Arsenal vs Liverpool Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions
A crimson-clad Emirates Stadium hosts a colossal clash of champions vs challengers this week, as Premier League title holders Liverpool face Arsenal - the favourites to force a changing of the guard this season. The Gunners lead the league standings, while the Reds are in fourth place after 20 games. Check out our match prediction below!
While the old adage “the title isn’t won in January” stands true, belief among Gooners is starting to grow that this could be their year. After beating Bournemouth at the weekend, Mikel Arteta’s side’s last four wins have come against teams they failed to beat last season, and they are now eight points better off than they were at this same stage in 2024-25 and 2023-24.
Liverpool, on the other hand, are 11 points behind where they were at this point last season and fell 14 points behind the North Londoners after their stalemate at Craven Cottage last time out. A victory here for Arne Slot and Co feels vital if they are to keep any hope of climbing back into the title race alive. Let’s get into the key stats!
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The Best Betting Odds for Arsenal v Liverpool Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.57 | 4.1 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.57 | 4.2 | 6 |
|
|
1.57 | 4 | 5 |
|
|
1.56 | 4.2 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.57 | 4.2 | 5.5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Arsenal and Liverpool?
Our prediction for the Arsenal vs Liverpool match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/01/2026 between Arsenal and Liverpool in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.11% for a win of Arsenal against Liverpool with odds of 1.62 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Arsenal vs Liverpool is 25.79% with odds of 4.3 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 26.09% chance ⭐ for a win of Liverpool vs Arsenal with odds of 6 at Betfred.
Arsenal - Liverpool Prediction and Best Odds:
| Arsenal Liverpool Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins | 48.11% | 1.62 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.24% | 2.03 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 64.17% | 1.91 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Arsenal | 26.57% | 4.5 at Bet365 |
Arsenal vs Liverpool Form
Arsenal and Liverpool's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
49 | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 26 |
|
4
|
35 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
Arsenal and Liverpool Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jan 2026 - Premier League
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
23 Dec 2025 - Carabao Cup
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
13 Dec 2025 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
23 Dec 2025 - Carabao Cup
13 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jan 2026 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
30 Nov 2025 - Premier League
8 Nov 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
1 Jan 2026 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
13 Dec 2025 - Premier League
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jan 2026 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
13 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
30 Nov 2025 - Premier League
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
Arsenal vs Liverpool Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
31 Aug 2025 - Premier League
11 May 2025 - Premier League
27 Oct 2024 - Premier League
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Feb 2024 - Premier League
7 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
Arsenal - Liverpool: Form Analysis
With Man City dropping points to Chelsea over the weekend, Arsenal extended their lead at the top of the league standings to six points following a thrilling 3-2 victory over Bournemouth on Saturday.
The Gunners are now riding a seven-match win streak across all competitions and have scored two or more goals in all but one of those games. However, they have only kept one clean sheet in their last six in the top flight.
The hosts are unbeaten at the Emirates this season in all competitions and have only dropped two points in 10 league matches at this venue, which came via a 1-1 draw against City back in September.
Arsenal are unbeaten in their last three home league games against this opponent!
Meanwhile, Liverpool endured another frustrating outing over the weekend, when they conceded in the seventh minute of stoppage time and were forced to settle for a 2-2 draw against Fulham.
The Reds are now unbeaten in their last eight league matches, but four of those games ended in draws. Three of those stalemates were against newly-promoted teams - Leeds twice, and Sunderland.
Most of the visitors’ downfall this season is attributable to their away form. In 10 away games, Liverpool have only earned 14 points (W4 D2 L4) and have conceded 18 goals, which is one more than basement club Wolves have shipped this term.
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Arsenal against Liverpool Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
C. Mosquera
R. Calafiori
MidfielderM. Dowman
S. Bajcetic
G. Leoni
MidfielderW. Endo
ForwardA. Isak
M. Salah
H. Ekitike
Arsenal & Liverpool Squad Analysis
Arsenal came away from the Vitality Stadium with no new injury concerns, meaning only Riccardo Calafiori, Cristhian Mosquera and young Max Dowman will miss this week’s fixture.
After missing the match against Aston Villa with a knock, Declan Rice was the star of the show at the weekend, bagging a brace in the victory over Bournemouth to take his tally to seven goal contributions this season.
Gabriel Magalhaes found the back of the net for the second game in a row on the south coast. No defender has scored more goals in the Prem than the Brazilian (20) since he arrived in England in 2020.
Bukayo Saka has four goal contributions in his last four home league games!
The major concern for Liverpool fans is whether Hugo Ekitike will be available for this clash. The Frenchman was forced to pull out of the trip to Craven Cottage with a hamstring issue and faces a race against time to feature at the Emirates.
Cody Gakpo was deployed as the number nine against Fulham and scored in stoppage time, recording his fifth league goal of the season. However, the standout performer for the Reds was Florian Wirtz, who has now picked up three goal contributions in his last four starts.
As far as absentees go, the visitors are without Alexander Isak, Wataru Endo and Giovanni Leoni for this trip to the nation’s capital, while Mohamed Salah is still away with Egypt at the AFCON.
Most goals and assists
Arsenal
Liverpool
L. Trossard
(7 Goals)
, 
B. Saka
(7 Goals)
, 
V. Gyokeres
(7 Goals)
H. Ekitike
(9 Goals)
L. Trossard
(6 Assists)
D. Szoboszlai
(4 Assists)
, 
M. Salah
(4 Assists)
, 
C. Gakpo
(4 Assists)
Arsenal - Liverpool Key Points
- Five of Arsenal’s last six league games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Arsenal have scored two or more goals in eight of their 10 home league matches this season.
- Five of Liverpool’s last seven league games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Liverpool have only failed to score in one of their 10 away league matches this season.
- Both teams have scored in six of the last seven league games between these sides.
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Our Arsenal vs Liverpool Prediction
Arsenal are clear favourites in this contest and have yet to taste defeat at home this season, but they have been conceding goals lately, managing only one clean sheet in their last six league matches.
That will give Liverpool a much-needed boost of confidence arriving at the Emirates, but their defence has been far from water-tight this season, especially on the road, where they’ve already shipped 18 goals, which is the fourth-most in the top flight. Therefore, our Arsenal vs Liverpool prediction is BTTS.
Arsenal vs Liverpool - Other Interesting Predictions
Arsenal wins
Arsenal have only dropped two points in 10 home league games this season (W9 D1) and are unbeaten in their last three Prem matches against the Reds. Liverpool have won just two of their last eight away league games (D2 L4) and have conceded 18 goals in 10 outings this season.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Arsenal Liverpool
| Arsenal vs Liverpool | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins | 1.62 | 1.57 | -3.1% |
| Draw | 4.1 | 4.1 | 0% |
| Liverpool wins | 5 | 5.75 | +15.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Arsenal is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 61.7% and is now 63.7% (2.0%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Arsenal vs. Liverpool game!
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Arsenal vs Liverpool - FAQs
The Premier League match between Arsenal and Liverpool will take place on January 8 at 20:00 GMT.
The Premier League match between Arsenal and Liverpool will be played at the Emirates Stadium in North London.
The Premier League match between Arsenal and Liverpool will be broadcast on Sky Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
