Arthur Gea vs Stan Wawrinka Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Australian Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Australian Open Predictions
Qualifier Arthur Gea caused an upset in round one when beating Jiri Lehecka. In round two of the outdoor hard court Australian Open, he takes on wild card Stan Wawrinka. Time for our match prediction.
The scheduled opponent in round three is either ninth seed Taylor Fritz or unseeded Vit Kopriva.
Frenchman Arthur Gea is playing in the main draw of a Grand Slam for the first time. His only other Grand Slam experience has been losing in the qualifying rounds at Roland Garros for the past three years.
Gea won all three qualifying matches in Melbourne without dropping a set. He then had a straight sets victory over Lehecka and is now in the live rankings. He's up to a career-high 166th in the live rankings, 43 places below his opponent.
Gea was born in January 2005, a year after Stan Wawrinka made his Grand Slam debut.
The 40-year-old is retiring at the end of the year and won this tournament 12 years ago.
The Swiss player had been beaten in round one here in each of the past three years. He ended that poor run with a four-set victory over Laslo Djere. Wawrinka had lost four successive matches this year before that win.
We tip Gea to get the win in this match.
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Arthur Gea v Stan Wawrinka Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.56 | 2.43 |
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1.56 | 2.43 |
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|
1.53 | 2.5 |
|
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1.53 | 2.34 |
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|
1.55 | 2.32 |
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Who will win the Arthur Gea vs Stan Wawrinka Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Arthur Gea vs Stan Wawrinka match is: Arthur Gea wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Arthur Gea vs Stan Wawrinka game on 22/01/2026 of the current ATP Australian Open season:
- Arthur Gea has a 67.51% chance to win against Stan Wawrinka according to Tonybet ⭐ with the odds of 1.63.
- Stan Wawrinka has a 32.49% probability of winning facing Arthur Gea ⭐ with odds of 2.5 at Bet365.
Arthur Gea vs Stan Wawrinka Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Arthur Gea has a 67.51 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Arthur Gea | 67.51 % |
| Stan Wawrinka | 32.49 % |
Arthur Gea vs Stan Wawrinka Form
Arthur Gea and Stan Wawrinka Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
19 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
14 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
14 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
13 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
22 May 2025 - ATP French Open
20 May 2025 - ATP French Open
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
18 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
11 Jan 2026 - United Cup
7 Jan 2026 - United Cup
4 Jan 2026 - United Cup
2 Jan 2026 - United Cup
5 Nov 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship
Arthur Gea - Stan Wawrinka Key Points
- Gea has won all four of his matches in this tournament in straight sets.
- Wawrinka has only won two of his six matches this year.
- Gea won a Challenger Tour title earlier this month and has won all nine of his matches played in 2026.
- Wawrinka had lost in round one of this tournament on his last four visits before winning this week.
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Our Arthur Gea vs Stan Wawrinka Prediction
Arthur Gea can reach round three of a Grand Slam for the first time in his career. The Frenchman has already won a Challenger Tour title this year and has carried that good form into the Australian Open. All four of his matches so far have been won in straiight sets.
This could be Stan Wawrinka's last singles match in this Grand Slam. Retirement is on the way for the Swiss player who has been in inconsistent form this year, losing four of his six matches. Our Arthur Gea v Stan Wawrinka prediction is Arthur Gea wins.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
