 points.
Home form has seen Villa win three of their five Premier League fixtures. The last three have all been won with the most recent victory being a 1-0 win over Manchester City. Villa have also had two home wins in the Europa League.
Bournemouth lost 3-1 at Manchester City last weekend. That was their second away league loss of the season. The Cherries have now gone three away league games without a win. Only one away league fixture has been won this season, a 2-1 victory at Spurs.
Nine away league goals have been scored and only Spurs and Chelsea have managed more. The problem Bournemouth has is they have conceded 12 on the road, a total only bettered by Burnley.
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Players list
E. Martinez
DefenderM. Cash
E. Konsa
P. Torres
L. Digne
MidfielderD. Malen
J. Sancho
Y. Tielemans
R. Barkley
ForwardE. Guessand
L. Bogarde
D. Petrovic
DefenderA. Jimenez
M. Senesi
A. Adli
MidfielderV. Milosavljevic
T. Adams
R. Christie
M. Tavernier
ForwardE. Kroupi
A. Semenyo
D. Brooks
Substitutes
M. Bizot
DefenderV. Lindelof
I. Maatsen
MidfielderY. Tielemans
L. Bogarde
R. Barkley
D. Malen
J. Sancho
E. Guessand
W. Dennis
DefenderA. Jimenez
B. Diakite
MidfielderB. Doak
L. Cook
D. Brooks
R. Christie
A. Adli
E. Kroupi
Missing players
T. Mings
MidfielderA. Garcia
M. Akinmboni
ForwardE. Unal
Aston Villa & Bournemouth Squad Analysis
Aston Villa played in Europe on Thursday evening, beating Maccabi Tel Aviv 2-0 at home. Villa made several changes for that game and those left out of the starting line-up are expected to make their return for this Premier League fixture against Bournemouth.
Matty Cash is one of those who are expected to play this weekend. He may be a defender but Cash is also Villa's joint top league goal scorer this season with a couple of goals. Tyrone Mings won't be in defence though. He sustained an injury at Liverpool last weekend and won't play again in 2025.
Watkins needs to score more often for Villa.
Ollie Watkins and John McGinn were both subs on Thursday but should start against Bournemouth. Villa will be wanting to see more goals from Watkins. The England international has only scored one league goal this season.
Tyler Adams scored for Bournemouth at Manchester City last weekend. He didn't finish the game though due to a knee injury. He has made a good recovery though and is in contention to play at Villa.
Also picking up knocks at City were Antoine Semenyo and Alex Jimenez. Both are expected to be able to play this weekend. Alex Scott will be playing too and Friday saw him picked by England for the first time
Most goals and assists
Aston Villa
Bournemouth
M. Rogers
(7 Goals)
, 
D. Malen
(7 Goals)
A. Semenyo
(8 Goals)
M. Rogers
(5 Assists)
M. Senesi
(3 Assists)
,
A. Semenyo
(3 Assists)
Aston Villa - Bournemouth Key Points
- Aston Villa have won their last five home league and cup games.
- Aston Villa have kept clean sheets in their last two games at Villa Park.
- Bournemouth have gone three away league games without a win.
- Bournemouth have conceded 12 away league goals this season.
- Aston Villa are unbeaten in their last five matches against Bournemouth.
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Our Aston Villa vs Bournemouth Prediction
Aston Villa were down in the relegation zone at the start of the season. They were drawing blanks up front and failed to win any of their first five Premier League fixtures. Villa have turned their season around and were on a winning run until last weekend's loss at Liverpool.
Their home form is particularly strong and that could well be bad news for Bournemouth. The visitors struggle on their travels and have gone three away league games without a victory. Our main Aston Villa v Bournemouth prediction is Aston Villa wins.
Aston Villa vs Bournemouth - Other Interesting Predictions
First half to have most goals
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Aston Villa Bournemouth
| Aston Villa vs Bournemouth | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa wins | 2.05 | 2.3 | +12.2% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.3 | -5.7% |
| Bournemouth wins | 3.4 | 3.1 | -8.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Aston Villa is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 12.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 48.8% and is now 43.5% (-5.3%)
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Aston Villa vs Bournemouth - FAQs
Villa Park in Birmingham is the venue for this Premier League game. That’s because it’s Aston Villa who are the hosts this Sunday.
To watch this game live on TV in the UK, you will need to be a Sky Sports subscriber. If you go to our Premier League livescore, you’ll be able to read updated statistics and live text commentary.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
