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Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Cincinnati Open

ATP - ATP Cincinnati Open

ATP 11 Russia
Andrey Rublev
14/08/2025 11:00
ATP 2 Spain
Carlos Alcaraz

Prediction :

 

Carlos Alcaraz to win in straight sets

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Cincinnati Open Predictions

The last eight of the outdoor hard court Cincinnati Open sees second seed Carlos Alcaraz face ninth-seeded Andrey Rublev. Possible semi-final opponents include Alexander Zverev and Ben Shelton. Here's our match prediction.

Carlos Alcaraz has only once got past this stage in Cincinnati. That was in 2023 when losing in the final. The Spaniard completed 50 wins for the year when winning his third round match. He followed that up with a straight sets victory over Luca Nardi.

The only set he's dropped so far in this Masters tournament was in his opening match against Damir Dzumhur. He leads Rublev 3-1 in previous meetings, the most recent win being at Wimbledon this year.

He's won both of his hard court matches against the Russian in straight sets. Only six matches have been lost by Alcaraz in 2025.

Andrey Rublev  is playing in the last eight of this tournament for the fourth time. He made it to the final in 2021. He's 15th in the live rankings and has also only dropped one set so far in round three. He had to come from a set down to defeat Alexei Popyrin.

Smoother progress was made in his latest match as he beat Francisco Comesana 6-2 6-3.

We tip Alcaraz to win in straight sets. 

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The Best Betting Odds for Andrey Rublev v Carlos Alcaraz Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
4.33 1.22
William Hill
4.5 1.2
Betway
4.25 1.22
Ladbrokes
4 1.22
Unibet
4.4 1.22
Check all Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz odds
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Who will win the Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz match is: Carlos Alcaraz to win in straight sets.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz game on 14/08/2025 of the current ATP Cincinnati Open season:

  • Andrey Rublev has a 29.95% chance to win against Carlos Alcaraz according to William Hill ⭐ with the odds of 4.5.
  • Carlos Alcaraz has a 70.05% probability of winning facing Andrey Rublev ⭐ with odds of 1.24 at Vbet.

Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Andrey Rublev has a 29.95 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Andrey Rublev29.95 %
Carlos Alcaraz70.05 %

Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz Form

Andrey Rublev and Carlos Alcaraz Last Matches

Andrey Rublev Last matches
W W L W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

13 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Francisco Comesana
0 :  2
Andrey Rublev

12 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Alexei Popyrin
1 :  2
Andrey Rublev

10 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Learner Tien
0 :  2
Andrey Rublev

5 Aug 2025 - ATP Toronto

Andrey Rublev
0 :  2
Taylor Fritz

3 Aug 2025 - ATP Toronto

Andrey Rublev
abort
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

1 Aug 2025 - ATP Toronto

Andrey Rublev
2 :  1
Lorenzo Sonego
Carlos Alcaraz Last matches
W W L W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

13 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Luca Nardi
0 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz

12 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Hamad Medjedovic
0 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz

10 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Damir Dzumhur
1 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz

13 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Jannik Sinner
3 :  1
Carlos Alcaraz

11 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Taylor Fritz
1 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

8 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Cameron Norrie
0 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Andrey Rublev

25 %

Carlos Alcaraz

75 %

6 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Andrey Rublev
1 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

13 Nov 2024 - ATP Finals

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Andrey Rublev

1 May 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Andrey Rublev
2 :  1
Carlos Alcaraz

15 Nov 2023 - ATP Finals

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Andrey Rublev
Compare Andrey Rublev and Carlos Alcaraz with our comparison tool.

Andrey Rublev - Carlos Alcaraz Key Points

  1. Alcaraz has won both of his previous hard court matches against Rublev.
  2. Rublev has never won a set against Alcaraz on this surface.
  3. Rublev is 13 places below Alcaraz in the live rankings.
  4. Alcaraz has won seven of his last nine hard court matches.
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Our Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction

Carlos Alcaraz has won one hard court title this year and has only lost four of the 22 matches he's played on this surface. Just one set has been dropped by the Spaniard so far in this tournament and his last two have been won in straight sets.

Andrey Rublev has also one lost one set so far in this Cincinnati Open. He's yet to win a set against Alcaraz in two previous hard court meetings. Our Carlos Alcaraz v Andrey Rublev prediction is Carlos Alcaraz to win in straight sets.

Prediction :

 

Carlos Alcaraz to win in straight sets

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction
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