ATP - ATP Cincinnati Open


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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Cincinnati Open Predictions
The last eight of the outdoor hard court Cincinnati Open sees second seed Carlos Alcaraz face ninth-seeded Andrey Rublev. Possible semi-final opponents include Alexander Zverev and Ben Shelton. Here's our match prediction.
Carlos Alcaraz has only once got past this stage in Cincinnati. That was in 2023 when losing in the final. The Spaniard completed 50 wins for the year when winning his third round match. He followed that up with a straight sets victory over Luca Nardi.
The only set he's dropped so far in this Masters tournament was in his opening match against Damir Dzumhur. He leads Rublev 3-1 in previous meetings, the most recent win being at Wimbledon this year.
He's won both of his hard court matches against the Russian in straight sets. Only six matches have been lost by Alcaraz in 2025.
Andrey Rublev is playing in the last eight of this tournament for the fourth time. He made it to the final in 2021. He's 15th in the live rankings and has also only dropped one set so far in round three. He had to come from a set down to defeat Alexei Popyrin.
Smoother progress was made in his latest match as he beat Francisco Comesana 6-2 6-3.
We tip Alcaraz to win in straight sets.
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The Best Betting Odds for Andrey Rublev v Carlos Alcaraz Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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4.33 | 1.22 |
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4.5 | 1.2 |
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4.25 | 1.22 |
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4 | 1.22 |
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4.4 | 1.22 |
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Who will win the Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz match is: Carlos Alcaraz to win in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz game on 14/08/2025 of the current ATP Cincinnati Open season:
- Andrey Rublev has a 29.95% chance to win against Carlos Alcaraz according to William Hill ⭐ with the odds of 4.5.
- Carlos Alcaraz has a 70.05% probability of winning facing Andrey Rublev ⭐ with odds of 1.24 at Vbet.
Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Andrey Rublev has a 29.95 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Andrey Rublev | 29.95 % |
Carlos Alcaraz | 70.05 % |
Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz Form
Andrey Rublev and Carlos Alcaraz Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
13 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
12 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
10 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
5 Aug 2025 - ATP Toronto
3 Aug 2025 - ATP Toronto
1 Aug 2025 - ATP Toronto
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
13 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
12 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
10 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
13 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
11 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
8 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
75 %
6 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
13 Nov 2024 - ATP Finals
1 May 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
15 Nov 2023 - ATP Finals
Andrey Rublev - Carlos Alcaraz Key Points
- Alcaraz has won both of his previous hard court matches against Rublev.
- Rublev has never won a set against Alcaraz on this surface.
- Rublev is 13 places below Alcaraz in the live rankings.
- Alcaraz has won seven of his last nine hard court matches.
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Our Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction
Carlos Alcaraz has won one hard court title this year and has only lost four of the 22 matches he's played on this surface. Just one set has been dropped by the Spaniard so far in this tournament and his last two have been won in straight sets.
Andrey Rublev has also one lost one set so far in this Cincinnati Open. He's yet to win a set against Alcaraz in two previous hard court meetings. Our Carlos Alcaraz v Andrey Rublev prediction is Carlos Alcaraz to win in straight sets.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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